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 7/4 Statistical Advantages
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 Re: 7/4 Statistical Advantages
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,612 Likes: 2822 Time to play the Game
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Edmonton VS British Columbia
Edmonton is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games. The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Edmonton's last 17 games. Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games. Edmonton is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games against British Columbia. British Columbia is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 14 of British Columbia's last 17 games. British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games against Edmonton.
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 Re: 7/4 Statistical Advantages
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State Valkyries
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games Golden State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
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 Re: 7/4 Statistical Advantages
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Joined: Oct 2020
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CFL: Edmonton Elks vs. BC Lions Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026 Venue: Apple Bowl, Kelowna, BC
Every Game Format
Moneyline Lean: Edmonton Elks
Spread Best lean: Edmonton -1.5
Total Lean: Over 57.5 (slight)
First Half Lean: Edmonton 1H -0.5
First Quarter Lean: Edmonton 1Q
Team Totals Edmonton Over 29.5 (if available) BC Over 27.5 is playable only if the total stays around 57.5.
Matchup Analysis
Edmonton 3-0, the CFL's only unbeaten team. Defense has allowed just 68 points through three games. Strong rushing attack has helped control tempo. Has covered every game so far this season.
BC 0-3 start. Defense has surrendered 41 points in each of its last two games. Offense has produced points but turnovers and defensive breakdowns have been costly.
Head-to-Head BC has dominated the recent series, winning 11 of the last 12 meetings. Edmonton has not won in BC since 2019. Despite that history, this year's Edmonton team looks significantly improved.
Betting Trends
Edmonton 3-0 SU 3-0 ATS Strong defensive team.
BC 0-3 SU Defense allowing over 37 points per game. Overs have hit in all three BC games this season.
Strongest Bets ⭐ Edmonton Moneyline (highest confidence)
⭐⭐ Edmonton -1.5
⭐⭐ Over 57.5 (only if the line remains 57.5 or lower)
Predicted Score
Edmonton 31 – BC 27.
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 Re: 7/4 Statistical Advantages
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Canada vs Morocco (Round of 16) Kickoff: July 4, 2026 Venue: Houston Stadium, Houston
Match Outlook This is one of the most evenly contested Round of 16 matches stylistically, but the betting market has installed Morocco as the clear favorite based on experience and recent form. Morocco enters on a lengthy unbeaten run and advanced after eliminating the Netherlands on penalties, while Canada is enjoying its best World Cup performance ever after defeating South Africa.
Team Form Canada Historic first knockout-stage victory. Alphonso Davies has returned from injury and could play a larger role. Jonathan David remains Canada's primary scoring threat. Jesse Marsch's team relies on aggressive pressing and quick transitions.
Morocco One of the tournament favorites outside the traditional powers. Eliminated the Netherlands in the previous round. Excellent defensive organization with dangerous attacking quality through Achraf Hakimi, Brahim Díaz and Ismael Saibari. Coach Mohamed Ouahbi describes his attack as creating "organized chaos."
Tactical Matchup Canada must: Win the midfield battle. Limit Hakimi's overlapping runs. Create space for Jonathan David behind Morocco's back line.
Morocco will look to: Control possession. Exploit wide areas. Force Canada into defensive mistakes through sustained pressure.
Betting Market Current consensus odds generally show:
Morocco: around -125 to -130 Canada: around +375 to +390 Draw (90 minutes): around +250 to +265
The market also leans toward a low-scoring match, with Under 2.5 goals favored.
Best Betting Leans ✅ Morocco to Advance ✅ Under 2.5 Goals ✅ Both Teams to Score — No (slight lean) ⚠️ Canada +0.5 (first half) has some upset value if you expect a cautious opening.
Predicted Score Morocco 1–0 Canada
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FIFA World Cup Round of 16: Paraguay vs France
This is one of the marquee Round of 16 matches. France enter as one of the strongest title favorites, while Paraguay have already produced one of the tournament's biggest surprises by eliminating Germany in a penalty shootout.
Current outlook Favorite: France (heavy favorite across major sportsbooks) Winner advances: Quarterfinal vs. the winner of Canada vs. Morocco.
