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9/8 Statistical Advantages
#896943 08/27/25 04:11 AM
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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #897919 08/30/25 11:14 PM
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Top Trends
Chicago is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.
Chicago is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games against an opponent in the NFC North division.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota’s last 11 games played on a Monday.
Minnesota is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games played on a Monday when playing on the road.

Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #899982 09/08/25 04:13 AM
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Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 13 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Atlanta is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Connecticut
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Connecticut is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Connecticut is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Connecticut is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta


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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #899983 09/08/25 04:14 AM
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Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota

Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago

Chicago

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Minnesota


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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #899984 09/08/25 04:14 AM
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Minnesota VS Chicago

Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against Chicago.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road.
Chicago is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games against Minnesota.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.


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Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #900013 09/08/25 12:11 PM
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10h 29m 28s
6:40 PM ET
See Matchup
Kansas City
VS
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the American League.
10h 29m 28s
6:40 PM ET
See Matchup
Washington
VS
Miami
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Washington is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games against Miami.
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against Washington.
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington.
10h 34m 28s
6:45 PM ET
See Matchup
New York
VS
Philadelphia
NY Mets is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games against Philadelphia.
NY Mets is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against NY Mets.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
11h 4m 28s
7:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Chicago
VS
Atlanta
Chicago Cubs is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Atlanta.
Chicago Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Chicago Cubs is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago Cubs' last 20 games played on a Monday.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games against Chicago Cubs.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home.
11h 54m 28s
8:05 PM ET
See Matchup
Milwaukee
VS
Texas
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Milwaukee is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against Texas.
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas' last 5 games.
Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.
13h 27m 28s
9:38 PM ET
See Matchup
Minnesota
VS
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 13 games.
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against LA Angels.
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels' last 10 games.
LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels' last 6 games played in September.
13h 29m 28s
9:40 PM ET
See Matchup
Cincinnati
VS
San Diego
Cincinnati is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games.
Cincinnati is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games against San Diego.
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Cincinnati is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
San Diego is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
13h 29m 28s
9:40 PM ET
See Matchup
St. Louis
VS
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 games.
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis' last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games.
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.
13h 34m 28s
9:45 PM ET
See Matchup
Arizona
VS
San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games.
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games against Arizona.
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.
13h 54m 28s
10:05 PM ET
See Matchup
Boston
VS
Athletics
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games.
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Athletics.
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Athletics.
Athletics is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Athletics' last 7 games at home.
Athletics is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Athletics' last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.
13h 59m 28s
10:10 PM ET
See Matchup
Colorado
VS
Los Angeles
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Colorado is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road.
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 5 games.
LA Dodgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 6 games against Colorado.
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #900016 09/08/25 01:08 PM
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WNBA

Stat Streaks

ATS

Atl Dream 4

Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #900053 09/08/25 02:59 PM
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MLB

Monday, September 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kansas City VS Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the American League.

Washington VS Miami
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Washington is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games against Miami.
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against Washington.
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington.

New York VS Philadelphia
NY Mets is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games against Philadelphia.
NY Mets is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against NY Mets.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets.

Chicago VS Atlanta
Chicago Cubs is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Atlanta.
Chicago Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Chicago Cubs is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago Cubs' last 20 games played on a Monday.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games against Chicago Cubs.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home.

Milwaukee VS Texas
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Milwaukee is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against Texas.
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas' last 5 games.
Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

Minnesota VS Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 13 games.
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against LA Angels.
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels' last 10 games.
LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels' last 6 games played in September.

Cincinnati VS San Diego
Cincinnati is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games.
Cincinnati is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games against San Diego.
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Cincinnati is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
San Diego is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

St. Louis VS Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 games.
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis' last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games.
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.

Arizona VS San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games.
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games against Arizona.
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.

Boston VS Athletics
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games.
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Athletics.
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Athletics.
Athletics is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Athletics' last 7 games at home.
Athletics is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Athletics' last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.

Colorado VS Los Angeles
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Colorado is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road.
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 5 games.
LA Dodgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 6 games against Colorado.
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #900080 09/08/25 05:09 PM
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 2,143
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Cambodia
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8:15 p.m. ET: Minnesota Vikings (-1.5, 43.5) at Chicago Bears

The Vikings went 14-3 last season, making the postseason but falling to the Rams 27-9 in the Wild Card round. Minnesota’s win total for this year is 9.5 with the under juiced to -140 at DraftKings. Meanwhile, the Bears finished 5-12 and missed the playoffs last season. Chicago’s win total for this year is set at 8.5 with the under juiced to -145.

Back in the Spring when this line first opened the Bears were listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.

Since that time, we’ve seen the line flip in favor of the Vikings, moving Minnesota from a 1.5-point road dog to a 1.5-point road favorite. The line reached as high as Vikings -2.5 before some wiseguy Bears buyback hit Chicago +2.5 and dropped the number back down to Vikings -1.5 where it stands on gameday. Essentially, late movement is breaking back toward Chicago.

At DraftKings, the Bears are taking in 48% of spread bets and 63% of spread dollars. At Circa, Chicago is receiving 56% of spread bets and 59% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sneaky “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet discrepancy in favor of the home dog plus the points.

Week 1 divisional dogs are 34-20 ATS (63%) with a 21% ROI since 2016. Week 1 dogs who missed the playoffs the previous season, like the Bears here, are 64-51 ATS (56%) with an 8% ROI since 2016. Week 1 inflated dogs getting at least a full point off the opener at 39-25 ATS (61%) with a 17% ROI since 2016.

Primetime dogs are 3-0 ATS so far this season and 144-126 (53%) with a 2% ROI since 2020. Alan Eck, the lead ref, is 55% ATS to the home team historically.

Those looking to back the system matches on Chicago but wary of a close game not covering the spread could instead entertain the Bears in a Wong Teaser. By taking the Bears up from +1.5 to +7.5, savvy data-driven bettors are able to pass through the top two key numbers of 3 and 7.

We’ve also seem some respected smart money back Chicago to win outright, as the Bears are taking in 43% of moneyline bets and 64% of moneyline dollars at DraftKings.

Sharps seem to be expecting a lower scoring game, as the total has fallen from 44.5 to 43.5. At DraftKings, the under is taking in 45% of bets but 47% of dollars.

Unders are off to a 12-3 (80%) start so far this season. Primetime unders are 191-138 (58%) with a 12% ROI since 2019. Outdoor divisional unders are 304-253 (55%) with a 5% ROI since 2017. Last season, the Bears and Vikings both went 10-7 to the under.

Weather shouldn’t play much of a factor here, as the forecast calls for mid 60s with clear skies and mild 5-7 MPH winds at Soldier Field.


CHARGE it to the GAME
Re: 9/8 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #900097 09/08/25 06:38 PM
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Monday night
Vikings @ Bears (-1)
Vikings were 14-3 last year, dumped QB Darnold anyway.
2nd year QB McCarthy is making his first NFL start; he was hurt last year.
O’Connell is 34-19 as an NFL head coach.
Last two years, Vikings were 11-5-2 ATS on the road.
Under O’Connell, Minnesota is 4-4-1 ATS on road vs NFC North rivals.
Vikings are 14-11-4 ATS in last 29 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 26-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Bears have had four straight losing years; they have a new coach now.
This is Ben Johnson’s first game as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams was 5-12 as a starter in his rookie year LY.
Last two years, Chicago was 10-5-1 ATS at home.
Last five years, Bears were 3-11-1 ATS at home vs NFC North rivals.
Chicago is 6-11-2 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Vikings won eight of last nine series games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU/4-0-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


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