New York VS San Antonio

New York is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games.
New York is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games.
New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against San Antonio.
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against San Antonio.
San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Antonio's last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games against New York.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home.

British Columbia VS Saskatchewan

The total has gone OVER in 11 of British Columbia's last 14 games.
British Columbia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
British Columbia is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Saskatchewan.
British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Saskatchewan.
Saskatchewan is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games.
Saskatchewan is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games against British Columbia.

Connecticut Sun

Connecticut is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Connecticut is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing Indiana
Connecticut is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
Connecticut is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Indiana


Indiana Fever

Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Indiana is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games on the road
Indiana is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Indiana is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing Connecticut
Indiana is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Indiana is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Connecticut

Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Las Vegas's last 18 games
Las Vegas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Las Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Las Vegas is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Las Vegas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Minnesota is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas

Portland Fire

Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


Dallas Wings

Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road

Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Phoenix's last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games
Phoenix is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Phoenix is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Phoenix is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing at home against Los Angeles


Los Angeles Sparks

Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Los Angeles is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Los Angeles is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 12 games when playing on the road against Phoenix

Early Game 5 Sportsbook Position (After Game 4)

After the Knicks' historic 29-point comeback to take a 3-1 series lead, the opening market settled around:

Spurs -5.5
Total: 216.5
Spurs ML: -195 to -220
Knicks ML: +164 to +180.

Which side are sportsbooks likely rooting for?
Side: Likely rooting for the Spurs

At first glance this sounds strange because San Antonio is the favorite. However, after that dramatic Game 4 comeback:

The Knicks are now one win away from their first title since 1973, creating a very attractive public narrative.
Casual bettors tend to gravitate toward "team of destiny" stories and may prefer taking the underdog moneyline (+165 to +180) or the +5.5 points rather than laying points with a team that just suffered a devastating collapse.
Futures liability is also likely concentrated on New York after they moved to approximately -500 to win the championship. A Knicks Game 5 victory would cash a large amount of futures tickets immediately.

Because of that, an estimate is that many sportsbooks would prefer San Antonio to extend the series and avoid paying out Knicks championship futures.


Total: Likely rooting for the Under

The total reopened at 216.5, essentially unchanged from Game 4 despite the enormous publicity around the dramatic finish.

Historically, after a highly emotional, nationally televised comeback, the betting public often leans toward:

More offense,
More star performances,
And the Over.

If the public follows that pattern over the next 48 hours and books hold the total around 216.5 instead of moving sharply upward, that usually suggests sportsbooks are comfortable taking Over money and would rather see the game finish Under.

Estimated "Book Need" for Game 5

Market Likely Public Side Estimated Sportsbook Preference
Spread----------------------- Knicks +5.5 ------------------------------------------Spurs -5.5
Moneyline ---------Knicks +165 to +180 -----------------------------------Spurs win
Series Futures ---------Knicks to win Finals -----------------------------Spurs extend series
Total -------------------Over 216.5 ---------------------------------------Under 216.5

Overall Risk-Room Estimate

An estimate what sportsbook traders are quietly hoping for right now, it would probably be:

Spurs win and the game stays Under 216.5.

An example of an ideal sportsbook result would be something like:

Spurs 111, Knicks 102 (213 total).

That outcome would likely:

Defeat a large share of Knicks moneyline and championship-futures bets.
Cash Spurs -5.5 tickets.
Keep the game Under the total, which is often the less popular side after a high-profile offensive explosion.

As Game 5 approaches and Circa, Pinnacle, BetMGM, and DraftKings release more mature markets and betting splits, the ticket vs. handle discrepancy will give a much clearer indication of whether the books' biggest liability remains the Knicks or shifts back toward San Antonio.

Spurs @ Knicks — Game 5 Market Update (June 12, 2026)

As closer to Game 5, the market is sending some very interesting signals.
The combination of heavy Knicks public support, minimal line movement, and differences between recreational and sharp books suggests that sportsbooks are becoming increasingly exposed to a New York series-clinching victory.

Current Market Snapshot
Consensus market (late June 12):

Spread: Spurs -5.5
Moneyline: Spurs around -195 / Knicks around +160 to +165
Total: 216.5 (some books have shown slight movement from earlier openers).

From what tracked:
DraftKings has generally remained in line with the market at Spurs -5.5.
BetMGM is also dealing Spurs -5.5 while reporting substantial action on New York.
Pinnacle and other sharper books have not made an aggressive move to -6.5 despite the lopsided Knicks support.
Circa has not publicly differentiated itself enough to create a meaningful market divergence.

