Detroit @ Cincinnati

Under is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 home games.
Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 6-1 in Lions last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games as a road favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games overall.
Lions are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite.


Green Bay @ Pittsburgh

Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-1-1 in Steelers last 6 home games.
Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 road games.


Indianapolis @ New England

Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games on fieldturf.
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New England.


L.A. Chargers @ Houston

Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 vs. AFC.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games overall.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Detroit Lions @ Cincinnati Bengals, Thursday, August 13, 2026

Biggest handicap factor

Cincinnati's decision is unusually important for a Week 1 preseason game.
Zac Taylor has explicitly decided to use Joe Burrow and other starters, continuing his approach from last year's preseason opener.

Detroit is taking the opposite approach.
Dan Campbell has indicated Jared Goff and other key starters won't play.

That creates a very unusual situation:

Burrow + Bengals starters vs. Detroit's backups early → Cincinnati should have a significant early-game advantage.

But there's a catch.

Once Burrow and the Bengals starters leave, you're essentially handicapping backup vs. backup, and that's where laying 6.5-7.0 points becomes much less attractive.

Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Thursday, August 13, 2026

Most important factor: quarterback playing time.

Packers: Jordan Love is the key question for how much Green Bay's first-team offense plays.
Steelers: Aaron Rodgers is reportedly being considered for preseason snaps.
Steelers HC Mike McCarthy said the team has plans for Rodgers to play in the two home preseason games,
although the final decision would be made closer to game day.
That makes QB snaps much more important than regular-season team strength for this matchup.

1. QB situation — biggest handicap factor
Pittsburgh — Aaron Rodgers

Mike McCarthy has said there are plans for Rodgers to play in Pittsburgh's two home preseason games, although the final decision is being made closer to each game.
Reports around the team have suggested approximately 30–40 total preseason snaps across those two games, rather than 30–40 in this one game.

So I would not assume Rodgers plays 30–40 snaps Thursday.

Green Bay — Jordan Love

This is the more important unresolved question for the betting market. Green Bay has been discussing its starter usage,
but I don't have sufficiently reliable confirmation today that Love will play a substantial number of snaps Thursday.

That's why I would not lock in Packers +1.5 yet.

2. Preseason ATS perspective

Preseason handicapping is much different from regular season:

QB snaps > roster strength > coaching > home field.

The Week 1 market itself reflects that uncertainty.
FOX explicitly notes that preseason wagering is difficult because of uncertainty over which players will actually take the field.

Historically, coaching/preseason ATS tendencies can matter, but I would put much less weight on historical ATS than on confirmed 2026 personnel usage.

Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots, August 13, 2026

Current market:
Patriots -1.5 (-110)
Total 38.5
Patriots ML about -124
Colts ML about +105 to +106

1. QB situation — biggest handicap factor

Indianapolis
Daniel Jones is listed QB1 on the initial depth chart, but he will NOT play Thursday.
Anthony Richardson and Riley Leonard are expected to split the quarterback reps.
This is important because I would not use Daniel Jones' regular-season starting status to handicap this preseason game.

New England
The Patriots' QB participation plan is still the key piece of information I want before making a strong side wager.
If New England gives its top QB meaningful snaps while Indianapolis goes with Richardson/Leonard, that would strengthen the Patriots side considerably.

My current QB adjustment: slight edge New England, but not enough by itself to lay -1.5.

2. Colts roster / injuries
Indianapolis has some important uncertainty.

The initial depth chart lists Alec Pierce as a starter despite injury concerns, while CJ Allen is listed as a starter but is currently out.
The Colts' offensive group still has Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Warren and Josh Downs among its notable weapons.

One thing I would not do is assume the initial depth chart means the listed starters will play normal preseason minutes.
Preseason Week 1 depth charts are often more about identifying roster battles than predicting actual snap counts.

3. Patriots situation
New England enters this game with a very different context.
The Patriots went 14-3 in 2025 and reached the AFC Championship/Super Bowl stage, so their established starters have much less to prove in preseason than players fighting for roster spots.
That creates a potential problem for laying a favorite:
If Vrabel rests most established starters, New England's regular-season strength becomes much less relevant.
That's why I don't want to blindly bet Patriots -1.5.

