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4/4 Statistical Advantages
#944293 03/29/26 11:29 PM
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Re: 4/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #945047 04/03/26 06:37 PM
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Sophmore
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NCAA Tournament
Saturday’s games
Final Four
Last three years, favorites are 7-2 ATS in Final Four games.

Illinois (-1.5) vs UConn (@ Indianapolis)
Illinois (28-8)
Illinois scored 79.3 ppg in their four NCAA wins.
Illini is the tallest team in the country.
Illini is 10-8 vs teams ranked in top 50.

Illinois is 13-2 in non-conference games.
49.8% of Illinois’ shots are 3’s (#15)
38.3% of their points come on 3’s (#29)
Four of their last five losses were in overtime.

KenPom rating: 4
Tempo: 296
Experience: 130
Continuity: 69

This is Illinois’ first Final Four since 2005.
November 28, UConn beat Illinois 74-61 at Madison Square Garden.

UConn (33-5)
Huskies are 11-4 in their last 15 games, after a 22-1 start.
UConn has #37 eFG% offense, #9 eFG% defense in country.
Huskies are 13-1 in non-conference games.

UConn gets only 16.5% of its points on foul line (#333)
Huskies are 10-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
UConn is #30 team in country on offensive boards.

KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 319
Experience: 21
Continuity: 18

UConn won two of last three national titles; they lost 77-75 in second round to Florida LY, when Gators won national title.

Favorites are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 Final Four games where neither team was a #1-seed.

Michigan (-1.5) vs Arizona (@ Indianapolis)
Michigan (35-3)
Wolverines won 21 of their last 23 games.
Michigan is shooting 61.3% inside the arc (#2)
Michigan has #6 eFG% in country, #1 eFG% defense.

Wolverines are 19-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Michigan scored 95.3 ppg in its four NCAA games.
Michigan is 14-0 in non-conference games.

KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 22
Experience: 46
Continuity: 115

Michigan lost national title game in 2018.
Dusty May got Florida Atlantic to the Final Four in 2023

Arizona (36-2)
Wildcats won their last 13 games (9-3 ATS last 12 games).
Arizona has #2 eFG% defense in country.
Arizona has #35 eFG% offense in country.

Arizona is 17-0 in non-conference games.
Wildcats are 19-2 vs teams ranked in top 50
Arizona gets 56.8% of points on 2-point shots (#14)

KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 56
Experience: 146
Continuity: 94

Arizona was last in the Final Four in 2001.

Since 2016, favorites are 5-2 ATS in Final Four games with two #1-seeds playing.

Re: 4/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #945085 04/03/26 11:01 PM
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Oklahoma VS Baylor

Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
Oklahoma is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Oklahoma is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games against Baylor.
Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games.
Baylor is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Baylor's last 16 games against Oklahoma.


West Virginia VS Creighton

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of West Virginia's last 17 games.
West Virginia is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games against an opponent in the Big East conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of West Virginia's last 12 games played on a Saturday.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of West Virginia's last 9 games when playing as the favourite.
Creighton is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Creighton's last 6 games.
Creighton is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games.
Creighton is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.


Illinois VS Connecticut

Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Illinois is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois' last 5 games against an opponent in the Big East conference.
Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games played on a Saturday.
Connecticut is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games.
Connecticut is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Connecticut's last 10 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.


Michigan VS Arizona

Michigan is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games.
Michigan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Arizona.
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
Arizona is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Arizona is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.


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Re: 4/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #945086 04/03/26 11:02 PM
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San Antonio VS Denver

San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games.
San Antonio is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Denver.
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games.
Denver is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.


Washington VS Miami

Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 18 games.
Washington is 1-19 SU in its last 20 games.
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Miami.
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games.
Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games against Washington.


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Re: 4/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #945087 04/03/26 11:03 PM
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Detroit VS New York

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games.
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games against NY Rangers.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers' last 7 games.
NY Rangers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers' last 5 games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers' last 6 games at home.


Minnesota VS Ottawa

Minnesota is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games against Ottawa.
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Minnesota's last 20 games on the road.
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division division.
Ottawa is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games against Minnesota.
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.


Colorado VS Dallas

Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Dallas.
Colorado is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas' last 9 games.
Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games against Colorado.
Dallas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home.


Florida VS Pittsburgh

Florida is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Pittsburgh.
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against Florida.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida.


Boston VS Tampa Bay

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 16 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games.
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against Boston.
Tampa Bay is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home.


Toronto VS Los Angeles

Toronto is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games.
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Los Angeles.
Toronto is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles.
Los Angeles is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles' last 7 games against Toronto.
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles' last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto.


Utah VS Vancouver

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games.
Utah is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against Vancouver.
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vancouver's last 11 games.
Vancouver is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games against Utah.
Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.


Winnipeg VS Columbus

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games.
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Columbus.
Winnipeg is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus' last 7 games.
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Columbus' last 18 games against Winnipeg.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus' last 5 games at home.


Montreal VS New Jersey

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games.
Montreal is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against New Jersey.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Jersey's last 15 games.
New Jersey is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games against Montreal.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home.


Buffalo VS Washington

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games.
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 16 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo.


Nashville VS San Jose

Nashville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Nashville is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games against San Jose.
Nashville is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road.
Nashville is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose.
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games against Nashville.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games at home.
San Jose is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville.


Chicago VS Seattle

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games.
Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games against Chicago.
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home.


Vegas VS Edmonton

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Vegas' last 18 games.
Vegas is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games.
Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against Edmonton.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas' last 8 games on the road.
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home.
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vegas.
Edmonton is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.


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