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 NBA April 11th 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Philadelphia @ New Jersey
New Jersey -9 Total 175
Philadelphia 33-46 Overall and 12-27 Away New Jersey 46-33 Overall and 27-13 At Home
Marc Jackson Out for Philadelphia Allen Iverson Out for Philadelphia Derrick Coleman Out for Philadelphia Glenn Robinson Out for Philadelphia Kenyon Martin Questionable for New Jersey Jason Kidd Questionable for New Jersey
PHI is 6-11 ATS in their last 17 road games. Under is 8-2 in PHI's last 10 on the road. Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. NJ is 26-13-2 ATS playing with one day of rest. NJ is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall. Over is 6-3 in NJ's last nine overall.
Home/Away: Philadelphia [-5.6 margin] 87.8 points on 41.9 FG% New Jersey [+6.7 margin] 92.6 points on 45.3 FG%
Last 5: Philadelphia [+1.4 margin] 87.0 points on 41.9 FG% New Jersey [+9.4 margin] 98.6 points on 50.7 FG%
New Jersey leads Season Series 2-1: New Jersey 99-87 at New Jersey......went Over New Jersey 94-76 at Philadelphia....went Over Philadelphia 97-81 at New Jersey....went Over
Day's Of Rest: Philadelphia (1) 19-21 SU, 22-18 ATS and 23-15 Under (177.6 Average Total) New Jersey (1) 28-13 SU, 26-13 ATS and 21-19 Under (177.9 Average Total)
Philadelphia on 1-3 SU run and 5-5 SU their last 10. New Jersey on 4-2 SU run and 5-5 SU their last 10.
Lean towards New Jersey and Under
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Chicago @ Toronto
Toronto -8 Total 181
Chicago 22-57 Overall and 8-31 Away Toronto 31-48 Overall and 17-22 At Home
CHI has won the last five meetings ATS. CHI is 9-16 ATS in their last 25 overall. Over is 5-2 in CHI's last seven road games. Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings. TOR is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. Under is 6-1 in TOR's last seven overall.
Home/Away: Chicago [-8.4 margin] 89.7 points on 42.4 FG% Toronto [-0.8 margin] 86.8 points on 42.7 FG%
Last 5: Chicago [-4.2 margin] 97.8 points on 41.2 FG% Toronto [-7.6 margin] 78.0 points on 38.9 FG%
Chicago leads Season Series 3-0: Chicago 96-91 at Toronto....went Over Chicago 75-73 at Chicago....went Under Chicago 96-89 at Chicago....went Over
Day's Of Rest: Chicago (1) 11-26 SU, 15-22 ATS and 21-16 Over (188.2 Average Total) Toronto (1) 19-29 SU, 21-25-2 ATS and 30-16 Under (175.1 Average Total)
Chicago has lost 3 SU in a row and are on a 4-15 SU run. Toronto on 1-9 SU run.
Chicago has won all 3 meetings and Toronto is a -8 Favorite that is 1-9 their last 10. Have to lean towards Chicago +8 and Under.
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Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento
Sacramento -2 Total 203
Los Angeles 54-25 Overall and 21-18 Away Sacramento 54-25 Overall and 33-7 At Home
Rick Fox Doubtful for Los Angeles Bobby Jackson Questionable for Sacramento
LA is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 overall. Under is 7-3 in LA's last 10 overall. Over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings. SAC is 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 overall. Under is 12-6-1 in SAC's last 19 overall. SAC ranks 2nd in offense with 103.2 pts/gm.
Home/Away: Los Angeles [-1.4 margin] 97.3 points on 45.1 FG% Sacramento [+10.3 margin] 105.8 points on 47.4 FG%
Last 5: Los Angeles [+2.9 margin] 92.4 points on 44.7 FG% Sacramento [-0.8 margin] 100.6 points on 47.7 FG%
Sacramento leads Season Series 2-1: Los Angeles 115-91 at Los Angeles....went Under Sacramento 103-101 at Los Angeles....went Over Sacramento 103-83 at Sacramento.....went Under(both O'Neal and Kobe were Out)
Day's Of Rest: Los Angeles (1) 31-13 SU, 17-25-2 ATS and 24-17 Under (192.2 Average Total) Sacramento (1) 34-11 SU, 20-23-2 ATS and 23-21 Under (200.4 Average Total)
Los Angeles 1-2 SU the last 3 (losses to SA and Portland) Los Angeles 23-6 SU their last 29. Sacramento has lost back-to-back and are on 5-8 SU run.
Both team tied in the standings. A win would give them the edge in Homecourt over the other. Sacramento on 5-8 their last 13. Lakers 23-6 their last 29. Their starting to turn it on for the playoffs. Fox doubtful. Hard to ignore Sacramento's 33-7 SU Home record.
Going to pass both the side and total.
