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9/24 Statistical Advantages
#972109 09/21/26 04:45 AM
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Re: 9/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #972426 09/22/26 08:28 PM
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NFL divisions against the spread in non-divisional games:
Home favorites are 9-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Road favorites are 3-2 ATS in non-divisional games.

NFC West teams are 3-0-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC South teams are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC North teams are 1-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

AFC East teams are 5-2-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC North teams are 4-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
AAFC South teams are 4-5 ATS in non-divisional games.

— College conferences against the spread in non-conference games:

AAC 17-11 ATS, 15-6 as an underdog
ACC 9-12 ATS, 5-7 as a favorite
Big 18- 20-18 ATS, 14-12 as a home favorite.

Big X 12-14 ATS, 7-11 as a favorite.
C-USA 17-7 ATS, 13-5 as an underdog
MAC 6-19 ATS, 4-16 as a road underdog

Mountain West 8-8 ATS, 4-0 as a home favorite
Pac-8 9-9 ATS, 3-6 as a road underdog
SEC 15-12 ATS, 11-8 as a home favorite
Sun Belt 12-13 ATS, 9-9 as a road underdog

— MAC teams get paid a lot of $$$ to play Big 18 teams, but they don’t do very well on the field in these games.

So far this season, MAC teams are 1-10 SU against the Big 18 (Mass upset Rutgers)
MAC teams are 2-8-1 ATS against the Big 18


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #972454 09/23/26 12:39 AM
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NFL TRENDS

ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY
Sep 24 • 8:15 PM ET

Under is 6-0-1 in Falcons last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as an underdog.
Packers are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #972457 09/23/26 12:47 AM
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NFL TRENDS

Falcons @ Packers (-6)
Falcons (0-2)
Atlanta lost 20-13 at Pittsburgh, 34-3 at home to Carolina.
Falcons were minus-6 in turnovers in those games.
#3 QB Rush is benched; Michael Penix Jr gets the start.
Penix Jr is 4-8 as an NFL starting QB.
Stefanski is 46-60 as an NFL head coach.

Atlanta was 5-0 ATS as a road underdog last year.
Stefanski is 12-24-1 ATS as a road dog as a head coach.
First two games, Falcons were outgained 604-524
Atlanta is 15-24-1 ATS in last 40 games coming off a loss.

Packers (1-1)
Green Bay lost opener 39-22, beat Jets 20-17, both on road.
Packers ran ball for only 66-63 yards in those games.
QB Love is 29-24-1 as an NFL starter.
LaFleur is 80-47-1 as an NFL head coach.

Packers are 10-8 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home openers.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine home openers.
Green Bay is 28-20-1 ATS in last 49 games coming off a win.

Packers won five of last eight series games.
Falcons are 0-4 SU/ATS last four visits to Green Bay.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #972467 09/23/26 02:13 AM
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CFB TRENDS

Liberty (-2.5) @ Coastal Carolina
Liberty (2-1)
Liberty is 1-1 in I-A games, beating Ball State 51-15.
Flames lost only road game, 20-13 @ James Madison.
Flames have 7 starters back on offense, 86 on defense.
Flames have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Purdie started games at Charlotte, Wake Forest.

Liberty is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-9 ATS in non-conference games
In his career, Chadwell is 12-15 ATS as a road favorite.
Flames are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games following a win.

Coastal Carolina (1-2)
Coastal lost its I-A games, 31-24 @ WVU, 22-14 @ Delaware.
Chanticleers beat a I-AA team, 45-7
Coastal has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Coastal has 42 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bailey started one game at Missouri State.

Since 2020, Chanticleers are 8-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Coastal is 7-11 ATS in its last 18 games as an underdog.
Coastal is 4-8 ATS in last 12 non-conference games.
Chanticleers are 11-13 ATS in last 24 home games.

These teams last met in a bowl game six years ago.
Liberty (+7) won 37-34 in overtime.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/24 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #972622 09/24/26 02:04 AM
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MLB TRENDS

ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH
Sep 24 • 12:35 PM ET

Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games.
Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.

CHI. WHITE SOX @ KANSAS CITY
Sep 24 • 2:10 PM ET

Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games.
White Sox are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 vs. American League Central.
Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

MIAMI @ CHI. CUBS
Sep 24 • 2:20 PM ET

Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games.
Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as an underdog.

NY METS @ TEXAS
Sep 24 • 2:35 PM ET

Over is 7-0-1 in Rangers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Over is 3-0-1 in Thorntons last 4 starts on grass.
Over is 3-0-1 in Thorntons last 4 starts overall.

ARIZONA @ COLORADO
Sep 24 • 3:10 PM ET

Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games.
Diamondbacks are 9-0 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a favorite.

MILWAUKEE @ PHILADELPHIA
Sep 24 • 6:05 PM ET

Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 on grass.
Over is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog.
Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as an underdog.

CLEVELAND @ BOSTON
Sep 24 • 6:45 PM ET

Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 home starts.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League Central.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as an underdog.

TAMPA BAY @ NY YANKEES
Sep 24 • 7:05 PM ET

Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 home starts.
Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.
Over is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games as an underdog.
Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
Yankees are 5-1 in Schlittlers last 6 starts as a favorite.

CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA
Sep 24 • 7:15 PM ET

Over is 6-0-1 in Singers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts.
Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

LA ANGELS @ SEATTLE
Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET

Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.
Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games.

HOUSTON @ ATHLETICS
Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET

Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Athletics.
Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
Over is 11-1 in last 12 vs. American League West.
Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 on grass.

SAN DIEGO @ LA DODGERS
Sep 24 • 10:10 PM ET

Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Padres are 5-0 in Pivettas last 5 starts as a favorite.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.
Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!

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