NHL

TAMPA -148

Since 2022, Tampa is #1 in "real" home ice advantage. Boston happpens to be terrible on the road. .

Per inpredicatables betting market ratings, this is an 11 vs 14 matchup. I think this is off in both directions. Tampa is better than 11, and Boston is worse than 14. Tampa is 4th in goal differential vs very tough opponents. BootyCheekBruins are 29th vs an easy schedule.

TAM - 4th home goal differential
BOS - 30th road goal differential

Avalanche ML -135
Avalanche are on the back to back game tonight, but rested their goalie last night and fell flat against a weak Blackhawks. Generally the Avalanche do not lose multiple games in a row and I am looking for a strong bounce back spot tonight against the Wild. Good division rivalry game tonight.

Penn St ML bet...I bet it earlier last week +2.5 and still feel they are the right side, clearly getting the $$$ now, will be close game for sure....GLA!

Penn State 1H Under 21.5 -115
Really like the 1H Under at 21.5 which I don’t think will last.
Not impressed with the Irish offensive performance vs GA which was aided by GA mistakes and poor play calling.
RB Love won’t be anywhere near 100% and Penn St is very good at stopping the run.
Irish passing game is underwhelming.
Flip side this Irish defense is stout and is extremely difficult to pass on.
Just see a tight 1H

Wash under 146.5

5 out of the last 6 Wash games on the road have gone under, also 6 out of the last 7 MSU games at home. Good luck.

Texas St +7. Texas State is a better three-point team than Troy as well as rebounding. Troy ranks high and turnover per possession as well. I’ll take the points in this one.

ND (u45)...both defenses are stout. Both offenses have had points gifted the last two weeks via special teams and turnovers. This should be a grind it out game. ND will continue to play ball control with Leonard controlled runs. PN St will struggle moving the ball against this top defense.

Carolina -170 (NHL)

Bet against Toronto after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games.
Toronto record during the 2025 season: 1-7 (13%) with an average money line of -140.6. (-8.8 unit$, ROI=-78.6%).
The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 1.6, Opponents 4.0.

ND UNDER 45.5

Both teams striggle offensively vs good defenses. Both Defenses carry their teams.

neither been in a game of this magnitude in a while.

1H starts out slow and game stays under

Ohio St -3
This line has went up for some reason but u got Ore coming cross country and u have unranked team giving ranked team pts at home and from the ones I have seen so far this system or what ever u want to call it is 12-5 so its the Buckeyes but if this line gets back down to 3 or less I would look at the ML

TWolves -5.5...Magic have tons of injuries and won as a big dog on Monday..Wolves won their last 2 games and I think they win here

CFB Notre Dame pk -110 Franklin will find a way to screw this up. Penn St has struggled every time they have seen a quality defense this season. If ND qb could throw, this is a blow out. He can't so it should be a great game. ND will attack in multiple ways in run game, Penn St will struggle to run and Franklin will come through.

ND-1.5. Defense is better than anything PSU has faced

Penn St +1.5
2 extra days of rest and ND coming off one of their most physical games of the year

Notre Dame -1.5 -105 ND 12-2 ats this year and PSU is 8-7 ATS this season ND Has the better DEF

Detroit under 220

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road. Detroit underzz220

ND/penn St U45
Two really good defenses. Neither offense will look to take many chances
ND 20-17

Penn state ML. ND'a performance last week was scary but UGA had to have been suffering from the looong bye week. PSU has 2 more days of game planning and physical recovery. They also saw stiffer competition through the year.