Browns +5.5


At home. the browns defense is one of, if not thee best defense there is. Holding opponents to 15.4 ppg. We see what Myles Garrett is doing, and I feel like the team will rally around him for that sack record.

In comes what should be a very tired 49ers team who haven't had a bye week yet. They played on MNF, so on short rest. If you watched that game you would of seen that it was super physical. CMC got put through the ringer and seemed to touch the ball on almost every play. The pads were popping hard, both teams exerted effort on prime time.

The Niners have had 7 road games thus far, logging a ton of miles. Seattle, New Orleans, LA, Tampa, Houston, NY, and Arizona. Their bye is following the Browns game where 3 of their last 4 will be at home.

The Niners on the road have averaged 25.42 ppg, where Mac Jones was the qb for 5 of those 7. Purdy played in week 1 vs a very good Seattle D, they scored 17. Vs Arizona they scored 41.

Panthers +10.5- I think this is a prime let down spot for the Rams. Their stock is at an all time high and the Panthers have punched above their weight against better teams

Soccer > Spain LaLiga
Real Sociedad - Villarreal
Pick: Real Sociedad +0.0 (+105) Draw is Push

Real Sociedad continue to impress with their compact and balanced team, particularly at home. Statistically, they are one of the most tactically disciplined teams in LaLiga, with strong pressing values (PPDA ~30.7) and a well-controlled possession game.

Villarreal, on the other hand, arrive in San Sebastián with a clear disadvantage: they suffered a heavy 4–0 defeat at Dortmund in the Champions League midweek, a physically and mentally exhausting match that also included a red card. Although Villarreal have won their last four league games, those came against low tier teams (Mallorca, Espanyol, Rayo Vallecano & Valencia), and in most they were far from dominant.

For now Villareal conceded more chances in transitions, something Real Sociedad’s patient play of style can use in their advantage. With fresher legs and more structure playing style, the home side looks better prepared.

NFL

476 Seattle -11.5


Seattle is 8-3 ATS this season
Seattle is 3-1 ATS this season as a home favorite
Minnesota is 4-7 ATS this season
Minnesota is 1-2ATS this season as a road underdog

Commanders + 6.5

Teams coming out of a bye as a 6+ point home dog = 40-17-1 ATS

This could very well be my last post on this forum. My post today of Hawaii was never published. I couldn't care less about the (Paid Professionals) because 99% of them are total losers. But, I have posted every day on this forum for the last 3 months. I thought I might be adding something to the community, but obviously that is not the case. I can take a hint. Not a problem.

NHL

Capitals -125 Moneyline

Capitals are playing amazing 🏒
Time to win again 🏆
Washington wis this game on the road

Record is 21-5-5

lakers -15.5

The Lakers have won each of their last 12 night games against Southwest Division opponents.
The Pelicans have lost each of their last 11 games at Crypto.com Arena against Lakers teams that held a winning record.
The Lakers have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 night games against Southwest Division opponents.
The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss

Rams -10.5. Stanford has been exceptional, throwing 27 TD’s since his last interception in week 3. Rams are Super Bowl bound and will continue the march against Carolina

Going under 35.5 49ERS VS STEELERS !! Weather a big factor and history says under . Both teams run run run eating clock plus wind a factor no long field goals today.

Los Angeles Rams -10.5
Rams on a six game winning streak & playing great
Rams have out scored their opponents by an average of 18.5 points per game during their 6 game win streak
Rams have won and covered the last two meetings
Rams getting Tutu Atwell and Ahkello Witherspoon back from IR for this game
Panthers will be without six key players including safety Moehrig, corner Horn & linebacker Rozeboom
Rams are 8-0 ATS in game twelves the last eight seasons

Jags/Titans over 41.5..The Jags are a over machine away from home this
season 5-0 vs the number. They average 14.7 more points on the road than
at home. Take the over.

Steelers +3…-110…Tomlin 19-8-5 as home underdog…Steelers will run run run…Bills 30th vs rush..add in Bills showed a serious OL problem in last game vs Texans…taking the points

Pittsburgh +3.5 130
I will lay 130 to get tge hook here. Tomlin. Very good at home vs good competition ie a dog
buffalo offensive line banged up should let Warren roam free and keep this lower scoring game a game of FGs

Miami / Saints under 41.5
Miami’s defense has the 2nd-highest cover 2 rate. The Dolphins will try to establish the ground game as Saints defense is allowing -0.12 EPA/rush

Nfl
NYJ +3
gl

they can still move the ball with Breece Hall as they’ve demonstrated in recent weeks. The Falcons shouldn’t offer much resistance, giving up a hefty 4.6 yards per tote and a good deal of short passes, and the Jets should control this one as a result.

Rams -6.5

Can't believe Los Angeles is less than a one TD favorite against a Carolina team that seems much worse than its record. I like the Rams here fir a three unit play out of five.

My mistake.... didn't see the line correctly. I still like LA here -10 but only for a one unit play.

SF McCaffery under 39.5 receiving yrds.

Weather gonna be bad in Cleveland. Plus Browns gonna be pumped up to try and win for Deion's son. I expect SF to rely on running game more vs using McCaffery out of the slot or backfield to receive.

TEN +7.5 Historically Jax struggles in Nashville. They have been very inconsistent this season and TLaw is very average to below average. Tennessee has improved a lot since the beginning of the season and I can see this game being a close divisional game. The spread has also went 1.5 points towards Tennessee since open. Buying some points and taking TEN.