Bump

Philadelphia Phillies -135
Pitching advantage Phillies with Wheeler on the mound
Wheeler (1.06 WHIP) has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts
Brewer's starter May has struggled and owns a 7.74 ERA over his last six starts
Power advantage Philadelphia as they have hit 30 more home runs than Milwaukee this year
Home game for the Phillies and this should be an outstanding series

Padres ML. The dodgers just clinched so I expect them to lay off a little while the padres are in a battle to clinch the wild card spot. This is a game purely based off incentive to win

Phil -130

Huge advantage for Wheeler in this game vs May as Wheeler has been pitching some of his best ball as of late and May has not and Wheeler has pitched well in his career vs Milw to the tune of 5-2 with an ERA of 2.41 might see this match up sometime in the playoffs so I think this series will mean way more to Philly power could be the key here as Phil has a huge advantage in that category also so I look forward to Phil to get out early in this one and build from there so I am taking the Phillies in this one

CHW (-111) Anthony Kay is 2-1 with 2.93 ERA in 3 starts against KC this year. CHW still battling for division. KC first game back after 3 team road trip.

MLB:

NY Mets/Texas Over 7.5 -114

Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-0 in Manaea’s last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Manaea’s last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets have gone over 3 straight games.
Gore’s last 5 games he has given up a near 8 ERA last 5 games.

Orioles team total runs o 3.5…-120…Scherzer faced the Orioles Sept 11th and gave up 6 runs in just 5 innings..pretty much the way Scherzer has pitched all year coming into this game with a 6.07 era…Orioles to reach 4 runs in this game

Yankees under 6.5 the total is low for a reason rodon on the mound this will be low scoring without judge in the lineup Yankees can’t score take the under

Houston ML

I like Houston here in a must win game for a chance at the wild card. Javier has been pitching well as of last and that should carry over here. In his last 3 he's gone 16+ innings giving up only 9 hits and 4 earned runs. On the other side Gilbert has struggled. In his last 3 he's gone 17+ innings giving up 17 hits and 12 earned runs. Look for the Stros to get a much needed win and stay in contention for wild card

MLB

928 Detroit

Detroit is 26-19 as a Home Favorite
Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Wash, is 26-39 as a Road Dog
Wash. is 36-43 on the Road

Tampa and New York under 6

Crazy, low number but this is a great pitching matching up. Drew Rasmussen starts for the Rays with his 15-5 record and 2.72 ERA. In his last five starts his giving up 2 runs once and then 0 or 1 run the other times. The Yanks start Max Fried who’s 5-4 but a better ERA at 2.63. In all seven of his last starts he’s given up 1 run once and 6 times 1 run. This one may have 3 or 4 runs scored.

MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 -125 Action

I like Arizona to win this by multiple runs. Michael Soroka has been much better than Kyle Freeland, and the Diamondbacks have also handled left-handed pitching well this year. Arizona still has something to play for in the Wild Card race, while Colorado has struggled badly with run prevention and has been getting separated from teams pretty regularly. Coors always adds some variance, but at -125 I think the pitching gap, motivation edge and Arizona's offensive upside are enough to take the -1.5.

TB GMe 2

Tough to sweep really good teams especially teams tgat are fighting for division crown.
i like the matchup in second game TB should get even with Yanks tonight


Lay it

Mlb
Boston ml
Gl

Boston Red Sox up to 55%.

Payton Tolle ranks first among all of today’s projected starters in xFIP and SIERA over the past 30 days.

Isolating Parker Messick’s three most-used pitches, three of Boston’s projected Top-4 batters own xwOBAs of .390 or higher against southpaws.

The pitching should be great for both teams but I have more trust in the top of Boston’s order to produce.

Rangers over 8 -110....Two bad pitchers face off with Manaea and Gore both having almost 5 ERA's Both teams should get their share of runs sending this one over the total

Nats/Tigers over 8.5
Tigers put up a 9 spot last night...
Nats roll out Cornelio with 1.50 Whip...Expect Tigers to keep scoring tonight.
Nats held to 2 last night and 3 the game before...
Look for the Nats to explode tonight with their offense 2nd in Runs scored, 7th in hits, 3rd in SLG
Take the over..

Mets vs Rangers
. Gore looks vulnerable enough to give up runs, and while Manaea has found some success lately, he is far from untouchable.

The bullpen profiles also point toward offense. Both relief corps have FIPs north of 3.00, so there should be scoring opportunities once the starters exit
Taking Over 7.5

. Rangers vs Mets
Gore looks vulnerable enough to give up runs, and while Manaea has found some success lately, he is far from untouchable.

The bullpen profiles also point toward offense. Both relief corps have FIPs north of 3.00, so there should be scoring opportunities once the starters exit
Taking Over 8.5

Astros +115. Both teams hate each other and Astros got more to play for. Remember the cream rises to the top