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 March madness props and picks
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Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 230 west michigan
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 230 west michigan |
What do you guys think of this prop bet:
Will a #14, 15, or 16 seed win a game?
NO +180
Sounds good right?
No #16 seed has ever defeated a #1 seed since the field was expanded to 64 teams in 1985, and only four #15 seeds (Richmond in 1991, Santa Clara in 1993 , Coppin State in 1997, and Hampton in 2001) have defeated #2 seeds.
So I am going to count the 4 #1 seeds as automatic wins (since we are gambling here) and do the math on the rest.
I didnt dig up the history on #14 seeds but for this years tournament I ran the money lines for this book for the 4 #14 seeds on a parlay calculator:
Gonzaga -260
Florida -420
Iowa -330
North Carolina -900
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4 team parlay pays +148
For the #15 seeds UCLA does not have a money line so I will make them an automatic win. That leaves a 7 team money line parlay:
(3)Gonzaga -260
(3)Florida -420
(3)Iowa -330
(3)North Carolina -900
(2)Tennessee -280
(2)Ohio St -700
(2)Texas -1400
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7 team parlay pays +312
Wow I get better than 3 to 1 this way vs +180 just by jumping on prop that sounds good! And if I actually had money lines on the 5 "automatic winners" the payoff would be even higher!
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 Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 230 west michigan
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 230 west michigan |
I think that one reason why people dont post often is that when they do take the time to write up a well thought out post they get some illiterate s.o.b. burying their post into the archives.
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Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 11,183 Hawaii
Veteran
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Veteran
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 11,183 Hawaii |
I'd have to say that no 14-16 seed will win a first round game.
I did play a #12 to beat a #5
Kent State over Pittsburgh
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Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,368 Boston
Rookie
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Rookie
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,368 Boston |
Suami, great post! I learned a lot I didn't know in there!
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Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 11,183 Hawaii
Veteran
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Veteran
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 11,183 Hawaii |
Looks like some nice parlay situations. GL!
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Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Mar 2006
Posts: 24 USA
JV Squad
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JV Squad
Joined: Mar 2006
Posts: 24 USA |
Looks like money in the bank
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Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 35 Mpls
JV Squad
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JV Squad
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 35 Mpls |
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Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 230 west michigan
Freshman
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OP
Freshman
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 230 west michigan |
Desparation 3 pointer from the corner with 0.5 seconds left with a man in his face following a missed free throw. The Northwestern St. Demons blew up my 7 teamer. <img border="0" title="" alt="[Frown]" src="images/icons/frown.gif" />
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Re: March madness props and picks
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 2,420 bad man USA
2014, 2002 & 2001 Bad Man Champion
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2014, 2002 & 2001 Bad Man Champion
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 2,420 bad man USA |
wow suami, I figured that had to nail someone.
Tough one. But not too surprising "its madness"
Besides, Dan Patrick of espnradio has been patting himself on the back for giving out NWS as
his underdog in round 1.
Good Luck rest of way.
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