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Memphis @ Phoenix
Memphis -2 to -2.5 Total 197
Memphis 50-29 Overall and 19-20 Away Phoenix 27-52 Overall and 17-22 At Home
Bonzi Wells Questionable for Memphis Pau Gasol Questionable for Memphis Jahidi White Questionable for Phoenix Jake voshkuhl Questionable for Phoenix
MEM is 24-16-1 ATS playing with one day of rest. MEM is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 overall. Under is 15-6 in MEM's last 21 overall. PHO is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. PHI is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games. PHO ranks 26th in defense allowing 98.3 pts/gm.
Home/Away: Memphis [-1.9 margin] 95.3 points on 44.4 FG% Phoenix [-0.8 margin] 95.9 points on 45.2 FG%
Last 5: Memphis [+0.2 margin] 91.8 points on 44.1 FG% Phoenix [-6.8 margin] 100.0 points on 45.8 FG%
Memphis leads Season Series 2-1: Memphis 109-99 at Memphis 109-99 at Memphis.....went Over Memphis 97-92 at Memphis 97-92 at Memphis.......went Under Phoenix 96-88 at Phoenix........................went Over
Season Average Total: 193.6
Day's Of Rest: Memphis (1) 27-14 SU, 24-16-1 ATS and 23-18 Under (188.1 Average Total) Phoenix (1) 17-22 SU, 18-21 ATS and 20-19 Over (191.9 Average Total)
Memphis on 1-3 Su run after winning 7 SU in a row. Phoneix on 1-3 SU run and are 5-5 SU their last 10.
Going to pass on this one due to Wells and Gasol being Questionable.
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Dallas @ Golden State
Dallas -4 Total 212.5
Dallas 50-29 Overall and 15-24 Away Golden State 35-44 Overall and 25-14 At Home
Michale Finley Questionable for Dallas Avery Johnson Out for Golden State Erick Dampier Out for Golden State
DAL is 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall. Over is 17-5-1 in DAL's last 23 overall. Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. GS is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. GS is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 overall. Under is 17-6-1 in GS' last 24 overall.
Home/Away: Dallas [-2.4 margin] 101.0 points on 43.9 FG% Golden State [+5.2 margin] 96.5 points on 34.0 FG%
Last 5: Dallas [+8.8 margin] 117.0 points on 53.1 FG% Golden State [-3.8 margin] 92.2 points on 92.2 FG%
Dallas leads Season Series 3-0: Dallas 107-93 at Dallas....went Under Dallas 105-99 at Dallas....went Over Dallas 105-99 at Dallas....went Under
Day's Of Rest: Dallas (0) 11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS and 9-8 Over (202.5 Average Total) Golden State (1) 15-23 SU, 19-18-1 ATS and 21-15 Under (186.1 Average Total)
Dallas has won Series meetings this season by +14,+6 and +8
It will be interesting to see of Dallas bounces back after yesterday. Top professionals tend to bounce back strong after a poor performance. Finley is Questionable.
Passing on Side and Total.
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San Antonio @ Los Angeles Clippers
San Antonio -11 to -10.5 Total 182 to 181.5
San Antonio 22-17 Overall and 22-17 Away Los Angeles 27-52 Overall and 18-21 At Home
SA is 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings. SA is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 overall. Over is 9-4 in SA's last 13 road games. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. LA is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall. Under is 9-4 in LA's last 13 overall.
Home/Aawy: San Antonio [+2.7 margin] 89.0 points on 42.5 FG% Los Angeles [-1.1 margin] 96.8 points on 43.5 FG%
Last 5: San Antonio [+13.6 margin] 95.2 points on 48.7 FG% Los Angeles Clippers [-13.4 margin] 91.4 points on 41.6 FG%
San Antonio leads Season Series 2-1: San Antonio 108-90 at San Antonio...went Over San Antonio 111-90 at San Antonio....went Over Los Angeles Clippers 91-83 at Los Angeles...went Under
Day's Of Rest: San Antonio (1) 29-16 SU, 26-19 ATS and 28-17 Under (176.7 Average Total) Los Angeles (3) 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS and 2-1 Over (203.7 Average Total)
San Antonio has won 8 SU in a row(+10,+21,+6,+13,+18,+8,+29 and +9) Los Angeles has lost 12 SU in a row and are on a 3-20 Su run.
Spurs should obviously win and probably will cover. -11 is a lot of chalk to lay on the road.
Passing on side and total.
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good luck today,
baz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" /> <small>[ April 11, 2004, 03:09 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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 Re: NBA April 11th 2004
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Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 20 Arizona
JV Squad
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JV Squad
Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 20 Arizona |
Nice call on NJ and under....just wish I played it <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />
Someone help...I'm losing my azz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Frown]" src="images/icons/frown.gif" />
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 Re: NBA April 11th 2004
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Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 250 Portland Oregon |
Paul,
In the final few days of the regular season many games do not keep form. One point to remember in hadicapping NBA games is that the team which shoots the better FG% tends to cover. So if you can figure which team is more likely to shoot better, it will help your results.
good luck in the Playoffs and thanks for your reply,
baz <img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" /> <small>[ April 12, 2004, 01:17 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
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