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12/17 Statistical Advantages
#662609 12/13/22 07:58 PM
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Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #663020 12/15/22 04:16 AM
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BALTIMORE (9 - 4) at CLEVELAND (5 - 8) - 12/17/2022, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 8 - 1) at MINNESOTA (10 - 3) - 12/17/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (8 - 5) at BUFFALO (10 - 3) - 12/17/2022, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
BUFFALO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #663023 12/15/22 04:20 AM
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NFL
Trend Report

Indianapolis @ Minnesota
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Baltimore
Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Baltimore

Miami @ Buffalo
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #663025 12/15/22 04:22 AM
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NFL

Saturday’s games
Colts (4-8-1) @ Vikings (10-3)
— Colts lost six of their last seven games SU.
— Colts are 3-0-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 if they score less.
— Underdogs covered nine of their 13 games.
— Colts went under their team total in 10 of 13 games TY.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Colts are 7-4 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Indy is 13-3-1 ATS in last post-bye 17 games.
— Colts are 22-10-1 ATS in last 33 games vs NFC opponents.
— Last three games, Colts converted 12-40 third down plays.
— Last two games, opponents converted 14-27 third down plays.
— Last two games, Colts were minus-6 in turnovers (1-7).

— Vikings won nine of their last eleven games SU.
— Minnesota is 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games.
— Despite being 10-3, Vikings have been outscored by a point (312-313).
— Vikings converted 21 of last 43 third down plays.
— Last four games, Vikings were outgained 1,708-1,244.
— Minnesota is 20-11-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last five games, Minnesota allowed 32 plays of 20+ yards (Vikings had 23).
— Cousins is 70-64-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings ran ball 17 times for only 22 yards last week.
— Minnesota is 8-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-3 when it does not.
— Vikings are 7-2 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— Colts won last five games vs Vikings, covered last four.
— Colts won 34-8/18-15 in last two visits to the Twin Cities.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.

Ravens (9-4) @ Browns (5-8)
— QB’s Jackson/Huntley are banged up; check status for the starter.
— Ravens won last two games by total of three points.
— Baltimore won seven of its last nine games SU.
— Eight of last ten Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in all four of their losses TY.
— Ravens are 5-2 SU on road this season, 3-0 ATS as an underdog.
— Baltimore is 13-2-2 ATS last seventeen games as a road dog.
— Last two weeks, Ravens converted 7-26 on 3rd down.
— Eight of Ravens’ last ten games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 7-8 last 15 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is 8-0 giving up 20 or less points, 1-4 if they give up 20+.

— QB Watson is 38-64/407 passing in his first two Browns’ starts.
— Watson’s two games: Browns scored 1 TD on 20 drives, with nine 3/outs.
— Cleveland split their last six games after a 2-5 start.
— Browns are 5-3 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
— Last two games, Browns converted 82-8 on third down.
— Browns are 0-5 when they run for less than 171 yards.
— Cleveland outgained 10 of its 13 opponents, but they’re 5-8.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Browns are 6-11-1 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite (1-2 TY).
— Browns turned ball over 17 times in last nine games (minus-8)
— Watson is 30-28 as an NFL starter, making playoffs twice with Houston.

— Ravens (-6) beat Browns 23-20 at home in Week 7.
— Baltimore won 14 of last 18 series games.
— Ravens are 7-1 ATS in last eight visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Dolphins (8-5) @ Bills (10-3)
— Dolphins lost their last two games, after a 5-0 streak.
— Third straight week on the road for Miami.
— Miami is 5-1 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 7-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 3-4 SU on road this year, winning by 4-4-3 points.
— Last two games, Dolphins are 3-18 on third down.
— Last two games, opponents are 17-37 on third down.
— Last three weeks, Dolphins were outscored 37-17 in second half.
— Miami is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-10 in losses.
— Last three games, Dolphins ran ball 53 times for only 186 yards.
— Four of last six Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
— Tagovailoa is 21-11 as an NFL starter.

