Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar First and Goal Is it too early for season win totals?

Both NCAAF and NFL.

Couple stand out for me:
Iowa over 7.5...Very weak scedhule, dont think 9 wins is out of the possibility. 8-4 should be more than doable, took it large.

Ole miss under 9.5. Loaded SEC and they have easy first 4 out the gate, but have Geo, OKLA, LSU, and @KTY which is a tough place to win too.
Throw in an upset or two (against them) and this could be a 7-5, 8-4 team. 9-3 ceiling for me with this team. Highly doubt they will only lose 2 games especially with this back end tough schedule.

USC= my once proud FB team is now consistently getting out-recruited. Doesnt help that they are in big 10 now and a brutal schedule with UND, UCLA, UM, PSU, WISC, LSU.
Should be 6-6 or 7-5 at best. Taking under 7.5 wins....Found 8 somewhere earlier with -135 on under (long gone) and pounced.

NFL:
Dallas Cowboys under 10.5 wins
=Zeke reunion isn't the answer, and all teams in their division are much to somewhat stronger, I dont think they make the playoffs and win 8 games. Cant see 11-6 with this roster and sitting on the sidelines.0
Expect internal blow-ups after week 5-6.

Bengals under 10.5 wins
While their schedule is a bit soft, Burrow just cant stay healthy. Even if he does, I think 11 wins is stretching it for this team. They had one good year still being priced based on that and not what they have talent wise as an all around team They are regressing and O-line still sucks ass. Gimme U10.5 all day on this one.

Steelers over 8.5 wins +135
Great drafting, think they can win 10 games but 9 is extra cushion. Generous odds, found some at 8 -110 took that over as well. Wilson is due, Fields can wreak havoc with his running and they can do alot more with both of these mobile QB's; something they have never had, now they have 2. Brutal stretch down the 5 game end but I think 9-8 very likely, if not 10 wins.

Eagles over 10.5
I think they will be right back in the Super Bowl; loaded talent, motivation from last years swoon dive, and shored up secondary drafting studs from NCAA. Heaviest wager by far here. Praying no injuries. 12-5 should be more than doable.
Thoughts?

This is a great post regardless of what the outcomes are. You put thought into it and that's what I like to see.

I have to start doing some deep dives after NHL playoffs conclude.

Adding: Miami Dolphins under 9.5 wins
jets 1-1 at best
SF, @HOU, @CLE, @GB, @LAR (toss up there), bills (as always 0-2 guaranteed no matter what) @IND, @ SEA no gimmies there,
Start vs JAX, brutal schedule; 1 injury away from being a 6 win team..have them getting to 8 or 9 at best.
Poor draft, rest of teams got better from Draft.

Tripling MIA Under bet to make it largest wager for me....FWIW.

adding:
LAC under 8.5 +115
Um lets see....1st year coach from NCAA, a team with many holes not addressed during draft, a road game pretty much every time since no one wants them in LA,
all teams got better except a handful such as them, and your telling me theyre gonna win more than 1/2 their games?
Raiders split
Broncos split
at Bucs, vs falcons, at Ravens, at bengals, at titans, at saints, vs steelers all toss ups at best to most likely losses.
KC twice no good
panthers prob a win
Just dont see them clearing 8 wins, I have 7-10 at best. Will probably add more. love getting the ++odds too.

Sorry correct line was 8.5 +135, now +1.45. Almost 3 to 2 odds gotta love the under LAC

Upped eagles bet to be the largest wager now....I think this is a super bowl bound team and the #1 seed.
Odds have drastically changed to reflect that as well; 10.5 even over is now 10.5 under +120

Eagles have the talent for sure. I’m just not 100% sold on Hurts. Good luck!

Always a fun topic and good reading .

I'm not totally on board with the reasoning on this one. Harbaugh is not a first-year coach from the NCAA. He is an established coach that took the Niners to a Super bowl and the NFC championship game. He knows the NFL. I definitely think they could sweep the Broncos who will not be very good. And I really don't think they need to be that concerned about the Titans, Saints, or Steelers. I certainly think the Panthers and the Patriots will be wins. The number seems about right to me.