Doubleheader of MNF and more!

GL

1st Half Chargers -0.5 Chargers have led the last 4 games @ halftime. They have one of the best scoring Def in the NFL.Cardinals have allowed over 150 yards in last 4 games.

Bucs +3.5

Baker Mayfield is playing as well as any QB in the NFL with his 15 TDs and 5 INTs. Couple the running game of Bucky Irving to compliment the passing game and I think the Bucs can cover. I think this is a 3 point game either way so I'll take the points.

JK Dobbins o 77.5 yds…Dobbins off of 96 yd game last week now faces Cards who are 30th vs run…Dobbins back up is Gus Edwards and he’s hurt..Dobbins had 25 carries last week and expect the same this week

Chargers under 44.5 as of now I’m seeing 79% on overs and 64% of the cash on overs but the total has dropped!

Two offenses that have been sputtering as of late I like the unders tonight

Lamar Jackson over 229.5 passing yards.

He's covered this number in 4 of 6 games and the Bucs have the 4th worst DEF against the pass.

Tampa Bay U50...seems extremely hight to me and think one of these teams won't hit the mark in scoring metrics tonight.

Ravens/Buccaneers ov 50
Bucs dealing with injuries on the defensive side
Bucs 2nd in scoring, Mayfield on a tear
Ravens 4th in scoring at 29.5 avg per game
Ravens 31st in pass defense
Ravens avg 5.9 yards per rush
Bucs bottom ten in rush yards allowed

LAC ml
Going with the better overall defense, coach, offensive line, defensive line, and QB.

K. Dobbins has recorded fewer than 17.5 rushing attempts in 9 of his last 10 appearances.
UNDER 17.5 RUSHING ATTEMPTS

Baltimore Ravens -3 (-138) bought down 0.5 Pts

The Ravens have won the last five meetings between these two teams, most recently in week 8 of the 2022 season.
In the final season of Tom Brady, the Ravens beat the home team 27-22

The Ravens were 4.5-point favorites on the road, before reopening at -4 after last week’s games.
Bucs money quickly poured into the market, pushing the odds down to -3.5 on the Ravens at the start of the week, where they’ve remained.

The Ravens’ record against the NFC is well-publicized, with the Ravens proving two years ago that they can beat a much better Bucs defense.

Baltimore are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
Baltimore are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

The public betting has 74% on the BAL money line and 69% on BAL -3.5. I will go with the public on this game.

Ravens - I don’t trust TB and Baker at all. Sometimes the eye test is all you need to look at but Lamar was from Louisville; he should be fine in the heat. Plus that vs NFC record…

nfl
TB VS BAL
OVER 49.5
GL

Lamar Jackson has some eye-popping trends in his favor against NFC teams, but Baker Mayfield also does when catching points. Mayfield is 10-4 against the spread as an underdog with the Bucs. He has also covered the number at a 57.1% rate over his entire career when his team is an underdog of more than three points. Over the last two seasons with Tampa Bay, he's 6-1 (85.7%) against the spread in that scenario

Raven -3.5; TB has HUGE game on deck with ATL. Winner of that game takes the division lead. That game is much more important to TB than this game against the Ravens.

BAL -4
Better offence and defence

Chargers ML
They seem to check all the boxes in this one both on offense and defense

Bucs/Ravens OEVR 50.0

Bucs will get their points against a Ravens D that has allowed 23,38,25,26 in 4 of their last 5 and 10 to a Bills team that clearly didn't show up in Prime Time.
They've won 4 of those 5 games while averaging 31.4 PPG.
Bucs have gone over in 3 straight and 4 of 6 on the season.

Arizona Cardinals +1
Record doesn’t accurately portray this team, as they’ve played some of the league’s very best.