— Bills won their last four games, scoring 25.8 ppg.
— Buffalo is 1-5-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Buffalo is 11-8 in last 19 games as a home favorite (2-3 TY)
— Last seven games, Buffalo was outscored 82-59 in second half.
— Last four games, opponents ran ball for only 78 yards/game.
— Bills scored 26 TD’s on their last 90 drives.
— Buffalo has 62 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 48)
— 11 of 13 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Bills are 18-13 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win (4-5 TY).
— Bills are 4-3 ATS in last seven AFC East home games.

— December 17 at nite in Buffalo; weather could be a factor.
— Dolphins (+4.5) upset Bills 21-19 in Week 3.
— Buffalo outgained Miami 487-212, converted 11-18 on 3rd down.
— Win snapped a 6-game losing streak against the Bills.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Buffalo.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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Betting Trends

Saturday, December 17

Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings (NFL Network, 1:00 p.m.)

Colts no covers last two or five of last seven this season, also “under” 14-4 since late 2021 (though “over” last two).
Vikes 10-3 SU but only 6-6-1 vs. line in 2021, also “over” three in a row.

Tech Play: Under

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns (NFL Network, 4:30 p.m.)

Ravens have covered three straight at Cleveland.
Balt 5-2 SU and vs. spread away this season, also “under” 8-2 last ten in 2022.
Browns now “under” three straight in 2022, including both with Deshaun Watson back at QB.

Tech Play: Ravens, Under

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (NFL Network, 8:15 p.m.)

Dolphins won first meeting back on Sept 19 but trips to Buffalo have been harsh on Dolphins for years, they’re 1-9 SU and 2-8 vs. spread last ten at Orchard Park.
Last two Dolphins wins at Buffalo since 2011 have also both been with long-since departed Matt Moore at QB.
Miami now 0-5-1 vs. spread last six away this season.
Bills “under” 10-3 in 2022.

Tech Play: Bills, Under

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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MINNESOTA is 40-23 ATS (14.7 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

BALTIMORE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) in road games after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #663463 12/16/22 10:11 PM
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LOUISVILLE (7 - 5) vs. CINCINNATI (9 - 3) - 12/17/2022, 11:00 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


BYU (7 - 5) vs. SMU (7 - 5) - 12/17/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


FRESNO ST (9 - 4) vs. WASHINGTON ST (7 - 5) - 12/17/2022, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


RICE (5 - 7) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (6 - 6) - 12/17/2022, 5:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 2-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


FLORIDA (6 - 6) vs. OREGON ST (9 - 3) - 12/17/2022, 2:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
OREGON ST is 135-102 ATS (+22.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
OREGON ST is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


BOISE ST (9 - 4) vs. NORTH TEXAS (7 - 6) - 12/17/2022, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 170-128 ATS (+29.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 170-128 ATS (+29.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 106-78 ATS (+20.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #663464 12/16/22 10:14 PM
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Bowl Season
December 17

Fenway Bowl (Boston)
Cincinnati vs Louisville
Cincinnati (9-3)
— Bearcats won nine of their last 11 games SU.
— Cincy is 2-5-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Bearcats ran ball for 235 yards last game, only 3rd time this year.
— Cincy is 7-0 when it scores 27+ points, 2-3 when they don’t.
— 8 starters back on offense; 5 on defense; 107 starts back on OL
— junior QB started 11 games at Eastern Michigan LY; he was backup here in ’19/’20.
— Last 4+ years, Bearcats are 53-10 SU
— Cincy is 2-3 SU last five bowls, losing 24-21/27-6 last two years.
— Six of Bearcats’ last eight games stayed under the total.
— Cincinnati is 10-6 ATS last 16 non-conference games.
— Five of their last seven games were decided by 4 or less points.

