NCAA Tournament
Saturday’s games
Final Four
Last three years, favorites are 7-2 ATS in Final Four games.
Illinois (-1.5) vs UConn (@ Indianapolis)
Illinois (28-8)
Illinois scored 79.3 ppg in their four NCAA wins.
Illini is the tallest team in the country.
Illini is 10-8 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Illinois is 13-2 in non-conference games.
49.8% of Illinois’ shots are 3’s (#15)
38.3% of their points come on 3’s (#29)
Four of their last five losses were in overtime.
KenPom rating: 4
Tempo: 296
Experience: 130
Continuity: 69
This is Illinois’ first Final Four since 2005.
November 28, UConn beat Illinois 74-61 at Madison Square Garden.
UConn (33-5)
Huskies are 11-4 in their last 15 games, after a 22-1 start.
UConn has #37 eFG% offense, #9 eFG% defense in country.
Huskies are 13-1 in non-conference games.
UConn gets only 16.5% of its points on foul line (#333)
Huskies are 10-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
UConn is #30 team in country on offensive boards.
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 319
Experience: 21
Continuity: 18
UConn won two of last three national titles; they lost 77-75 in second round to Florida LY, when Gators won national title.
Favorites are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 Final Four games where neither team was a #1-seed.
Michigan (-1.5) vs Arizona (@ Indianapolis)
Michigan (35-3)
Wolverines won 21 of their last 23 games.
Michigan is shooting 61.3% inside the arc (#2)
Michigan has #6 eFG% in country, #1 eFG% defense.
Wolverines are 19-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Michigan scored 95.3 ppg in its four NCAA games.
Michigan is 14-0 in non-conference games.
KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 22
Experience: 46
Continuity: 115
Michigan lost national title game in 2018.
Dusty May got Florida Atlantic to the Final Four in 2023
Arizona (36-2)
Wildcats won their last 13 games (9-3 ATS last 12 games).
Arizona has #2 eFG% defense in country.
Arizona has #35 eFG% offense in country.
Arizona is 17-0 in non-conference games.
Wildcats are 19-2 vs teams ranked in top 50
Arizona gets 56.8% of points on 2-point shots (#14)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 56
Experience: 146
Continuity: 94
Arizona was last in the Final Four in 2001.
Since 2016, favorites are 5-2 ATS in Final Four games with two #1-seeds playing.