Making my play a little early this week - thank you Patrick for bailing me out in MNF after a tough start on bet 1… I’m teasing Ravens & Bucs to -2.5 each, laying -167. Bucs and Baker in his revenge game against Cle after a tough loss to the AFC North. They can’t go 0-2 to Ohio. And did you know Lamar is 25-5 against the NFC? I think Saints tapped the tank in week 1 and return to the mean in week 2. Longer analysis on selections central as always!

10 pt teaser -130
bal +2.5
tb +2
kc +3.5

bal huge win over indy, now at home vs saints expect a bit of a letdown game from them compared to last wk. can actually have bal lose by 2 and still be ok here.
tb like to bounce back against a cle team i have no confidence in. tb 4 lost fumbles last wk leading to 24 cinci pts. don't see that happening again.
kc should be decent game, but like them at home to win or keep it within a fg. bal ran all over indy last wk and ground game for kc looked pretty sharp wk 1.

One additional play here - teasing Dallas to a FG cushion (Dak is 9-0 against Washington at home) and Rams -1 bc I’m just not convinced they’re done and 2 full games worse than the Giants. Not this year and not yet. Longer explanation on selections central!

Guardians RL +100

Looks like CLE starting to score runs they should against this horrible pitching staff of Oak and it doesn’t get any better today as they are throwing Jack Perkins who is 0-6 his last 7 starts and as for CLE Gavin Williams will take the ball which gives CLE a huge pitching advantage plus he is 1-0 lifetime vs Oak and when he is on he gives his fielders a breather as he usually has double digit strikeouts but more important is the Div race as CLE has a 1 game lead over the WSOX and CLE needs to win the Div outright to get that bye in first round if they tie WSOX win tie breaker so they can’t let games like this slip away so I will take the Guardians in another rout

Best Survivor pick week 2

Carolina Panthers

Feel like this is the best defensive pick as the better teams don't need to be touched. Score could easily go over, butt at the end of the race Carolina should finish first 4 out of 5 times.

Strictly going on weather Bears vs Vikings total 49 . Jumping on the UNDER rain and wind 20 mph will be a major factor here today. Look for run offense today from both teams

Tenn +7 yenn v CB an win this game outright this will be the trap GAME OF THE WEEK take the points with Tennessee

Mariners Rockies o 11 runs +100…line keeps moving up with good reason Sugano of Rockies been awful giving up 11 runs his last 11 innings…Anderson has had a shaky start to his career his last outing giving up 5 runs to the weak Angels…like the over

Packers -3. I think where the line currently is there is value on the packers just to basically win the game. I know it was a disaster last week, but this team is a lot better than the jets and even on the road, they should be able to move the ball easily vs this jets defense

Saints at Ravens | Saints +8.5 -110

The Saints are one of the most reliable teams against the spread
Saints are 6-0 against the spread in their last six road games

Chargers -6.5

Time to get things right and this is a betting gin spot laying less than a touchdown at home versus the Raiders. Expecting big things from Los Angeles this year and it starts today with Herbert and Hampton getting the offense going.

Texans O46.5
both offenses have enough explosive potential to turn this into a back-and-forth game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7.5
Tampa Bay hasn’t started 0-2 since the 2014 season
Cleveland (20-62 last ten years) hardly ever plays well on the road
Cleveland's offensive line is in shambles with Jenkins, Brailsford and Jones all nursing injuries
Baker Mayfied has had this game circled since it was scheduled

Broncos -2.5

If this week one it would have been Broncos -3.5/-4. Jags had a great first week and Broncos had a tough road game and imploded. Broncos are tough at home- 7-4 ATS last year, home opener, will want to avoid the 0-2 start and are a talented team. Take the Broncos at home to bounce back.

HOU-MLB (-150) HOU has to avoid the sweep or they may not only lose division, but also the wild card. Perez better at home than road so like Brown at home in this spot.

