NFL TRENDS

WASHINGTON @ DETROIT
Aug 22 • 12:00 PM ET

Over is 4-0 in Commanders last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Commanders last 4 vs. NFC.
Over is 4-0 in Commanders last 4 games as an underdog.
Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Over is 6-1 in Lions last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1-1 in Commanders last 7 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

BUFFALO @ CLEVELAND
Aug 22 • 1:00 PM ET

Home team is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games as a favorite.
Favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games as a favorite.

BALTIMORE @ MINNESOTA
Aug 22 • 1:00 PM ET

Over is 7-0 in Ravens last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 home games.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 8-1 in Vikings last 9 games overall.
Under is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

ATLANTA @ INDIANAPOLIS
Aug 22 • 1:00 PM ET

Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as a road favorite.
Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

NEW ORLEANS @ L.A. RAMS
Aug 22 • 4:00 PM ET

Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games as an underdog.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 8-1 in Rams last 9 games overall.

N.Y. GIANTS @ MIAMI
Aug 22 • 4:00 PM ET

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 home games.
Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
Under is 5-1-2 in Dolphins last 8 games on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 8-2 in Giants last 10 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-2 in Dolphins last 9 games as a home favorite.

CHICAGO @ CINCINNATI
Aug 22 • 7:00 PM ET

Under is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 home games.
Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 7-2-1 in Bears last 10 road games.
Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games overall.

PHILADELPHIA @ NEW ENGLAND
Aug 22 • 7:00 PM ET
Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New England.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England.
Under is 6-1 in Eagles last 7 games as a road underdog.

KANSAS CITY @ TAMPA BAY
Aug 22 • 7:30 PM ET

Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 home games.
Chiefs are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog.
Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.

SEATTLE @ TENNESSEE
Aug 23 • 8:00 PM ET

Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games on grass.
Seahawks are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.

MLB TRENDS

TORONTO @ NY YANKEES
Aug 22 • 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Yankees are 5-0 in Weathers' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.

ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE
Aug 22 • 2:10 PM ET

Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 home starts.
Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 home starts.

WASHINGTON @ MIAMI
Aug 22 • 4:10 PM ET

Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts as an underdog.
Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

ST. LOUIS @ PHILADELPHIA
Aug 22 • 6:05 PM ET

Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Painters last 5 starts on grass.
Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Over is 5-0 in Painters last 5 starts overall.
Over is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

LA ANGELS @ TEXAS
Aug 22 • 7:05 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.
Under is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 9-2 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE
Aug 22 • 7:05 PM ET

Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0-1 in Youngs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

NY METS @ CHI. WHITE SOX
Aug 22 • 7:10 PM ET

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
Mets are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League Central.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.

ATHLETICS @ HOUSTON
Aug 22 • 7:10 PM ET

Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
are 6-1 in Lopezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

PITTSBURGH @ LA DODGERS
Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Jones' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Pirates are 5-1 in Jones' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY
Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

CHI. CUBS @ SEATTLE
Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts on grass.
Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Cubs are 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts.
Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.

SAN FRANCISCO @ BOSTON
Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. National League West.
Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 starts as a favorite.

CINCINNATI @ ARIZONA
Aug 22 • 8:10 PM ET

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Sorokas last 7 starts as a home favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

CLEVELAND @ COLORADO
Aug 22 • 8:10 PM ET

Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Bibees last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Bibees last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

MINNESOTA @ SAN DIEGO
Aug 22 • 8:40 PM ET

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

The NFL itself notes that preseason Week 2 generally brings more starter snaps, but each team handles it differently.

There are 10 Saturday games, but not all teams have officially released final inactive lists yet.
So I will label players as confirmed out, expected to sit, or expected to play rather than pretending we have final inactives.

Game-by-game details

1. Commanders @ Lions

Washington
Jayden Daniels: possible limited action
Marcus Mariota: OUT
Nick Allegretti: injury concern
Washington intends to give several starters their first preseason snaps.

Detroit
Jared Goff: OUT
Josh Dobbs: expected starter
Luke Altmyer: significant work

Bet: PASS Lions -1.5 unless you specifically want a small Detroit position.