Louisville (7-5)
— Louisville lost two of its last three games, scoring 18 ppg.
— Cardinals are 7-0 giving up 21 or less points, 0-5 allowing 26+ points.
— Louisville is +13 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Cardinals are +9 in turnovers TY (minus-23 previous four years)
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 116 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 38 starts
— Louisville is 8-12-1 ATS last 21 games as an underdog (3-3 TY).
— Cardinals are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 non-conference games.
— Louisville lost three of its last four bowl games SU.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

Louisville coach Satterfield quit last week to take the Cincinnati job, making this an unusual bowl games, with two interim coaches in charge.

— This is the first-ever Fenway Bowl; game was cancelled last two years.
— ACC teams are 21-11 SU last 32 games vs AAC squads.
— Last two years, ACC teams are 7-1 ATS vs AAC opponents.

New Mexico Bowl
SMU vs BYU
SMU (7-5)
— SMU won four of last five games, scoring 44.2 ppg.
— SMU gained 511.4 yards/game in those five games.
— Mustangs allowed 439+ TY in three of last four games.
— 6 starters back on offense; 7 on defense
— 74 starts back on OL; junior QB has 12 starts
— SMU is 9-6 ATS last fifteen games as a favorite.
— SMU is 10-5 ATS in last 15 non-conference games (1-2 TY).
— Mustangs lost last two bowl games, 51-10/52-28.
— SMU’s bowl game LY was PPD; they last played in a bowl in ’19.
— QB Mordecai has completed 64.3% of passes, with 31 TD’s, 9 INTs.

BYU (7-5)
— BYU won its last three games, scoring 31-52-35 points.
— Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine lined games.
— BYU is 6-0 giving up 26 or less points, 1-5 allowing 27+.
— Cougars are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as an underdog.
— BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— BYU has 90 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU has junior QB with 10 starts.
— BYU ran ball for 220+ yards three of last four games.
— Cougars’ last three games went over the total.
— Cougars are 3-2 SU last five bowls (were favored in all five)

— Last six years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS in this bowl.
— Average total in this bowl last five years, 56.0.

Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl (Los Angeles)
Washington State vs Fresno State
Washington State (7-5)
— Coogs won three of last four games, scoring 36 ppg.
— Coogs ran for 63.6 ypg in losses, 145.7 in wins.
— Wazzu is 7-0 giving up 20 or less points; 0-5 if allow more than 20.
— Coogs are 5-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Coogs are 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 non-conference games (2-0 TY).
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 31 starts back on offensive line; new QB was I-AA All-American at Incarnate Word
— Coogs lost four of last five bowl games (0-5 ATS)
— Under is 8-3 in Wazzu’s I-A games this year.

Fresno State (9-4)
— Fresno won its last eight games, after a 1-4 start.
— Last seven games, Fresno scored 37.7 ppg.
— Bulldogs are 8-1 if they score more than 20 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 19 starts
— Fresno is 12-5 ATS last 17 games as an underdog (2-3 TY).
— Bulldogs are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 non-conference games (0-3 TY).
— Bulldogs were held to 297-245 TY in last two games.
— Last three games, Fresno State is +7 in turnovers.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— Fresno won its last three bowls, scoring 33-31-31 points.
— Coach Tedford has a 7-3 record in bowl games.

— Utah State (+7) upset Oregon State 24-13 in first LA Bowl LY.
— Mountain West teams are 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS vs Pac-12 teams TY.
— From 2017-21, MW teams were 25-16 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.

LendingTree Bowl (Mobile, AL)
Rice vs Southern Mississippi
Rice (5-7)
— Rice lost its last three games, giving up 35.7 ppg.
— Owls are 5-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-7 if they score less.
— Six of their last nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line; 3 backups QB’s from LY return
— Last 4+ years, Owls are 16-38 SU (5-7 this year)
— Last four years, they’re 2-9 ATS as favorites, 22-19 as an underdog
— This is Rice’s first bowl game since 2014.
— Owls did win three of last four bowls.
— Their last three games stayed under the total.