Arizona Cardinals @ Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday, August 13, 2026

The biggest handicap factor: QB rotation

This is where I think the game will ultimately be decided.

Las Vegas
Kirk Cousins is expected to initially win the QB competition.
No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza is pushing him.
Aidan O'Connell is the third QB and has substantial NFL starting experience.
That is a potentially attractive preseason QB-depth situation for Las Vegas, particularly if O'Connell receives significant second-half snaps.

Arizona
The Cardinals already played Carolina in the Hall of Fame Game.
Rookie Carson Beck went 15/19 for 188 yards and a TD in that game.
Arizona's first preseason game therefore gives us considerably more information about its backup/QB rotation than we have for Las Vegas.
That is an important distinction: Arizona has already had live preseason reps; Las Vegas has not.

The latest information available tonight, including the August 10 Raiders camp report and current preseason news.
The Raiders are coming off a strong offensive camp day, with Kirk Cousins, Brock Bowers and Malik Benson highlighted by the team.

Raiders -2 is my preferred bet

This is substantially better than Raiders -2.5.

The key is that -2 gives you a very valuable number in a preseason game where a one-score margin is common.

There are also some reasons I prefer Las Vegas

Home field at Allegiant Stadium.
Raiders' QB room has veteran Kirk Cousins, first-overall pick Fernando Mendoza and Aidan O'Connell.
Cousins has been named the expected Week 1 starter, while Mendoza and O'Connell are competing for developmental/backup reps.
Las Vegas has been emphasizing getting Mendoza and O'Connell meaningful preseason work.
Arizona already played the Hall of Fame Game, where Carson Beck had a very good debut,
so Arizona has an actual-game evaluation advantage going into this matchup.

That last point is why I don't want to overstate the Raiders edge.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans, Thursday, August 13, 2026

A significant update today, August 11

QB status for Chargers–Texans

Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert: OUT for this preseason game.
The Chargers are expected to split the QB work between Trey Lance and DJ Uiagalelei, with each getting approximately one half of the game.
Herbert remains firmly established as the Chargers' regular-season QB1, but he is not expected to play Thursday.

Houston Texans
C.J. Stroud is expected to play, but I have not found an official announcement giving an exact number of snaps/series yet.
Houston's preseason opener is specifically being used to get its starters some live-game work, and Stroud is the clear QB1

Best bet Texans ML

Note: The Chargers' situation is particularly interesting because Trey Lance has been having a strong camp,
and the QB battle behind Herbert is one of the Chargers' major preseason storylines.
So I don't want to treat this as simply "Herbert out = Chargers bad." Lance is a legitimate NFL backup and has preseason experience.

Bottom line: the Herbert OUT news makes me more comfortable with Texans

Atlanta @ Connecticut

Under is 6-0 in Dream last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Sun last 5 games as a favorite.
Dream are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Sun last 4 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games as a road underdog.
Under is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games as a home underdog.
Dream are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Sun are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.


Los Angeles @ New York

Sparks are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New York.
Sparks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 6-0 in Liberty last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 games as an underdog.
Liberty are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Over is 4-0 in Sparks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.


Washington @ Las Vegas

Mystics are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Mystics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 6-1 in Aces last 7 games as a home underdog.
Over is 6-1 in Aces last 7 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Mystics last 6 road games.
Mystics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Mystics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

NFL Top Preseason Team Betting Trends for 2026:

