* NFL teams that have won a game despite scoring less than 12 points in the victory have carried the momentum through the next game with a 22-13 SU and 23-11-1 ATS (67.6%) record.
System Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

* NEW ENGLAND is 38-7 SU and 33-12 ATS when riding a 3-game or more outright winning streak since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

•Teams that allowed fewer points per game during the regular season have gone 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS (80%) in the last 10 Super Bowl games, including Philadelphia a year ago.
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-4.5 vs NE)

•Teams that generated more yardage overall offensively in the regular season also own no edge when it comes to Super Bowl success, going 3-11 SU and 2-12 ATS (14.3%) in the last 14!
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

-Seattle is on a 33-17 Under the total surge in games with totals of 45 or higher
-New England is 30-20 Under the total in its last 50 games with totals of 45 or higher
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): SEA-NE (o/u at 45.5)

ATS and Money Line Trends

* Favorites in the Super Bowl are 35-23 SU but own an ATS mark of 25-30-3 (45.5%) in the last 58, with the 1982 game having been a pick em’ point spread.
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE ML (-230 vs NE)

* Over the past 24 years, underdogs own an 18-6 ATS (75%) edge, including 14-4 ATS in the last 18.
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

* The outright winner is 49-7-3 ATS (87.5%) in the 58 previous Super Bowls. This is the highest mark of any playoff round.
* AFC teams are 8-4 ATS in last 12.
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

* The team that is the better playoff seed is just 2-17-2 ATS (10.5%) in the last 28 Super Bowl games! Note, in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2022, and 2023, equal seeds matched up.
Trend Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-4.5 vs NE)

* In the last five matchups between #1 and #2 seeds, the #2 seeds own a 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS edge.
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

Over/Under Trends

* Totals in the 43-47.5 range are on a 5-2 Over (71.4%) run, but the last two were Unders.
Trend Match (SLIGHT PLAY UNDER): SEA-NE (o/u at 45.5)

* The 2025 Super Bowl was one of only 21 in history that saw both teams reach the 20-point mark. Sixteen of those were Overs. Odds makers expect both teams to score in the 20s here (25-20.5), as evidenced by the line/total combination.

6-point Teaser Trends

* Looking back at the 59 past Super Bowls in terms of 6-point teaser trends, favorites are 38-20 (65.5%) while underdogs are 40-17-1 (70.2%), relatively close performance marks. Note that the ‘82 game was a pick ’em point spread, so no favorite or underdog was measured. However, in the last 24 seasons, there has been a huge separation as favorites are just 13-11 (54.2%) while underdogs are 21-3 (87.5%). An underdog 6-point teaser would put New England at +10.5, likely a very attractive wager for most bettors considering that the Patriots haven’t lost by more than a TD all season long.
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND TEASER +10.5

* In terms of the two different conferences, AFC teams are 38-20-1 (65.5%) and NFC teams are 42-17 (71.2%) in the history of the Super Bowl game on 6-point teaser bets.

Teams’ Regular Season Offensive Statistics Trends

• Teams that scored more points per game during the regular season are only 8-14-1 ATS (36.4%) in the last 23 Super Bowl games.
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

• Teams that generated more yardage overall offensively in the regular season also own no edge when it comes to Super Bowl success, going 3-11 SU and 2-12 ATS (14.3%) in the last 14!
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

• Offensive yards per point has proven to be an effective statistical indicator for fading teams, as teams who have averaged fewer yards per point are just 8-15 ATS (34.8%) in the last 23 Super Bowls.
Trend Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-4.5 vs NE)

• Teams that converted 3rd down opportunities more efficiently in the regular season also have a poor trend mark, 8-16 ATS (33.3%) in the last 24 Super Bowls.
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

It appears to be detrimental to have generated the better offensive statistics in the regular season, coinciding directly with the recent success of underdogs and teams with the lesser records in this game. A bit of a change this year, New England owns most of the offensive edges for 2026 but is the underdog.

Teams’ Regular Season Defensive Statistics Trends

• Teams that allowed fewer points per game during the regular season are have gone 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS (80%) in the last 10 Super Bowl games, including Philadelphia a year ago.
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-4.5 vs NE)

• Teams that allowed less yardage overall defensively are also just 8-11 ATS (42.1%) since 2007, but 8-6 ATS (57.1%) since 2012 in the Super Bowl. Teams with an edge in yards per play are 9-10 ATS (47.4%) since 2007, but 9-5 ATS (64.3%) in the last 14.
Trend Match (SLIGHT PLAY): SEATTLE (-4.5 vs NE)

• Defensive yards per point should only be given serious consideration for Super Bowl Sunday if you are fading the team with the edge, 7-13 ATS (35%) since 2006.
Trend Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-4.5 vs NE)

• Teams that stopped 3rd down opportunities more efficiently in the regular season are on a 10-6 ATS (62.5%) run in the last 16 Super Bowl games.
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-4.5 vs NE)

There has been increasing evidence of late that better defensive teams have the advantage in recent Super Bowl games, certainly when compared to the effectiveness of offensive statistical edges. Almost all of the edges for ’26 go to the favored Seahawks.