2. Bills @ Browns

Buffalo: most first-team players expected to sit.

Cleveland: Shedeur Sanders gets the start. NFL.com specifically identifies Sanders' start as one of the major QB stories of Week 2.
That means Cleveland has a potential continuity advantage at QB, even though both teams will eventually go deep into their rosters.

I gave the wrong side in my post above. Cleveland is the favorite, not the underdog.

Bet: PASS


3. Falcons @ Colts

Atlanta
Michael Penix Jr. — OUT
Tua Tagovailoa — NOT playing
So Atlanta is going deep into the QB room.
NFL.com specifically confirms Penix is still working back from his ACL issue and that Tua isn't scheduled to play.

Indianapolis
Riley Leonard and Anthony Richardson are expected to receive the QB work.
That is a much more functional preseason QB rotation.
Atlanta's offense is likely to be heavily dependent on backup QB execution, while Indianapolis is still resting many starters.

Bet : UNDER 36.5

4. Ravens @ Vikings

Baltimore is backup-heavy.

Minnesota is also resting many major starters, although J.J. McCarthy is expected to get work.
There isn't enough reliable roster advantage

PASS.

5. Saints @ Rams

New Orleans
Alvin Kamara — OUT with his MCL injury.
That matters because Kamara remains one of New Orleans' biggest offensive weapons.
The rest of the game is primarily a depth evaluation.

Rams
Sean McVay is also using preseason to evaluate the roster.

PASS.

6. Giants @ Dolphins

Too much uncertainty.

The Giants are expected to be very cautious with starters, while Miami's QB/rotation situation doesn't create enough of an advantage.

PASS.

7. Eagles @ Patriots

Eagles
Jalen Hurts — expected to sit/not play meaningful snaps
Philadelphia will rely heavily on its backup QBs.

Patriots
Drake Maye — expected to sit/not play meaningful snaps
Again, backup QBs.
The latest Week 2 QB report supports the expectation that the two starting QBs won't be significant participants.

Bet: UNDER 36.5


8. Bears @ Bengals

Cincinnati is reportedly not playing its starters.

That sounds good for Chicago, but It's not automatically bet the Bears because Chicago is also expected to use a lot of backups.

PASS.

9. Chiefs @ Buccaneers

Kansas City
Patrick Mahomes — OUT

Tampa Bay
Baker Mayfield is expected to play.
That gives Tampa an obvious QB advantage.
Note: Betting on Tampa at potentially inflated odds carries risk, as the dynamics of preseason games can shift completely the moment the starting quarterbacks leave the field.

PASS Chiefs/Bucs.

10. Cowboys @ Cardinals

Arizona has a significant number of players sitting/limited, including important veteran pieces.

Gardner Minshew is expected to start.

Dallas' final QB/starting-unit plan isn't strong enough for me to establish a betting edge.

PASS.

CFL Trends

HAMILTON @ TORONTO
Under is 5-0 in Argonauts last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Tiger-Cats last 4 road games.
Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 4-0 in Tiger-Cats last 4 games as a road underdog.
Under is 6-1 in Tiger-Cats last 7 games overall.
Tiger-Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 10-1-1 in Argonauts last 12 games in Week 12.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

WNBA Trends

INDIANA @ NEW YORK
Over is 6-0 in Fever last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 games as an underdog.
Liberty are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in New York.
Over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Over is 6-1 in Liberty last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in Liberty last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 8-2 in Fever last 10 games as an underdog.

CONNECTICUT @ LOS ANGELES
Over is 5-0 in Sun last 5 games as a favorite.
Sun are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Sun last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Sun are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
Over is 6-1 in Sparks last 7 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Sun last 6 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Sparks last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Sun last 6 games as an underdog.

ATLANTA @ PHOENIX
Under is 7-0 in Dream last 7 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 games as a road underdog.
Dream are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Dream are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-1 in Mercury last 8 games as a home underdog.
Dream are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Dream last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games as a home favorite.