Southern Miss (6-6)
— Southern Miss lost three of last four games SU.
— USM is 6-0 allowing 24 or less points, 0-6 giving up 26+points.
— Golden Eagles are 4-2 ATS last six games as a favorite.
— Southern Miss has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Eagles have 71 returning starts on offensive line.
— Southern Miss is 3-0 ATS TY in non-conference games.
— 2019-21, Golden Eagles were 3-10 ATS in non-conference games.
— USM is 1-3 SU/ATS in last four bowls (favorites 4-0 ATS)
— Golden Eagles’ last bowl was in 2019.
— Four of last five Southern Miss games went over the total.

— Until this year, Rice/Southern Miss were conference rivals in C-USA.
— Rice beat USM last two seasons, 30-6/24-19.
— Sun Belt teams won their last six appearances in this bowl.
— Underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five LendingTree Bowls.
— Last two years, Sun Belt teams are 8-6 ATS vs C-USA opponents.

Las Vegas Bowl
Florida vs Oregon State
Florida (6-6)
— Florida is 6-1 giving up less than 30 points, 0-5 if they allow 30+.
— Gators are 1-4 SU away from home TY (won 41-24 at Texas A&M)
— Underdogs covered 10 of their 12 games TY.
— Since 2018, Florida is 9-1 ATS as an underdog.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 98 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 1 start
— Gators gained 445+ total yards in each of last four games.
— Florida is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 non-conference games (2-1 TY).
— Gators lost last two bowls, 55-20/29-17.
— In his career, Napier is 2-1 SU in bowls.
— Over is 4-2 in Florida’s last six games.

Oregon State (9-3)
— Oregon State won six of last seven games, scoring 31.7 ppg.
— OSU was held to 14-16-21 points in losses to USC/Utah/Washington.
— Beavers are 9-0 when they score 24+ points.
— Beavers are 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Oregon State is 8-4 ATS in last 12 non-conference games.
— 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 76 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 15 starts
— Beavers ran ball for 200+ yards in four of last six games.
— Oregon State lost three of last four bowls SU (favored in all four).
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games overall.

— Favorites are 6-2 ATS in last eight Las Vegas Bowls.
— Since 2015, SEC teams are 10-6 ATS vs Pac-12 squads (0-3 TY).
— Since 2011, SEC underdogs are 5-4 ATS vs Pac-12 squads.

Frisco Bowl (Frisco, TX)
North Texas vs Boise State
North Texas (7-6)
— Mean Green is 5-3 SU in their last eight games.
— Last three games, North Texas was held to 21-21-27 points.
— UNT is 7-0 giving up 28 or less points, 0-6 allowing 31+.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 106 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 12 starts
— UNT is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog./
— Mean Green allowed 432+ TY in nine of last 12 games.
— UNT is 6-9 ATS in last 15 non-conference games (1-2 TY)
— Mean Green is bowling for sixth time in seven years,
— North Texas lost its last five bowls (1-4 ATS) giving up 44.6 ppg.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Boise State (9-4)
— Boise is 7-2 since changing OC’s, scoring 32.2 ppg.
— New OC Dirk Koetter was once head coach of the NFL’s Bucs.
— Boise is 8-1 when it scores 20+ points.
— Broncos ran ball for 248 ypg three of last four games.
— Boise has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 25 starts
— Boise is 26-19-1 ATS in last 46 games as a favorite.
— Broncos held six of last nine opponents under 275 TY.
— Boise is 5-8 ATS in last 13 non-conference games.
— Boise lost two of last three bowl games.
— Broncos also had bowl games cancelled in 2018/2021.
— Three of their last four games overall stayed under total.

— Favorites are 5-2 ATS in this bowl.
— Winning side scored 38+ points in six of seven Frisco Bowls.
— Mountain West teams are 10-8 SU last 18 games vs C-USA.
— Since 2011, C-USA underdogs are 17-12 ATS vs Mountain West teams.

