NYY -148

Fried had never faced his old team but this pick isn’t about Fried it’s about Tyler Mahle who ATL picked up at the trade deadline and why I don’t know because for the Giants this yr he made 9 starts on the road and SF record was 0-9 and Mahle himself was 0-6 with an ERA of 8.04 so I will be taking the NYY

Triante ML. I like this run that Triante has had in Montreal. He has beaten quality players and Popryin is not a guy that I am fearful of. I think the good form continues for at least one more round.

Pirates -135

Carmen Mlodzinski (6–3, 3.15 ERA) gets the nod for Pittsburgh. He has been reliable at limiting damage, while the Mets are sending out left-hander Zach Thornton (2–2, 2.88 ERA). While Thornton's ERA looks strong in limited action, Mlodzinski brings much deeper workload experience over 90+ innings this season.

St. Louis Cardinals (RL) +119
Pitching advantage for Cards with Leahy and his 3.44 ERA and 1.33 WHIP
Rockies starter Feltner has a 5.75 ERA and has given up 21 runs in his last 17.2 innings
Feltner even worse on the road with a 6.00 ERA and hitters are batting .309 against him
Rockies are a league worst 18-38 away from home

Rays at Mariners, over 7 +100

Over on home teams facing an opponent that had 11 or fewer hits and more than one triple in their last game.
Over is 35-11 since 2022.

Marlins -145

Angles start George Klassen who’s only pitched 4.2 innings allowing 6 runs for an ERA over 11 and that was back in April. I don’t think he magically gets better and is solid today. He takes on Tyler Phillips who’s 3-5 with a good 3.53 ERA. Angled are 19-38 on the road and 3-7 their last ten games.

MLB/Nats -120 priced for value and trends clip just over 51% so although no huge edge I'm getting the better team and better pitcher at home...up to 1.75 units today....GLA!

o8.5 Miami / LAA

Have one average pitcher and one young pitcher that has gotten hit hard in his only 2 appearances. Klassen for LA has appeared in 2 games this year and hasn't feared well. He's pitched only 4+ innings and has given up 7 hits and 6 earned run. Phillips last 2 starts has gone 10 innings giving up 10 hits and 4 earned runs, not bad but not great. I see this game going easily over tonight

MLB:

Tampa Bay+103 845pm

Tampa comes into this game 7-3 L10.
Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Seattle is not a playoff team this year, they are 4-6 L10 losing 2 of last 3.

Mets over 8.5 both team can will score both starting pitchers are far at most take the over

Rays +100
Tampa 7-3 last 10
Seattle 29th in Batting Average, 24th in OBP, 28th in SLG, 28th in OPS
Rasmussen 10-5 on year with .93 whip..
Rays
Side parlay...Rays -1.5/Under 6.5 +500

Phili under 8 -118

My phone acting up, here is the reason, Wheeler has been solid with ERA of 2.49 and WHIP of 0.9, Soriano is making his 1st start for Toronto, but his ERA on the road is 3.08. Good luck.

MLB

922 Miami

Miami is 20-11 as a home favorite
Miami is 34-23 at Home
LA Angels are 15-32 as a road dog
LA Angels are 19-38 on the road

Angels marlins under 8.5. Two weak lineups and better bullpens going head to head. Should be a 4-2 , 4-3 type of game

TB -110

Rays are crushing pitching right now and Seattle owns one of worst ERA in league bad combo for the Mariners tonight.
Rays 7-2

Red Sox -1.5...-135....One of the hottest teams in baseball winning 8 in a row and 26 of 29 against one of the worst teams who have lost 8 straight and only won 4 of their last 28 games

New York Yankees -1.5 (+167)

While the Braves are rolling, but they are throwing out the newly acquired Mahle who is a horrific 0-6 with an 8.04 ERA on the road this season. Fried should be fine against his old team.

Mlb
NYM ml
Gl

The Pittsburgh Pirates are struggling at the dish, hitting .234 the past month while striking out at the fourth highest rate.

The New York Mets sit 15th in wOBA vs. righties over the last 30 days, and have shown good power with the fourth highest HR/FB rate.