Favoring Seattle:

– Seattle 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 games when riding a winning streak of six or more games

– Seattle is on a 7-2 ATS run against decent teams, outscoring opponents by 3.0 or more PPG

– New England is 4-9-2 ATS in the last 15 games versus elite teams winning 80%+ of their games

Favoring New England:

– New England is on a 7-0 ATS streak revenging a loss (last year)

– New England is on an 11-4 ATS surge versus solid rushing defenses allowing less than 3.9 YPR

– New England is on an extended run of 71-42-4 ATS versus strong defensive teams allowing fewer than 18.5 PPG

Favoring Over the total

– Seattle is on a 12-3 Over the total surge in its last 15 playoff games

– New England is 12-3 Over the total in its last 15 games against decent passing teams averaging 6.8+ yards per attempt

Favoring Under the total

– Seattle is on a 33-17 Under the total surge in games with totals of 45 or higher

– New England is 30-20 Under the total in its last 50 games with totals of 45 or higher

(109) SEATTLE (16-3) at (110) NEW ENGLAND (17-3)
* SEATTLE is 25-18-1 ATS (58.1%) vs. non-conference foes since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-4.5 at NE)

* NEW ENGLAND is 38-7 SU and 33-12 ATS when riding a 3-game or more outright winning streak since 2016
* NEW ENGLAND is 20-28-2 ATS (41.7%) as an underdog since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

* SEATTLE is 22-10 Over the total vs. teams with a better record since 2011
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): SEA-NE (o/u at 45.5)

Top Head-to-Head Series NFL Betting Trends

(109) SEATTLE vs (110) NEW ENGLAND
* Over the total has converted in all seven meetings between SEA and NE since 2004
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): SEA-NE (o/u at 45.5)

* Underdogs are 5-5 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 of the series as well
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (+4.5 vs SEA)

New York VS Boston

New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games.
New York is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
New York is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games against Boston.
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 8 games.
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 7 games at home.


Miami VS Washington

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Washington.
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games.
Washington is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games at home.


Indiana VS Toronto

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games.
Indiana is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against Toronto.
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Toronto.
Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games against Indiana.
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.


Los Angeles VS Minnesota

LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers' last 5 games.
LA Clippers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games.
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games against LA Clippers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home.

USC VS Penn State

USC is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
USC is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of USC's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of USC's last 8 games played in February.
Penn State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Penn State's last 6 games.
Penn State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
Penn State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.


Tulsa VS South Florida

Tulsa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tulsa's last 15 games.
Tulsa is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against South Florida.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of South Florida's last 12 games.
South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of South Florida's last 10 games against Tulsa.
South Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home.

UNC Greensboro VS Furman

UNC Greensboro is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNC Greensboro's last 6 games.
UNC Greensboro is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
UNC Greensboro is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Furman.
Furman is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Furman's last 5 games.
Furman is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Furman is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.


Michigan VS Ohio State

Michigan is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games.
Michigan is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Ohio State.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games.
Ohio State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Ohio State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan.


Texas Tech VS West Virginia

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games.
Texas Tech is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.
Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against West Virginia.
Texas Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against West Virginia.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of West Virginia's last 7 games.
West Virginia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games against Texas Tech.
West Virginia is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home.


Maryland VS Minnesota

Maryland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games.
Maryland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
Maryland is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games.
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Minnesota is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home.
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Maryland.


Central Florida VS Cincinnati

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Central Florida's last 10 games.
Central Florida is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
Central Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Cincinnati.
Central Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 14 games.
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games against Central Florida.


Charlotte VS Memphis

Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 13 games.
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Memphis.
Memphis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis' last 9 games.
Memphis is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home.
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte.


Wichita State VS Tulane

Wichita State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wichita State's last 6 games.
Wichita State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Wichita State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against Tulane.
Tulane is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulane's last 8 games.
Tulane is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games against Wichita State.


Northwestern VS Iowa

Northwestern is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Northwestern's last 7 games.
Northwestern is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
Northwestern is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against Iowa.
Iowa is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 8 games.
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games against Northwestern.


Rice VS UAB

Rice is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Rice's last 7 games.
Rice is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games against UAB.
Rice is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against UAB.
UAB is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UAB's last 6 games.
UAB is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of UAB's last 12 games against Rice.

Seattle VS New England

Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Seattle is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games against New England.
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against New England.
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games.
New England is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 7 games against Seattle.

2025 NFL Playoffs
Super Bowl
Patriots vs Seahawks (-4.5) (@ Santa Clara, CA)
Patriots (17-3)
Patriots are 16-1 SU/13-4 ATS in their last 17 games.
Last five games, New England allowed 10-10-3-16-7 points.
Last four games, Patriots have 16 sacks.
QB Maye is 20-12 as an NFL starter (3-0 in playoffs).
Vrabel is 73-51 as an NFL head coach (5-3 in playoffs).

Patriots are 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
New England covered five of its last six games.
Opponents’ team total: under 16-2 last 18 games
Over is 10-4 in their last fourteen games.
Patriots are in Super Bowl for first time in seven years.

Seahawks (16-3)
Seahawks are 9-0 SU/6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
Seahawks held six of last eight foes to 16 or fewer points.
Last three games, Seattle is +5 in turnovers.
Darnold is 51-42 as an NFL starter (2-1 in playoffs)
MacDonald is 26-10 as a head coach (2-0 in playoffs).

Seattle’s losses this year were by 4-3-2 points.
In its three losses, Seattle was minus-5 in turnovers.
Seattle is 7-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Seahawks went over their team total 13 of last 18 games.
Opponents’ team total: under 12-6-1.

Underdogs covered last five Super Bowls (10-4 ATS last 14)
Seattle won 23-20 in OT at Foxboro last year.
Seahawks won last four series games.

Both QB’s, both head coaches are in their first Super Bowl in this role.
AFC teams are 9-4 SU in last 13 Super Bowls

@hopewin - appreciate the efforts but we can't have newspaper articles posted. It opens the forum to copyright infringement and that rule has been in place from the get go.

Good seeing you!