Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar Controlling the Boards The Limper NBA 2025-26 – Week 10

At the start of every season, I set result-targets for the model as standards of reliability: ATS record – 55%, SU record – 66%, Totals record – 55%, and Actual Point Variance From Projected Points (APVFPP?) - .9. Now, excepting APVFPP (a calculation that I wrote so long ago I’ve forgotten most of it), the ATS, and SU records are pretty self-explanatory, and I’m good with both the ATS 55.4% and SU 67.9% results, as well as APVFPP, which is currently below .8 (the lower the better). Of course, TOTALS (another calculation that could precipitate a carpal tunnel episode in explaining) isn’t even approaching the target set for reliability; and I’d quit posting these projections if not for the deluge of complaints I receive whenever I suggest doing so. So I won’t suggest it, but I will say a coin-flip pick is about as accurate – so, caveat bettor. GLTA.