Form France Won all four World Cup matches. Defeated Sweden 3-0 in the Round of 32. Have scored at least 3 goals in every World Cup match this tournament. Mbappé, Dembélé, and Olise have been among the tournament's most dangerous attacking players.
Paraguay Eliminated Germany on penalties after a 1-1 draw. Extremely organized defensively. Dangerous on set pieces and counterattacks. Expected to defend deep and look for limited scoring chances.
Team news France may be without midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni, who is reportedly dealing with a thigh injury, with Manu Koné expected to replace him if he cannot play.
Tactical matchup France: Possession, pace on the wings, high press. Paraguay: Compact defensive block, physical play, counters, and set pieces.
France's attacking form has been exceptional, while Paraguay will likely spend long stretches defending. Most analysts expect France's quality to prevail over 90 minutes.
Strongest betting angles Based on the current market:
France to Advance ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Safest) France -1.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ France Team Total Over 2.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ Over 2.5 Goals ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ France Win to Nil ⭐⭐⭐☆☆
Strongest lean France -1.5
Projected score: France 3–0 Paraguay
France have looked like one of the tournament's most complete teams, while Paraguay needed penalties to eliminate Germany. Unless Paraguay produce another exceptional defensive performance, France's attacking quality should create multiple scoring opportunities.
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 Re: 7/4 Statistical Advantages
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MLB Trends
Pittsburgh/Washington The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games. Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Washington. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games. Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Minnesota/NYY Minnesota is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games against NY Yankees. The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 16 games on the road. Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games against an opponent in the American League. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees' last 15 games. NY Yankees is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games. NY Yankees is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home. NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
Detroit/Texas The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games. Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Texas. Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games against an opponent in the American League. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas' last 8 games. Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games against Detroit. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 6 games at home.
Toronto/Seattle The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games. Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games. Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Seattle. Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle's last 13 games against Toronto. Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto.
Baltimore/Cincinnati Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games. Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Cincinnati. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road. Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games. Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games against Baltimore. Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.
CWS/Cleveland The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago White Sox's last 6 games. Chicago White Sox is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games. Chicago White Sox is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games against Cleveland. Chicago White Sox is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games. Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games against Chicago White Sox. Cleveland is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago White Sox.
TB/Houston The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games. Tampa Bay is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games. Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Houston. Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 14 games against Tampa Bay. Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
NYM/Atlanta The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets' last 8 games. NY Mets is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games. NY Mets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road. NY Mets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games. Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games. Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Mets. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
STL/Chicago The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis' last 7 games. St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis' last 7 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis' last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago Cubs. The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago Cubs' last 14 games. Chicago Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago Cubs' last 7 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago Cubs' last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis.
SF/Colorado San Francisco is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games against Colorado. San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado. San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the National League. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado's last 15 games against San Francisco. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
Philadelphia/KC Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Kansas City. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 13 games. Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 9 games against Philadelphia. Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Boston/LAA Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games. Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against LA Angels. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road. Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Angels. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels' last 6 games. LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels' last 10 games against Boston. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels' last 11 games at home.
Milwaukee/Arizona The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games. Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road. Milwaukee is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the National League. Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games against Milwaukee. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
Miami/Oakland The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games. Miami is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games. Miami is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games against Athletics. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road. Athletics is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Athletics' last 9 games against Miami. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Athletics' last 5 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Athletics' last 6 games when playing at home against Miami.
LAD/SD San Diego is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games. San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against LA Dodgers. San Diego is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games on the road. San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers. LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games. LA Dodgers is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home. LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego. The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers' last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.
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 Re: 7/4 Statistical Advantages
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,612 Likes: 2822 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,612 Likes: 2822 Time to play the Game |
A bet on the Rays run line has won nine straight. (+12.25 Units / 136% ROI)
The Yankees have gone under the team total in eight straight home games. (+8.00 Units / 79% ROI)
The Tigers have gone over the team total in seven straight games. (+7.10 Units / 90% ROI)
A bet on the Cubs moneyline has cashed in 15 of their last 20 games. (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Eight of the last 10 Braves games have gone under the total. (+5.75 Units / 53% ROI)
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