Rangers ML -140.
I’m on Texas with Eovaldi because he brings the steadier profile at 5-4 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 55 strikeouts, including seven shutout innings in his last start. Ureña’s 2.70 ERA looks good on the surface, but the 19 walks an 1.35 whip in 33.1 innings create a lot of traffic risk against a Rangers lineup that can punish free baserunners. Texas also has the better overall run-prevention profile, with a 3.64 team ERA compared to an Angels staff sitting near 4.94. The Angels broke through last night, but that was only their second win in 11 games, so I’m not buying one big offensive night as a full turnaround. With no real travel disadvantage for either side, I’ll trust the better starter, better staff, and more reliable team at -140.