Hit my GOM last week in a wire to wire win with Marshall. Now 3 straight weeks hitting my top play. Stanford not showing up crushed what could have been a big weekend.
UCF -3 5*
UCF has a higher net expected yardage, have faced a tougher schedule, and has a better TO ratio. UCF off B2B losses will be fired up for this home game. UCF has the #12 offense vs Cincys 105th ranked defense.
BYU -5 4*
BYU is 5-0 SUATS this year and continue to over perform. They have only played 2 home games and have out scored opponents 79 to 22. I have this capped at 9.
USC +6 4*
Penn State is playing in only their 2nd road game of the year. USC has faced a much tougher schedule and I think the staff is feeling some heat. USC is by far the best team that Penn State had faced. I have this capped at a pick.
Arizona State +6.5 3*
With this line I assume they are expecting Rising to play. But if he does how rusty will he be? If he isn't playing this line is off by 5 points. Arizona State is 4-1SUATS and 3-0 at home.
Pitt -3 3*
Pitt has a net expected yardage of +70 vs Cal. Cal coming off a very emotional loss vs Miami as they blew a 20 point lead in the 2nd half. Pit is 5-0 SUATS this year. Cal is only 5-17 SU on the road their last 22.
Rice +6 3*
It is tough making a case for a loser but they are facing a loser at home catching close to a TD. Rice has the better stats and an even SOS. UTSA is 1-4-1 ATS their last 6 on the road.
Nevada +6 3*
Nevada has played a much tougher schedule, a better TO ratio, and close in expected yards. Oregon State is playing in only their 2nd road game this year.
Good Luck