Overall Trends

– ATLANTA is on a 5-24-1 SU and 5-25 ATS skid in the preseason
– BUFFALO is on a 14-5-1 Over the total run in the preseason
– CAROLINA was on a 1-8 SU and ATS skid in the preseason prior to its win in the Hall of Fame Game vs. Arizona
– CHICAGO is 9-2-1 SU and 10-2 ATS in the last four preseasons
– CHICAGO is 18-5-1 Over the total in its last 24 preseason games
– CINCINNATI has struggled to a 4-15-1 SU and 8-12 ATS record in its last 20 preseason contests
– Dating back to 2013, DALLAS is just 13-31 SU and 12-29-3 ATS in the preseason
– Outright winners are on an incredible 39-1-1 ATS run in DENVER preseason games. The Broncos have won and covered seven straight heading into ’26.
– DETROIT is on a 18-8 Over the total surge in preseason games, allowing 23.8 PPG
– HOUSTON is on a 15-3 Under the total run in preseason games, total point production 32.2 PPG
– INDIANAPOLIS is on a 15-5 Over the total run in preseason action, total point production 42.0 PPG
– KANSAS CITY has lost six straight preseason games while going 1-5 ATS
– LA CHARGERS are on a 5-game Over the total streak in preseason action, scoring 26.4 PPG
– LA RAMS have won six straight preseason games ATS
– LAS VEGAS hasn’t won a preseason game since 2023, going 0-6-1 SU & 1-6 ATS in its last seven
– MIAMI has gone 13-6-1 SU and 14-6 ATS in its last 20 preseason games
– NEW ENGLAND is on a current 15-6 Under the total surge in the preseason
– The NY GIANTS are 14-5 Over the total in preseason games since ‘18
– The NY JETS are on a 13-5-1 SU and 13-6 ATS run in the preseason, definitively beating their regular season performance levels
– PITTSBURGH had been one of the best preseason teams in the league under Mike Tomlin, going 20-8 SU and 18-10 ATS in their last 28
– WASHINGTON has struggled in recent preseasons, going 6-15 SU and 5-16 ATS since 2018

Home/Road Trends

– ARIZONA is on a 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in preseason games away from home, including its loss in the Hall-of-Fame Game
– ATLANTA is just 2-12-1 SU and 1-14 ATS in its last 15 home preseason games, as well as 12-3 Under the total, scoring just 10.7 PPG
– BALTIMORE is on a 19-5-1 ATS surge in road preseason contests
– BUFFALO is on a 13-3 Over the total surge in preseason home games
– CAROLINA has lost its last five home preseason games SU and ATS
– CHICAGO is on an impressive streak of 6-0 ATS in home preseason games
– CINCINNATI has gone 10-3 ATS in its last 13 road preseason tilts but just 3-12 ATS in its L15 at home
– CLEVELAND boasts an 11-3-1 SU and 13-2 ATS mark in its last 15 preseason contests on the road but is 0-7-1 ATS in the last eight at home
– DALLAS is 2-18 SU and 4-16 ATS on the preseason road since 2012, but has gone Over the total in its last seven at home
– DENVER has won eight straight home preseason contests while going 7-1 ATS
– DETROIT is on skids of 2-11 SU and 2-10 ATS in home preseason games
– GREEN BAY is on a 15-5 SU and ATS run in preseason games at Lambeau Field
– HOUSTON is on a 7-1 SU and ATS road preseason run, holding opponents to 12.8 PPG
– INDIANAPOLIS has gone Over the total in its last seven preseason road games
– JACKSONVILLE is on a 14-6 Under the total road preseason run
– KANSAS CITY has struggled on the preseason road, 3-8 SU and ATS in the last 11
– LA CHARGERS are on a 2-12 SU and 3-10-1 ATS skid in preseason home games
– LA RAMS are on a 9-2 Under the total run in preseason games away from home
– LAS VEGAS is on a 7-2-1 SU and 8-2 ATS preseason home game surge, holding opponents to 13.2 PPG
– MIAMI is on a 7-2 SU and ATS run at home in the preseason, as well as a 14-4 OVER the total surge on the road
– NEW ENGLAND is 14-6 Under the total in its last 20 preseason road affairs
– NEW ORLEANS enters the 2026 exhibition season on a 1-6 ATS skid on the road
– NY GIANTS are 8-2 Over the total in their last 10 preseason home games, scoring 24.7 PPG
– NY JETS have gone 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine true road preseason games
– PHILADELPHIA is on a 1-7-1 SU and 1-8 ATS skid at home in the preseason
– PITTSBURGH is on a 11-4 SU and ATS run in preseason games away from home
– SEATTLE is on a 1-6 SU and ATS skid in road preseason games
– TAMPA BAY has gone Over the total in the last seven home preseason contests but Under the total in the last six on the road
– TENNESSEE has gone Over the total in the last seven road preseason contests but Under the total in eight of the last 10 at home

