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NFL 10/15

Buf -15.5 for 1 unit

NFL 10/15

Buf -15.5 for 1 unit

FYI my post above got double posted ^^ only played the Bills once for one unit. Bad call tho! They didn’t score til the 4th against a BAD Giants team. They shoulda lost straight up candidly. Homer bet, I got tickets to the game last minute lol. Glad I didn’t get dumb and tease them to 7 or something.

YTD: 11-3, +9.16 units

10/22 NFL

2 Team Parlay: Buf ML & Sea ML (-180) for 3 units
Philadelphia -2.5 for 1 unit

Pending: Philadelphia -2.5 for 1 unit (10/22)

YTD: 11-4, +3.76 units

Ouch. Bills came back to blow it at the end to Tom Brady.. I mean McCorkle Fuckin Jones and the 1-5 Patriots. So fucking ugly. But that’s part of this strategy is when you take your shot, especially with a heavy vig, don’t miss!

Seattle game will prob roll but it doesn’t matter.. need both.

PS Seattle started down 10-7 in the 2nd as 8.5 pt div rival favorites.. this week 6/7 range is a tricky time for this strategy bc teams are still figuring it out and teams aren’t fully tanking yet.

Pending: Philadelphia -2.5 for 1 unit

YTD: 11-4, +3.76 units

Dang!! Seattle did take care of business and win by 10 as 9.5 point faves. Bills got beat.. came all the way back to blow it at the end against .. Tom Brady and the Patriots .. no wait, it’s McCorkle freaking Jones and the 1-5 Pats. I took a shot here, I missed. Liked the Bills to continue that dominance over NE not drop to 4-3. One thing I’ll say is if you’re gonna lay -180 on a BIG play, be ready to pay the piper if it doesn’t come through… these weeks like 6-10 can be very sticky. This is week 7… last year the Giants beat the Pack in a similar situation (at least I thought) around a similar time. Teams are still figuring it out around now and bad teams aren’t actively trying to lose from the front office yet. Belichik for his legacy this week, Mac for his career, it’s their Super Bowl and they had played some tough games. Bills have been shaky lately.. I can see how it happened. Dang.

NFL 10/26 & 10/30

2 Team Parlay: Buffalo (10/26) -2.5 & Detroit (10/30) -2.5 (-137) for 2 units

NFL 11/5/23

2 Team Parlay: Cleveland -1 & New Orleans -1 (-148) for 3 units

YTD: 13-4, +8.76 units

NFL 11/5 & 11/6

2 Team Parlay: Buffalo +7 (11/5) & LA Chargers +5.5 (11/6) (-122) for 1 unit

NFL 11/12 & 11/13

2 Team Parlay: Cincinnati +3 & Buffalo -1 (-162) for 2 units

YTD: 14-4, +9.76 units

YTD: 14-5, +6.52 units

My underperforming homer Buffalo Bills blew it for us .. again this year. I didn’t think their season would be practically ended (at home in primetime) by a team that got beat by 50 not too long ago. Ironically we needed every bit of the Cin +3 to push. Considered Bills +3 but that two team parlay would’ve been -210. That’s pretty heavy. I figured if Cin gets trapped 3 would help.. I didn’t think Buf would lose with their season on the line.

3-5-1 (4-5 but Buffalo pushed in week 1, still won that one) in Bills games. One of those losses they took care of business and Jax got smacked.. but maybe this is a sign not to live and die by the home team whether I watch them each week or not.

NFL 11/19/23

4 Team Parlay: Wash -1, Miami -3, SF -3, & Buffalo +3 (+125) for 2 units

If you’ve read my forum posts before, you will know that I am not a big advocate of a four team parlay. Shoot, even three can be a little sticky at times. But I was looking at this late and was seriously toying with sex… Dallas and Detroit would’ve found their way in, but both have trappy scents. And six is ridiculous. Four is actually ridiculous, six is just a complete abandoning of principles, and I might as well just buy a scratch off.

But breaking down the four… I think the Bills roll. I know I have taken them a lot this season, but they just got embarrassed on national TV. Any team in this situation would be a good one to consider and we’re still catching three. Second, I think the Giants are in near tank mode. They are playing the rookie, Washington has some wife… They aren’t amazing, but I think they win this game. The Niners, after that three game losing streak, they cannot afford a misstep this week and are back at home. The Bucs had a nice win last week, they can phone it in this week. Lastly, I really like Miami -3. When I look at Miami’s home record and the Raiders road record, it doesn’t really go much further than that. They seem to be really good against bad teams.

Lol *six

YTD: 14-6, +4.52 units

Tommy and the Giants didn’t get the memo about tanking and Washington had 6 turnovers. THEY were the trap team traveling to Dallas on Thanksgiving next week… damn. FYI Detroit & Dallas took care of business. Going w the 4-6 team was the mistake I think. Plus it was a trap.

Should stick w the good teams. They find ways to win.

And fyi Lions were down in the 4th I think by like the 4th and came back and won. That was trappy esque.

Ok so interesting- division games are something to def look for maybe even more than home/road - Lions won but prob shouldn’t have vs Chicago. And Wash lost to their division rival Giants