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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Bowl Trends

Saturday, December 17

Fenway Bowl Trends
Louisville vs. Cincinnati (ESPN, 11:30 a.m. ET)

Interesting Scott Satterfield dynamics!
Cards 1-1 SU and vs. line in bowls since 2019, also 2-4 vs. spread last six bowls in Petrino and Satterfield regimes.
Fickell has moved from Cincy, but under him Bearcats were 2-2 SU and vs. line in bowls (including playoff game vs. Bama LY).
Bearcats underachieving 3-8 vs. spread in 2022, 6-13 vs. spread last 19 overall since mid 2021.
Note Cards “under” 5-1 last six this season.

Tech Play: Louisville & Under

Las Vegas Bowl Trends
Florida vs. Oregon State (ESPN, 2:30 p.m. ET)

Gators have failed to cover bowl games each of the past three seasons.
Beavers haven’t won or covered a bowl game since 2013 (last year LA Bowl loss to Utah State was first postseason game since).
Billy Napier did cover four of last five this season, and Florida was 5-0 as dog in 2022.
Napier won last three bowls with Ragin’ Cajuns but was only 1-3 vs. spread in bowls with ULL.
OSU 10-2 vs. spread this season, 7-2 vs. points last nine against non-Pac 12 foes.

Tech Play: Oregon State

LA Bowl Trends
Washington State vs. Fresno State (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Jeff Tedford won and covered both of his bowls for Bulldogs in 2017-18, before Fresno won but didn’t cover New Mexico Bowl vs. UTEP last year.
Meanwhile, Cougs now 1-4 SU, 0-5 vs. spread last five bowls dating back to the Mike Leach era.
Lost and failed to cover for Dickert last season in Sun vs. CMU.
Fresno closed season with 8 SU wins in a row, 6-2 vs. line in those, and covers in last three.
WSU on 16-6 spread run since early 2021, also on 10-3 “under” run.

Tech Play: Fresno State & Under

Lending Tree Bowl Trends
Rice vs. Southern Miss (ESPN, 5:45 p.m. ET)

Owls bowling for first time since 2014, Golden Eagles first time since 2019.
Prior to 2002 this was a Conference USA matchup, with Rice winning and covering each of the past two seasons.
Owls 5-2 last seven as underdogs this season.
USM 7-1 vs. spread last eight away from Hattiesburg, also 12-3 overall vs. spread since late 2021.
Note Rice was on a 12-1 “over” run stretching to late 2021 before landing “under” in final three games this season.
Golden Eagles “over” 9-5 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Southern Miss & Over

New Mexico Bowl Trends
SMU vs. BYU (ABC, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Cougs 3-2 SU, 2-3 vs. line in bowls for Kalani Stake.
Mustangs bowling for first time since 2019, when routed by host FAU in Boca Raton Bowl.
BYU on 4-11 spread skid since late 2021, also on 10-4 “over” run.
Rhett Lashlee just 5-7 vs. spread in SMU debut season.

Tech Play: Over

Frisco Bowl Trends
North Texas vs. Boise State (ESPN, 9:15 p.m. ET)

Broncos first bowl since 2019, though had to back out of Arizona Bowl LY.
Boise also had a bowl cancelled in 2018 against BC.
Mean Green 1-4 SU and 2-3 vs. spread last five bowls (those with HC Seth Littrell, just dismissed prior to this bowl game).
Broncos only 2-4-1 vs. spread last seven away from blue carpet, also 0-4 vs. spread this season outside of Mountain West.
Mean Green on 13-7 spread uptick since mid 2021.

Tech Play: North Texas

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

The Indianapolis Colts and the Minnesota Vikings will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Oddsmakers opened the Vikings as -5.5-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game's total opened at 47.

The Vikings were a 34-23 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Lions. They failed to cover the +2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (57) made winners of OVER bettors.

Indianapolis lost its last outing, a 54-19 result against the Cowboys on December 04. The Colts failed to cover in that game as a +11-point underdog, while the 73 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Indianapolis:
Team record: 4-8-1 SU,5-8 ATS
Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 18 games

Minnesota:
Team record: 10-3 SU,6-6-1 ATS
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Indianapolis home to Los Angeles Monday, December 26
Minnesota home to New York Saturday, December 24

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 18 games
Indianapolis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 10 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Saturday when the Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns meet at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Oddsmakers opened the Browns as -3-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game's total opened at 42.

