New York Yankees (RL) +119
Yankees have won five of their last seven games while the White Sox have lost three of their last five
Yankees starter Fried owns a 2.97 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP and just allowed one hit and one walk across five innings in his last start
Chicago starter Schultz struggling allowing four or more earned runs in three of his last six starts
Yankees rank 2nd in MLB in home runs hit this season

Arnaldi ML. I’m not sure what to make of Museti today as he hasn’t played in quite some time because of injuries. Arnaldi has enjoyed a very good year and I expect him to push his country mate and untimely get the win in a close match.

under 8.5 las

been playing attention to games where totals on one aside have a higher ml assigned to them, this is one of those games, over carries a-105 tag which in my opinion is baiting bettors to go play the over, books aren’t stupid obviously, and everything they do has reasoning behind it

Each of the Angels’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Astros’ last eight games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Angels’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of the Astros’ last 11 night games against AL West opponents

NYY under 8.5 -113

Even though Schultz has ERA of 6.04. Yankees have struggled to score, averaging 3.3 runs over the past 29 games, Fried has an ERA of 2.97 and Yankees have the best bullpen in terms of ERA. Good luck.

Mainers -125

Sea may have a little momentum after yesterday to get the final game of this series and today they are pitching George Kirby who pretty much owns the Rangers by going 9-1 with an ERA of 1.33 lifetime vs Tex and for Tex they are throwing the inconsistent Kumar Rocket who is 0-2 with an ERA of 4.50 vs Sea so I am taking the Mariners

Yankees Ml

Seattle ML

I like Seattle here tonight. They have the pitching matchup tonight and I'm going with that edge. For Seattle Kirby last 2 starts he's gone 12 innings giving up 11 hits and 2 earned runs. Rocker has had a good outing and a bad outting. Overall his last 2 he's gone 11+ innings giving up 9 hits and 7 earned runs. Take Seattle on the road today

Mlb
Sea o7.5
Gl

The Over has enough paths with both offenses carrying wRC+ marks above 100 over the last week and the total sitting at just 7.5. Seattle’s bullpen has struggled with a 5.02 xERA lately, while Texas’ relief corps owns a 7.07 ERA across the last two weeks overall in this spot.

MLB

969 Boston

Boston is 20-14 as a road favorite
Boston is 29-21 Away
The Red Sox have an 8-2 record in their last 10 games straight up
Athletics are 9-18 as a home dog
Athletics are 16-23 at Home
The Athletics have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games straight up

I still don;t understand why you are referring to first innings stats when you its not even part of your play?...

Nats/Blue Jays over 9.5

Scherzer up against former team with a 10 ERA
Nats offense 1st in runs scored, SLG and OPs
Nats pitching staff 28th in runs allowed.
Take the over

Yankees vs White Sox
Chicago White Sox left-hander Noah Schultz’s profile is a poor fit against this lineup. He owns a 6.07 ERA.This is the right matchup for the Yankees to do damage.even without Judge
Take Yankees to win. Also -1.5

MLB:

Boston -1 -145 840pm

Boston is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games.
Boston is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games against Athletics.
Boston is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
Athletics is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games.
Athletics is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Athletics is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston.

Pittsburgh Over 9, Keller and Kelly are coming off 2 of their best starts of the season but I don’t think it’s a step in the right direction I see this game being played closer to 10 runs and it being a shootout even with arizonas poor bottom 3 WRC+ vs righties

Philadelphia -170 (MLB)

Bet against Miami on the money line after 6 or more consecutive losses.
Miami record during the 2026 season: 0-6 (0%)

Wayyy to early .. I stick mostly to NFL & NBA.. but placed it today. I’m laying just over 2:1 (-210) to parlay Jags & Chargers week 1 in the NFL. I have a way too long analysis as to why on selections central. But sparknotes is betting against Brisset winning after his 1-11 LY and supposedly an even worse Cards team this year and betting on the home cooking in Jacksonville, if you check their last couple years of home games.. they’re impressive.

Mets at Phillies Under 7.5 -105

The under is 18-2-1 since last season when the Phillies play on the road after scoring at least 9 runs, staying under by an average of 1.9 runs per game.

Red Sox -1.5...-110...One of the hottest teams winning 17 of 19 games against one of the worst teams losing 15 of 18 looks like a blowout

Phillies rl-120 the Phillies dominated yesterday I see the same happening here today. The marlins show up when they want to Phillies rl