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11/24 Statistical Advantages
#917687 11/17/25 12:57 AM
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Re: 11/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #918281 11/20/25 02:21 AM
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Carolina:
Team record: 6-5 SU,7-4 ATS
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Carolina's last 25 games

San Francisco:
Team record: 7-4 SU,6-5 ATS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Carolina home to Los Angeles Sunday, November 30
San Francisco at Cleveland Sunday, November 30

San Francisco 49ers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Carolina
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 15 of San Francisco's last 20 games when playing Carolina
San Francisco is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Carolina
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Carolina's last 25 games
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Carolina is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games when playing San Francisco
Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Carolina's last 20 games when playing San Francisco
Carolina is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Re: 11/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #918395 11/20/25 01:04 PM
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New England
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New England
(265) CAROLINA (6-5) at (266) SAN FRANCISCO (7-4)
* CAROLINA is 23-33 ATS (41.1%) in non-divisional conference games since 2018
Trend Match (FADE): CAROLINA (+7 at SF)

* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is 14-3 SU and ATS in his last 17 games vs. poor offensive teams scoring <19 PPG
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is 2-6 SU and 0-8 ATS in his last eight starts following up a game in which his team scored 30+ points
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is just 9-8 SU and 5-12 ATS in his last 17 vs. teams with lesser records
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of SAN FRANCISCO (-7 vs CAR)

* SAN FRANCISCO is on 16-2 Over the total surge as a home favorite of -3 to -7 points
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CAR-SF (o/u at 48.5)

Re: 11/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #918397 11/20/25 01:07 PM
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New England
Laying 7 points or more has not been a good strategy on MNF, as favorites of 7 points or more are 49-15 SU but just 24-38-2 ATS (38.7%) since 2012.
System Match (FADE ATS): SAN FRANCISCO (-7 vs CAR)

In non-divisional conference matchups on MNF, hosts are on a 23-23 SU and 27-19 ATS (58.7%) surge since 2019.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-7 vs CAR)

Won/lost records have mattered on MNF, as teams with the better record are 47-42 SU but just 34-53-2 ATS (39.1%) in the last 89 MNF games not matching teams with identical records.
System Match (FADE): SAN FRANCISCO (-7 vs CAR)

Good MNF Team Trend
San Francisco 12-7 SU and ATS since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-7 vs CAR)

Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Carolina 7-14 SU and 7-13-1 ATS in the last 21 primetime games
Trend Match (FADE): CAROLINA (+7 at SF)

Re: 11/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #918855 11/22/25 07:17 AM
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Panthers @ 49ers (-7)
Panthers (6-5)
Carolina won five of its last seven games.
Panthers are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses
QB Young is 12-26 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 11-17 as a head coach.

Panthers are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 9-11 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Carolina is 2-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Panthers are 4-0 when they score more than 22 points.
Three of last four games, Carolina was held under 270 total yards.

49ers (7-4)
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
SF is 1-11 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
In their four losses, 49ers were minus-8 in turnovers.
Purdy is 29-16 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 85-70 as an NFL head coach

Last four games, 49ers allowed 26-24-42-22 points.
49ers are 8-11 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
49ers ran for less than 100 yards in eight of last 10 games.
49ers gave up 400+ total yards in three of last four games.
49ers are 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.

RB McCaffrey played for Carolina from 2017-22.
49ers won last two series games, 37-15/51-13.
This is Carolina’s first visit here since 2019.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Re: 11/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #919580 11/24/25 05:29 PM
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Monday, November 24

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Trend Report
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Cleveland VS Toronto
Cleveland is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games.
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Toronto.
Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games.
Toronto is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games against Cleveland.

Detroit VS Indiana
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games.
Detroit is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Detroit is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games against Indiana.
Indiana is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 18 games.
Indiana is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home.

New York VS Brooklyn
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 12 games.
New York is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
New York is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games against Brooklyn.
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games.
Brooklyn is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games against New York.

Dallas VS Miami
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas' last 5 games.
Dallas is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games.
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Miami.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
Miami is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas.

Denver VS Memphis
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games.
Denver is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Memphis.
Memphis is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis' last 5 games.
Memphis is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis' last 18 games against Denver.

Portland VS Milwaukee
Portland is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games.
Portland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games against Portland.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games at home.

Chicago VS New Orleans
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against New Orleans.
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans' last 13 games against Chicago.
New Orleans is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago.

Houston VS Phoenix
Houston is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games.
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Phoenix.
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games.
Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games against Houston.

Utah VS Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games.
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Utah is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games against Golden State.
Utah is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games against Golden State.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games against Utah.
Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Golden State is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Utah.

Minnesota VS Sacramento
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Sacramento.
Sacramento is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games.
Sacramento is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games against Minnesota.


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