Denver moneyline
Broncos get back on track vs over rated Jvllie at home

Bronco defense will suffocate Lawrence


23-10

Tigers vs Whitesox
Melton enters the game boasting a dominant 2.52 ERA, providing Detroit with a strong pitching edge on paper. However, the White Sox counteract this with Davis Martin, who has been a steady rotation piece with nine wins on the season. A very good pitching matchup.
Take Under 8

Philadelphia under 39.5 -110

Over the past 20 years, week 2 total under 40 are 33-15-1 to the under. Good luck

Texans -2.5

Houston has a top 5 Defense and I can't see them losing 2 games in a row at home.

Rome Odunze Ov Rec yds 39.5 -112 this number is just to low for this high powered offense. Last week he hit 52 yards. bonus sparking a little on Rome 50+ +143

Rome Odunze Ov Rec yds 39.5 -112 this number is just to low for this high powered offense. Last week he hit 52 yards. bonus sparking a little on Rome 50+ +143

Carolins / Atlanta under 43.5
Copper Rush for Falcons QB played bad last week againts the Steelers. Bryce Young QB for Carolina only completed 62% of his passing. I will take the under

MLB:

Boston/Tampa Under 7.5

Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.

Chargers -6.5
The Chargers have dominated the Raiders at home recently, winning four of their last five meetings in Los Angeles. Justin Herbert provides a clear edge under center against a Raiders defense that gave up over 270 passing yards in Week 1.

Over 46 New Orleans/Baltimore Both teams can move the ball and score with New Orleans suspect defense

David Montgomery o13.5 Recieving Yards

Hit last week with 3 recs and 19 yards. With Nico Collins/Higgins out of the line up the Texans WR room is really thin. In the past with Collins out Stroud tends to abandon downfield passing, So I’m expecting a short yardage passing game from the Texans. This will lead to more targets to Montgomery. Last week we saw Bucky Irving go for 7 receptions and 48 yds vs this Bengals defense showing vulnerability to RB’s catching underneath routes.

STL/Wash over 8 1/2
Wash is the 3rd highest scoring team in the MLB, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
They also give up a lot of runs, averaging 5.0 runs per game.
STL is averaging 4.5 runs per game.
5 of the last 6 games Wash has played has gone over this posted number.

u41.5 Pittsburgh / NE

Both these teams defenses excelled last week and both offenses sputtered. Pittsburgh won 20-13 and NE lost 13-10. Both teams looked great on defense and I think that will happen again today. Look for another low scoring game in the 20-13, 17-13 range and cash the under ticket

Titans +7 (-110)
This team has young playmakers that will be on display at home.

MLB

908 San Diego

San Diego is 27-12 as a Home Favorite
San Diego is 48-29 at Home
Miami is 15-31 as a Road Dog
Miami is 31-46 on the Road

Steelers pats under 41.5. Ugly weather in NE. Think both QBs throw a pick. Run the ball and control the clock

Broncos -3, good bounce back spot for them at home here and the jags smoked the browns who might be the worst team in the league I think there’s value only having to lay a field goal based on last weeks results

Wash ML over Dallas
Daniels is the best qb on field.
Cowboys have the worst D in NFL
Cowboys can’t run the football
Wash will control line of scrimmage on both sides.
Wash will win outright

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 Listed Pitchers Must Start

I like getting the extra run with Toronto in what looks like a pretty low-scoring matchup. deGrom has still been good, but he hasn’t been completely dominant this year, while Spencer Miles has been excellent and hasn’t allowed an earned run in his last 11 appearances. Texas also isn’t a particularly strong offense, and all three of its wins over Toronto earlier this season came by exactly one run. With Toronto still fighting for a Wild Card spot, I think +1.5 gives us a lot of ways to cash even if Texas wins the game.

Mariners -1.5-110...The Rockies got the win yesterday but have only won 2 of their last 10...They go with Sugano today and the Mariners should take full advantage scoring plenty to cover the run line

NFL Kansas City -6
These two teams chiefs look very tough last
week and the cold did not . There were a few
surprises today but I think the chiefs are back
with a vengeance this year so I’m laying the
points tonight