Home Forums Sports Picks Central Bet The House 10/27 Bet The House

St Louis -115 (NHL)

St Louis is 247-167 last 414 games as a road favorite. This line looks fishy to me (Blues 3-4-1 favored against the Penguins at 6-2-1 on the road also) so I'll back the Blues.

Actually Jpearl has posted MLB in the past and had an expert thread where he kicked the books ass. He didn't have time to run it back this year, but Jpearl definitely is in the right here.

I like or some vague stat with nothing behind it is worthless. People do come to this thread and like to ride other people's picks. On top of that the "lazy" folks just want access to Paid Professionals.

No disputing it, I've seen it all. I'm not the only one tired of the lack of give back considering all the work that has been done here for 25 years. It's not hard to make a sensible thought out reason for your selection.

NFL

284 Kansas City -10

On my spreadsheet I have a home favorite situation this year hitting at 23-11

Play KC

Chiefs -10

We're seeing a Kansas City team that looks like the class of the AFC and vintage Patrick Mahomes. I'll take the Chiefs here in a 14+ point game.

Wash +11
KC in a sandwich here off Detroit and with Bills showdown next week. Wash given 7 extra points due to Daniels being out. Wash keeps it close for the Monday night viewers Mariotta gets them inside this generous number

MLB
LAD (-1) (-150)...starting pitcher edge goes to Glasnow and the Dodgers. LAD only needed to get one in TOR and they succeeded. Now back home. Just think the better overall team is still LAD hence the series price back above where it started. Neither bullpen has had to see a ton of leverage spots thus far. First road game for TOR in 2 weeks.

KC -11
Mahommes has got all his weapons back against QB2
Wall in the park for KC

Terry Mclaurin o44.5 rec yds-114…first game for Scary Terry since Sept 21 when he got 74 vs Raiders..best receiver on Commanders…would have preferred Daniels instead of Mariota but Mariotas been around…looking for the hot Chiefs to jump out early like they usually do putting Commanders in throw mode…reaching 45 seems easy for talent like Mclaurin

NBA Philadelphia +5.5
Sixers are 6-4 in last 10 meetings. They are off
To a good start this season. So taking sixers
at home with points makes sense to me

Commanders + 11

Prime-time Underdogs, just 40% ATS last 5 years + teams on a 3 game home stand that covered the 1st 2 games of said home stand, only 38% ATS last 15 years.

Dodgers over 8...-115....Don't trust either pitcher but the offenses are both hitting....Scherzer is getting up there so he's losing some of his stuff and Glasnow has an over 5 ERA in October

Dodgers Over 4 F5 -125, Glasnow in the first percentile in Chase rate and scherzer a corpse of his former self I can’t see how this stays under against these offences that are tough to fool

KC/WAS Under 48 (-110).

I’m fading the shootout with Mariota in for Daniels. Kansas City can control this with their defense and offensive line without turning it into a track meet. Washington’s defense has leaks, but Arrowhead noise plus a conservative plan should chew clock and shorten possessions. I’ll sprinkle a smaller play on 1H Under 24.5 and a token KC -10, but the total under is the anchor.

LA -125 Home team w/ better pitcher

Kansas City Chiefs -10
Patrick Mahomes is playing MVP-caliber football and they have won four of last five
Kansas City defense has allowed 17 points in its last two outings and has been dominant
Washington doesn't have the magic it showed last season and the defense has all sort of leaks
Washington has struggled against good defenses on the road and has lost three of last four

LA -1.5 -105
Dodgers have been rolling at home. I don’t see them letting up. Bonus freeman O.5 RBI +140
Dodgers 8-3

Not when it comes to the MLB Playoffs. Its essentially the gut talking. Last night was a prime example. Jpearl didn't have time to post picks or "run it back" yet he calls someone out for doing the same damn thing? I agreed it was a bad post, but I also said I get it when it comes to MLB this time of year, reason can be thrown out of the window. You've built a great thing here FREAK, and yes I will agree some posts are bad (although I am not really sure why anyone would want to see Paid Professionals - it's horrendous) but most are still doing the best they can. Sometimes I don't have the greatest reason for a game, but it's enough for me to make the bet and I am an accredited writer. Sometimes a bet is just a bet. I've written 2 page analyses on bets I have sent out and lost. One word analyses that win big. Each game and reason should be treated differently. Guess I kind of blew my cover there as a paid professional. Anyways - you have a great thing going here and I love to see everyone doing their thing. Nothing personal with Jpearl, I guess I just haven't been here long enough to see him do anything but critique, instead of adding to discussion. Again, I agreed about the post, just not the situation.

u51.5 UTEP / Kennesaw

I can see Kennesaw putting up 24-27 points in this game but UTEP will Struggle to score. UTEP is only averaging 21 points a game and that's with putting up 42 and 35 against 2 of the bad teams they played. They struggle to score against teams with winning records. Kennesaw averages around 25 points a game which I see them hitting but would be shocked if UTEP hit 20.