Midweek Action...........

Milw -130

Love the value here with the Brewers as Henderson has been a real surprise this yr for Milw with his record and sub 3 ERA but the Brewets are dominating the Cent Div going 31-16 in the Div as for Henderson Lately he is 5-2 his last 7 starts and has given up 2 runs or less in 6 of those 7 starts as for Jones who the Pirates are starting he has pitched well his last 2 starts but overall has been inconsistent and lately he is 2-4 his last 7 starts and Henderson is 1-0 with an ERA of 2.35 vs Pitt and Jones is 1-1 with an ERA of 3.60 vs Milw add that Milw has the better bullpen and it puts me on the Brew Crew in this one

Giants ML +140, I just don’t see how anyone in their right mind is betting libertore as a -165 favourite with his 5.53 era

AC Milan ML. I think we’re getting a very generous price on Milan today as people are predicting them for a down year to their standards. I think in Europa competition I trust them to use their experience to come away with the win at + money today.

Rays -1

Tampa's lineup features heavy hitters in Yandy Díaz and Junior Caminero, giving them a distinct advantage over an Oakland pitching staff under pressure.
Expect the Rays to take the win

Boston Red Sox -110
Boston has the better starting pitcher with Bennett who has a 3.69 ERA and 1.07 WHIP
Rangers starter Gore is 8-11 with a 4.62 ERA and has given up 9 runs over his last 7 innings
Boston has best bullpen ERA (3.09) in MLB compared to the Rangers at 22nd (4.49)
Boston has better batting avg, OBP and slugging pct than the Rangers this season
Boston is a fantastic 44-32 away from home this season

Giants at Cardinals | Over 8 -115

Matthew Liberatore is terrible; has a wOBA of .358
Anthony Molina is equally terrible; only made three innings last outing
Both bullpens are atrocious

Tigers +122

The pitching matchup is where I think the Tigers have the advantage. Montero sports a decent 3.55 ERA but an even better 1.01 WHIP. Gas can Scherzer after a decent run went back to giving up runs (6 in 5 innings) last game and sits with an overall 6.38 ERA. The Tigers have been hot 8-2 the last 10 including their current 6 game winning streak. Toronto is 4-6 their last 10. I'm taking the better pitcher and the hotter team at another nice + number. I hit the nice +150 yesterday on the Angels.

Cards over 8...Both pitchers today have ERA's over 5 so both should give up runs ..Add in bullpens and this one should go over 8 easily

SF over 8 -110

Molina has ERA of 5.19 and Liberatore’s ERA is 5.53. SF has 20th ranked bullpen and STL is ranked 24th. Good luck.

COL 1H (+113) anti swagger/swagger play. COL coming off a win that broke their long losing streak. SD coming off a loss that broke their long winning streak. Starting pitchers favor COL.

Tigers o 3.5 ttl runs -140…Tigers red hot winners of 6 in a row now facing Scherzer who’s now given up 9 runs his last 10 2/3 innings…Tigers o 3.5 runs

Yanks -1.5
Twins are done....Lost 3 in a row, 7 of last 10...
Twins are 26th in ERA, 23rd in BAA
Rodon won his last 3 starts, 16 innings given up 4 ER total, stuck out 20 in last 3 starts.
Yanks roll

Mlb
Cle -1.5
Gl

Parker Messick is on the mound again, and with a price as cheap as 43 cents, it's time to invest. Yes, the Guardians' rookie has done an incredible job this year, posting a 3.07 xERA and 4.8% barrel rate, putting him in the conversation for AL Rookie of the Year. It helps that he has a pretty strong history against the White Sox, which owns just a .212 xBA across 76 plate appearances against the young lefty. With the Guards gunning for a playoff spot, he's the guy you want on the mound. Cleveland has something special cooking, and I'm expecting that to continue with Anthony Kay going for Chicago - he's coughed up 13 earned runs across his last 14 innings pitched

Braves vs Cubs
With the Atlanta Braves sending rookie JR Ritchie to the bump, I’m confident in the Chicago Cubs. Cubbies lefty Shota Imanaga has allowed two runs or fewer in 12 of his past 16 starts, and his season-long 3.88 ERA is right in line with his underlying 3.87 xERA .
Take Cubs

Yanks -1.5
same as yesterday Yanks are rolling with bats better starting pitcher vs team that has quit. twins are done and given up.

yanks roll

Brewers -130. Win day here when Henderson pitches. Line is short because of the celebration last night. Think brewers continue to march forward to getting baseballs best record

MLB

922 Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay is 40-19 as a Home Favorite
Tampa Bay is 51-25 at Home
Athletics are 26-36 as a Road Dog
Athletics are 32-44 on the Road

MLB:

Tampa -1-132

Rays are 5-0 in Martinez’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Rays are 5-0 in Martinez’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 5-0 in Martinez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as home favorite.
Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.