The Browns were a 23-10 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Bengals. They failed to cover the +4-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (33) made winners of UNDER bettors.

The Ravens were a 16-14 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Steelers. They covered the +1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (30) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Baltimore:
Team record: 9-4 SU,5-7-1 ATS
Baltimore is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games

Cleveland:
Team record: 5-8 SU,6-7 ATS
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Cleveland is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home

Next up:
Baltimore home to Atlanta Saturday, December 24
Cleveland home to New Orleans Saturday, December 24

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Cleveland is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cleveland is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Baltimore's last 22 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Baltimore is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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MIAMI DOLPHINS VS. BUFFALO BILLS

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Saturday when the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills meet at Highmark Stadium.

Oddsmakers opened the Bills as -7.5-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game's total opened at 47.5.

Buffalo won its last outing, a 20-12 result against the Jets on December 11. The Bills failed to cover in that game as a -10-point favorite, while the 32 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 23-17 loser as they battled the Chargers on the road. The Dolphins failed to cover in the match as a -3-point favorite, while 40 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Miami:
Team record: 8-5 SU,6-7 ATS
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games

Buffalo:
Team record: 10-3 SU,6-6-1 ATS
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games

Next up:
Miami home to Green Bay Sunday, December 25
Buffalo at Chicago Saturday, December 24

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games
Buffalo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Buffalo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 15 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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CINCINNATI BEARCATS VS. LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

The fans at Fenway Park will be treated to a game between the Cincinnati Bearcats and the Louisville Cardinals when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Bearcats as -1-point favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game's total opened at 44.5.

Louisville lost its last outing, a 26-13 result against Wildcats on November 26. Louisville failed to cover in that game as a +3.5-point underdog, while the 39 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Cincinnati was a 27-24 loser in its last match at home against Green Wave. They failed to cover the +1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 51 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Cincinnati:
Team record: 9-3 SU,3-8-1 ATS
Cincinnati is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games

Louisville:
Team record: 7-5 SU,7-5 ATS
Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Louisville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Louisville Cardinals
Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Louisville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games
Louisville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Louisville is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cincinnati
Louisville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisville
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisville
Cincinnati is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Louisville

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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FLORIDA GATORS VS. OREGON STATE BEAVERS

The fans at Allegiant Stadium will be treated to a game between the Florida Gators and the Oregon State Beavers when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Beavers as -7.5-point favorites versus the Gators, while the game's total opened at 55.

Oregon State was a 38-34 winner in their most recent outing at home against Ducks. They covered the -1-point spread as favorites, while the total score (72) made winners of OVER bettors.

Florida was a 45-38 loser in its last match on the road against Seminoles. They covered the +9.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 83 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Florida:
Team record: 6-6 SU,7-5 ATS
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games

Oregon State:
Team record: 9-3 SU,10-2 ATS
Current Streak: won 3 straight games.
Oregon State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Oregon State Beavers
Oregon State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Florida Gators
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games

Re: 12/17 Statistical Advantages
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WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS VS. FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS

The fans at SoFi Stadium will be treated to a game between the Washington State Cougars and the Fresno State Bulldogs when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Cougars as -3.5-point favorites versus the Bulldogs, while the game's total opened at 50.5.

In their last action, Fresno State was a 28-16 winner on the road against Broncos. They covered the +3-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (44) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Washington State was a 51-33 loser in their most recent outing at home against Huskies. They failed to cover the +2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (84) made winners of OVER bettors.

Washington State:
Team record: 7-5 SU,8-4 ATS
Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington State's last 13 games

Fresno State:
Team record: 9-4 SU,6-7 ATS
Current Streak: won 8 straight games.
Fresno State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 7 games

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