Off SU Win/Loss Trends

– ARIZONA has lost its last six preseason games SU and ATS when coming off a win
– ATLANTA hasn’t won much in the preseason but when it has it is just 1-9-1 SU and 1-10 ATS in the follow-up game
– BALTIMORE is 17-3-1 ATS in the last 21 preseason games when coming off a win
– CAROLINA is on a 2-9 ATS skid in the last 11 preseason games following a win, a trend that will be tested this week at Buffalo
– CHICAGO has gone 7-0 Over the total in last seven games following up a preseason loss
– CLEVELAND is on a crazy 15-2 Under the total surge in preseason games following a win the week prior, allowing just 15.1 PPG
– HOUSTON is 11-1 SU and ATS in the last 12 games rebounding from a preseason loss
– INDIANAPOLIS has followed up its last five preseason wins with another win, both SU & ATS
– JACKSONVILLE is 6-1 SU & ATS in the last seven when following up a preseason win
– LA RAMS are on a 13-6 ATS run following up a preseason win
– MIAMI has rebounded from its last six preseason losses or ties with resounding SU and ATS wins, average margin of victory 22.0 PPG!
– MINNESOTA has followed up its last seven preseason same-season losses with another loss, going 2-5 ATS
– The last nine NY GIANTS preseason games following up an outright win have gone 8-1 Over the total, producing 49.7 PPG
– NEW ORLEANS has gone Under the total in 10 of its last 11 games following up a preseason win
– PHILADELPHIA is just 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six chances trying to win back-to-back preseason games
– SEATTLE has also gone just 1-5 ATS in the last six trying to follow up a preseason win, going Under the total in the last five
– WASHINGTON has gone 11-2 Under the total in the last 13 games following up a preseason loss

Favorite/Underdog Trends

– ATLANTA is on 1-9 ATS skid as a preseason favorite, also 8-2 Under the total in that role
– BUFFALO is on a 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS surge as a preseason underdog
– CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS since 2015 as a preseason underdog
– CINCINNATI is on a 3-10 ATS as preseason chalk
– CLEVELAND is 11-0-1 ATS since 2017, as well as 16-3-1 ATS in the last 20 as a preseason underdog but 1-9 ATS in the last 10 as a favorite
– DALLAS is on a 2-10-2 ATS skid as preseason favorite
– DENVER is 16-4 SU and 14-5-1 ATS in the last 20 as a preseason favorite
– DETROIT is on a 2-6 SU and 1-6-1 ATS slide as preseason chalk
– GREEN BAY has lost eight of the last 10 games SU as preseason dog (2-7-1 ATS), but is 14-4 SU and ATS as favorite since 2014
– INDIANAPOLIS is on a 10-0-3 ATS surge as a preseason underdog. The Colts are also 11-1 Over the total in the last 12 as preseason favorite
– LA CHARGERS are on a 1-5 ATS skid as preseason favorites
– LA RAMS have covered six straight preseason games as underdogs just once in the last 10 preseason games as favorites
– LAS VEGAS is on a 6-1 ATS run as exhibition underdog, but has lost six straight ATS as favorite
– NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 Under the total in the last 17 as preseason underdog
– NEW ORLEANS is 2-11-1 SU and 4-10 ATS in its last 14 as preseason underdog
– NY JETS have converted nine of the last 11 ATS as preseason underdogs
– PHILADELPHIA is on a 2-6-1 SU and 1-7-1 ATS skid when laying points in the preseason
– PITTSBURGH is 10-4 SU & ATS in the last 14 as preseason underdog
– SAN FRANCISCO is on a 10-1-1 ATS surge as preseason underdog but is just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 as chalk
– SEATTLE has gone 0-6-1 SU and 1-6 ATS in the last seven as preseason dog

