NFL

Week 12

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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 20

Buffalo VS Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games.
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Houston.
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games.
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home.

Buffalo:
Team record: 7-3 SU,5-5 ATS
Buffalo is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Houston:
Team record: 5-5 SU,4-6 ATS
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Buffalo at Pittsburgh Sunday, November 30
Houston at Indianapolis Sunday, November 30

Houston Texans
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Houston
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston

Louisiana-Lafayette:
Team record: 4-6 SU,5-5 ATS
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games

Arkansas State:
Team record: 5-5 SU,7-3 ATS
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 5 games

Next up:
Louisiana-Lafayette home to Louisiana-Monroe Saturday, November 29
Arkansas State at Appalachian State Saturday, November 29

Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arkansas State's last 8 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arkansas State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games at home
Arkansas State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games when playing Arkansas State

Louisiana-Lafayette VS Arkansas State

Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games.
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
Louisiana-Lafayette is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games against Arkansas State.
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 8 games.
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 9 games against Louisiana-Lafayette.

Los Angeles VS Orlando

LA Clippers is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.
LA Clippers is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Orlando.
LA Clippers is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games against Orlando.
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games against LA Clippers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games at home.


Atlanta VS San Antonio

Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games.
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
San Antonio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games.
San Antonio is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 11 games against Atlanta.

New York VS Detroit

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders' last 6 games.
NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
NY Islanders is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders' last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games against NY Islanders.
Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home.
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games played on a Thursday.


New Jersey VS Florida

New Jersey is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games.
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Florida.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida.
New Jersey is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games against New Jersey.
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey.


St. Louis VS Philadelphia

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis' last 9 games.
St. Louis is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Philadelphia.
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against St. Louis.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis.
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Central Division division.


Columbus VS Toronto

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus' last 7 games.
Columbus is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Toronto.
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 15 games.
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Columbus.


Seattle VS Chicago

Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Chicago.
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
Seattle is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games against Seattle.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle.


New York VS Colorado

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers' last 9 games.
NY Rangers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Colorado.
NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers' last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado.
Colorado is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games against NY Rangers.
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers.


Vegas VS Utah

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas' last 5 games.
Vegas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Vegas is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games against Utah.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas' last 7 games on the road.
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games when playing at home against Vegas.
Utah is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.


Los Angeles VS San Jose

Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Los Angeles is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games against San Jose.
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 6 games.
San Jose is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games at home.
San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles.


Dallas VS Vancouver

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 9 games.
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Dallas is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games against Vancouver.
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 10 games.
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 15 games against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vancouver's last 9 games at home.

Buffalo VS Houston

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games.
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Houston.
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games.
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home.

LA LAFAYETTE is 16-4-1 ATS (80%) as a conference underdog since 2018

Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAFAYETTE (+3 at Arkansas St)

(113) LA LAFAYETTE at (114) ARKANSAS ST
* HOME TEAMS are on 9-2 SU & ATS surge in ASU-ULL Sun Belt rivalry

Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS ST (-3 vs LA Lafayette)

Buffalo 19-9 SU and 15-13 ATS primetime run

Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-6 at HOU)

There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 30-24 SU but 19-33-2 ATS (36.5%) in the last 54. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 46-28 SU and 43-28-3 ATS (60.6%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (PLAY): HOUSTON (+6 vs BUF)

Home underdogs on TNF have really struggled of late, going 8-23 SU and 12-19 ATS (38.7%) in their last 31, scoring just 16.2 PPG. In terms of totals, 19 of the last 29 (65.5%) TNF games featuring a home dog went Under.
System Match (FADE): HOUSTON (+6 vs BUF)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-HOU (o/u at 43.5)

Bad TNF Team Trend
Houston 3-8 SU and ATS in the last 11
Trend Match (FADE): HOUSTON (+6 vs BUF)

(111) BUFFALO at (112) HOUSTON
* Under the total is 9-2 in the BUF-HOU series since 2003

Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-HOU (o/u at 43.5)

Thursday’s game
Bills (-6) @ Texans
Bills (7-3)
Buffalo scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14-13 in losses.
Buffalo is +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Bills have five wins by 10+ points.
QB Allen is 90-43 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 99-55 as an NFL head coach.

Bills are 20-16 ATS last 36 games as a road favorite (2-2 TY).
Last four games, Bills converted 25 of 50 third down plays.
Bills are 33-27-2 ATS in last 62 games coming off a win.
Buffalo is 7-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Last two games, Buffalo gave up 30-32 points, won both games.
AFC East favorites are 7-4 ATS in non-divisional games.

Texans (5-5)
Houston is 5-2 in last seven games, after an 0-3 start.
Texans are 4-0 when they score 20+ points.
QB Stroud (concussion) is out for this game.
Backup QB Mills is 7-19-1 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 27-21 in as an NFL head coach.

Texans are 4-3 ATS last seven as a home underdog.
Texans are 10-10-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
Texans gained 353+ yards in wins, 271 or fewer yards in losses.
Houston is 3-0 in games decided by 11+ points, 2-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Texans held seven of last eight opponents under 300 total yards.
AFC South underdogs are 9-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

Texans won six of last eight series games.
Bills are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.