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8/4 Statistical Advantages
#960635 07/13/26 07:38 PM
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Re: 8/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #963504 08/03/26 11:34 PM
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Toronto @ Golden State

Over is 9-0 in Tempo last 9 road games.
Over is 9-0 in Tempo last 9 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Tempo last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Valkyries are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Valkyries last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-1 in Valkyries last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 6-1 in Tempo last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Tempo last 5 overall.


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Re: 8/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #963561 08/04/26 10:43 AM
Joined: Apr 2023
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New England
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MLB Trends

LA ANGELS @ BALTIMORE
Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Phillies are 4-0 in Luzardos last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Phillies are 8-1 in Luzardos last 9 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 7-1 in Luzardos last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

ATHLETICS @ CINCINNATI
Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts as an underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Singers last 4 starts vs. American League West.
Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

NY METS @ CLEVELAND
Under is 9-0 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-0 in Manaeas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Manaeas last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.

ST. LOUIS @ NY YANKEES
Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
Yankees are 4-0 in Weathers' last 4 interleague starts.
Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games.
Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague road games.
Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.

CHI. WHITE SOX @ BOSTO
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-2-1 in Red Sox last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.

MIAMI @ ATLANTA
Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games.
Over is 5-0-2 in Sales last 7 starts as a home favorite.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.

PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE
Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
Pirates are 5-0 in Jones' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 home starts.
Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts as a home favorite.

MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY
Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League Central.
Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games a home underdog.

SAN FRANCISCO @ TEXAS
Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 vs. American League West.

LA DODGERS @ CHI. CUBS
Cubs are 8-0 in Assads last 8 starts as a home favorite.
Cubs are 6-0 in Assads last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
Cubs are 4-0 in Assads last 4 starts as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 4-0 in Assads last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Cubs are 9-1 in Assads last 10 starts as a home underdog.

TORONTO @ HOUSTON
Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

TAMPA BAY @ COLORADO
Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts on grass.
Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts overall.
Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.

DETROIT @ SEATTLE
Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.
Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.
Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 4-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.

Re: 8/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #963567 08/04/26 11:42 AM
Joined: Apr 2023
Posts: 2,948
Likes: 70
Lake Grove
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Joined: Apr 2023
Posts: 2,948
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Wrapping up baseball’s trade deadline:
— Phillies acquired 2B Luis Arraez from the Giants, along with P Caleb Kilian, for a couple of young pitchers.

As a result, Phillies’ infield defense is going to be re-shuffled:
1B- Alec Bohm
2B- Luis Arraez
SS- Trea Turner
3B- Bryson Stott
RF- Bryce Harper

— Arraez has won three batting titles, has a good chance for a fourth one this year, but he has also played on a lot of different teams, for such a good hitter:

2019-22: Twins
2023-24: Marlins
2024-25: Padres
2025-26: Giants
2026: Phillies

— Red Sox traded for C Adley Rutschman, hoping to upgrade behind the plate; they gave the Orioles three of their top five prospects. Lot of people on social media, including some baseball pundits, were wowed by how much Boston paid to get Rutschman.

Rutschman is hurt right now; he hasn’t played since July 18th.

— Mets traded away 8 major leaguers, plus a minor leaguer; in return, they acquired 13 minor league prospects. Monday they added six minor leaguers to their 26-man active roster.

— Texas P Jacob deGrom exercised the no-trade clause in his contract, wouldn’t let the Rangers trade him away from Arlington.

Someone on ESPN suggested that deGrom gets taxed less than he would if he played home games in a different state (Florida? California?), which he why he put the kibosh on the trade.

— San Diego added a pair of starting pitchers, Robbie Ray from the Giants, Casey Mize from Detroit. Ray is 10-6, 3.08 in 21 starts this year; Mize was 4-6, 2.70 in 16 starts for the Tigers.

— Pirates fortified their bullpen, adding Luke Weaver/Kirby Yates. Weird seeing the team with the #2 payroll (Mets) trading a guy to Pittsburgh at the deadline.

— Cleveland added P Foster Griffin from Washington, OF Jo Adell from the Angels, and Nathaniel Lowe from the Reds. Little surprised to see the Nationals trade Griffin away; he is having a very good season.

— Cubs worked hard to hard to upgrade their pitching; they acquired starters Clay Holmes, Braxton Garrett and reliever Ryan Zeferjahn- they also acquired OF Tyrone Taylor.

— Tampa Bay improved its catching, adding Liam Hicks; they also acquired reliever Tyler Wells, as well as starter Freddy Peralta.

Rays now have a SS named Taylor Walls, and a P named Tyler Wells.


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