NFL Preseason Systematic Betting Concepts


Line ranges have proven very telling
Since 2010, there have been 18 teams that have been favored by more than 7 points. Only eleven of these heavy favorites won their games outright, and they were just 6-12 ATS (33.3%). At the same time, favorites in the “sweet spot” range of -3.5 to -7 have been quite reliable, going 161-136-4 ATS for 54.2%. Most games however, tend to land in the -1 to -3 range, and those contests are where the underdogs thrive. Since 2015, underdogs in the +1 to +3 range own a highly profitable record of 190-128 ATS, good for 59.7%!
System Matches (PLAY ALL): FAVORITES -3.5 to -7 – CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs DET), TENNESSEE (-4.5 at SF), NY JETS (-6 vs TB), DENVER (-6 at ATL), PHILADELPHIA (-3.5 at BAL), SEATTLE (-3.5 vs DAL)
UNDERDOGS +1 to +3 – PITTSBURGH (+1.5 vs GB), NEW ENGLAND (+2.5 vs IND), LA CHARGERS (+1.5 at HOU), ARIZONA (+1.5 at LVR), WASHINGTON (+3 vs MIA), CAROLINA (+1.5 at BUF), NY GIANTS (+1.5 vs MIN), CHICAGO (+2.5 vs CLE), LA RAMS (+2.5 at KC), JACKSONVILLE (+1.5 at NO)

Home field advantage usually means very little in tight-lined games
In looking at the home/road results of the last 14 NFL preseasons, there have been only four years where home teams finished with a record of better than .500 ATS. In fact, since 2011, road teams own a 418-378 ATS edge, good for 52.5%, and essentially enough to make a profit without any other handicapping considered. However, the absolute best time to back road teams is in spots where they are underdogs of 2.5 points or less, as they have gone 84-43 ATS as such since 2015, good for 66.1%! These road underdogs had another strong season in ’25, producing a 5-2 ATS record.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA CHARGERS (+1.5 at HOU), ARIZONA (+1.5 at LVR), CAROLINA (+1.5 at BUF), LA RAMS (+2.5 at KC), JACKSONVILLE (+1.5 at NO)

“37” is a magic number for totals
Since 2010 in the NFL preseason, the number 37 has proven to be quite the benchmark in terms of totals. Totals less than 37 have gone Over at a rate of 57.2% (317-237), and were 14-8 Over in last year’s very high-scoring 2025 preseason. Those closing totals of 37 or higher have gone Under at a 56.4% clip (565-436). However, they were 17-10 Over last year.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER (O/U < 37) – LAC-HOU, TB-NYJ, MIA-WAS, LAR-KC, JAX-NO, PHI-BAL
UNDER (O/U >= 37) – DET-CIN, GB-PIT, IND-NE, ARI-LVR, TEN-SF, DEN-ATL, CAR-BUF, MIN-NYG, CLE-CHI, DAL-SEA

Preseason games between conference opponents lean heavily Under
Interestingly, dating back to September 2015, preseason games between opponents from the same conference have trended heavily Under the total, going 67-44 Under (60.4%). Just eight of last year’s 49 games fell into this category, however. Furthermore, if you add the qualifiers from #7 above to that time span, preseason games between conference opponents with totals of 37 or higher have gone Under at a 54-25 rate (68.4%) since September 2015!
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): IND-NE (o/u at 37.5), LAC-HOU (o/u at 36.5), MIN-NYG (o/u at 41.5), DAL-SEA (o/u at 39.5)

MLB Trends

CLEVELAND @ DETROIT
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games.
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0-2 in Tigers last 6 games following a loss.
Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI
Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts as a favorite.
Pirates are 7-0 in Ashcrafts last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-0-1 in Phillips' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Phillips' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Phillips' last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

SEATTLE @ NY YANKEES
Under is 8-0 in Yankees last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-0 in Yankees last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Frieds last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Frieds last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Yankees are 6-1 in Frieds last 7 starts as a favorite.

CINCINNATI @ CHI. WHITE SOX
Reds are 7-0 in Abbotts last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
White Sox are 8-0 in Martins last 8 interleague starts.
Over is 6-0 in Porters last 6 games behind home plate.
Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Road team is 4-0 in Porters last 4 games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-0 in Porters last 4 interleague games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.

BOSTON @ TORONTO
Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 4 of a series.
Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-0 in Scherzers last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a favorite.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.

CHI. CUBS @ WASHINGTON
Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

PHILADELPHIA @ MINNESOTA
Over is 5-0-1 in Nolas last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 6-0 in Bradleys last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 home starts.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. National League East.
Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

TEXAS @ LA ANGELS
Under is 6-0 in deGroms last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Angels are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-1 in Urenas last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

MILWAUKEE @ LA DODGERS
Dodgers are 9-0 in Sasakis last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts as a favorite.
Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts overall.