Ticket % vs. Money % Analysis
The biggest update comes from BetMGM's internal betting data:

Market Knicks Spurs
Moneyline Tickets--------- ~80% -------------------------~20%
Moneyline Handle -------------~70% -------------------------~30%
Spread Tickets (+5.5) ------~71% -------------------------~29%
Spread Handle (+5.5)----------~78% -------------------------~22%

These are very telling numbers.

What do they mean?
1. Public money is overwhelmingly on New York.
The Knicks have become the "story" of the Finals:
One win away from their first championship since 1973.
Coming off the largest comeback in NBA Finals history.
Attractive underdog price (+160 range).

2. Larger wagers are also leaning Knicks.
Earlier in the series, there were hints that bigger bettors might be taking the Spurs while the public backed New York. The latest BetMGM figures weaken that theory because the handle is also heavily tilted toward the Knicks.
The fact that 78% of spread money is on Knicks +5.5 is especially noteworthy. If accurate across the broader market, it implies that respected or higher-stakes bettors are not sufficiently balancing the book.

Reverse Line Movement (RLM)
Is there classic reverse line movement?
Not yet.

A textbook RLM setup would be:
70-80% of tickets on the Knicks,
but the line moves from Spurs -5.5 to Spurs -6.5 or -7.

Instead, the market has largely held at Spurs -5.5.

What does that suggest?
There are two possible interpretations:

Scenario A (more likely):
Sportsbooks are taking substantial Knicks action but have also accepted enough respected Spurs money to avoid moving the line.

Scenario B:
Books are comfortable with their current exposure because moving to -6 would only invite even more Knicks buyback.
At the moment, the absence of a move to -6.5 despite the heavy Knicks percentages suggests that sharp resistance exists around the current number.

Major Sportsbook Behavior

🟢 BetMGM
BetMGM has provided the clearest public liability picture:
Knicks are drawing approximately 80% of bets and 70% of moneyline handle.
Knicks +5.5 has attracted about 71% of tickets and 78% of spread handle.
BetMGM has openly indicated that a Knicks victory would be a poor outcome for the house.

🟠 DraftKings
DraftKings tends to have a large recreational customer base. The book has remained near the consensus number rather than making a dramatic adjustment, which suggests it is not trying to aggressively discourage Knicks action.

🔵 Pinnacle
Pinnacle's relative stability is important. Sharp books often react first to respected action, and the lack of a meaningful move beyond -5.5 suggests that the professional market is not unanimously betting San Antonio.

⚫ Circa
Circa generally moves on larger professional wagers. Unless Circa starts leading the market toward -6 or -6.5, I would hesitate to call this a strong sharp-side signal for San Antonio.

Total (216.5) — What Do Books Want?
This is a subtler market, but there are clues.
Public tendencies
The dramatic Game 4 finish and the star power of Jalen Brunson and Victor Wembanyama naturally attract Over bettors.
In Game 4, DraftKings reported 69% of total tickets and 82% of total handle on the Over.
Market behavior
Despite that tendency, the Game 5 total has remained around 216.5, and some market reports note that it has actually drifted slightly lower from earlier openers.

That type of behavior is often associated with sportsbooks being comfortable taking Over money while respecting Under positions.

An estimate:
Sportsbooks would probably rather see the game stay Under 216.5.

Estimated Sportsbook Liability Position
Market Public Lean Estimated Book Preference
Spread------------------------- Knicks +5.5------------------------------- Spurs -5.5
Moneyline------------------- Knicks +160/+165--------------------------- Spurs win outright
Series Futures --------------Knicks to win title----------------------- Spurs extend the series
Total --------------Slight-to-moderate Over----------------------------- Under 216.5

Final Risk-Room Assessment

An estimate what sportsbook traders are quietly hoping for entering Game 5:

Spurs win outright.
Spurs cover -5.5.
Game finishes Under 216.5.

Current "books rooting interest" estimate:
Side: 🟢 Spurs
Total: 🟢 Under

The biggest reason is simple: the Knicks have become the public side and the larger-dollar side.
The latest BetMGM numbers suggest New York is now creating meaningful liability across both the game market and NBA Finals futures market.
Unless we see a late move from sharper books like Pinnacle or Circa toward Spurs -6 or higher, my read is that sportsbooks would be happiest with a Spurs victory in a lower-scoring game that extends the series to Game 6.