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10/11 Statistical Advantages
#975082 10/05/26 02:46 AM
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Re: 10/11 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #975314 10/06/26 02:10 AM
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NFL TRENDS

PHILADELPHIA @ JACKSONVILLE

Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games in Week 5.
Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Jaguars are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Under is 6-1 in Eagles last 7 games as a road underdog.
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

CLEVELAND @ N.Y. JETS

Over is 5-0 in Browns last 5 games in Week 5.
Over is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Over is 6-1 in Browns last 7 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games overall.
Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

CINCINNATI @ MIAMI

Over is 3-0-1 in Dolphins last 4 vs. AFC.
Dolphins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 home games.
Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in Bengals last 6 games as an underdog.

LAS VEGAS @ NEW ENGLAND

Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games in Week 5.

MINNESOTA @ NEW ORLEANS

Vikings are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Vikings are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.

HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE

Texans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 5.
Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tennessee.
Over is 3-0-1 in Texans last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Texans last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Texans last 7 road games.
Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Under is 6-1-1 in Titans last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

N.Y. GIANTS @ WASHINGTON

Over is 6-0 in Commanders last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Commanders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Commanders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Commanders last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 6-1 in Commanders last 7 vs. NFC.
Over is 6-1 in Commanders last 7 vs. NFC East.
Over is 10-1 in Commanders last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 6-1 in Commanders last 7 games as an underdog.

INDIANAPOLIS @ PITTSBURGH

Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Steelers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-0-1 in Steelers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY

Bears are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
Over is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Packers are 2-0-3 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 3-0-1 in Bears last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

DENVER @ L.A. CHARGERS

Under is 6-0 in Chargers last 6 vs. AFC.
Under is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games as a road underdog.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 vs. AFC West.
Under is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Chargers last 7 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games in October.

DETROIT @ ARIZONA

Over is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games in October.
Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 5.
Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.

SAN FRANCISCO @ SEATTLE

49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Seahawks are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC West.
49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
49ers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

BALTIMORE @ ATLANTA

Over is 7-0 in Ravens last 7 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1-1 in Falcons last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 10/11 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #975817 10/09/26 04:29 AM
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Eagles vs Jaguars (-7) @ London)
Eagles (2-2)
Last two weeks, Eagles were held to 248-172 total yards.
Last two weeks, Eagles were outscored 31-0 in second half.
QB Hurts is 65-31 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 66-32 as an NFL coach.

Last 3+ years, Eagles are 7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Eagles are 8-6 ATS last 13 games as an underdog.
Philly is 12-8-1 ATS last 21 games vs AFC teams.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 9-15 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Eagles RT Johnson retired Monday; they traded their center Wednesday

Jaguars (3-1)
Jacksonville scored 34-35-22 points in wins, 13 in their loss.
Jaguars are +6 in turnovers this season.
QB Lawrence is 39-45 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 16-6 as an NFL head coach.

Under Coen, Jaguars are 9-2 ATS as a favorite.
Jaguars are 9-6 ATS last 15 games vs AFC teams.
Jaguars are 4-3 ATS in their last seven games in England.
Opponents have converted only 14 of 43 third down plays.

Eagles won last five series games (4-1 ATS) all as a favorite.
Three of last four meetings went over the total.

Bengals (-6.5) @ Dolphins
Bengals (2-2)
Bengals lost their last two games, by 3-5 points.
Last three games, Bengals were held to 85-83-23 rushing yards.
Burrow is 50-37-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 59-67-1 as a head coach.

Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS last nine games as road favorites.
Bengals are 25-17-1 in last 43 games coming off a loss.
Bengals threw 54 passes last week, ran ball only 15 times.
Last three weeks, Bengals gave up 369.3 total yards/game.

Dolphins (0-4)
Miami lost its first three games, scoring 13-13-10-10 points.
Dolphins gained only 259-284-329-198 yards in the four games.
QB Willis is 3-7 as an NFL starter.
Hafley is 0-4 as an NFL head coach (22-26 at BC).

Dolphins are 10-19 ATS last 29 games as an underdog.
Miami is 4-3 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
Dolphins are 17-20-1 ATS in last 38 games coming off a loss.
Miami stayed under their team total in all four games.
In 36 drives, Dolphins have scored only four TD’s.

Cincinnati won four of last six series games.
Bengals lost three of last five visits to Miami.
Under is 5-2-1 in last eight meetings.

Browns @ Jets (-1.5)
Browns (3-1)
Cleveland won its last three games, by 4-4-3 points.
Browns held last two opponents to 98-92 rushing yards.
QB Watson is 41-37 as an NFL starter (12-11 with Cleveland)
Monken is 3-1 as an NFL head coach.

Browns are 9-16-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Browns are 6-14 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
Overall, Cleveland is 14-17 ATS in last 31 games as an underdog.
Browns went over their team total the last three games.

Jets (1-3)
Jets lost last three games (20-17/31-24/23-12).
In those games, Jets ran ball for only 67-58-59 yards.
Geno Smith is 43-60 as an NFL starting QB.
Aaron Glenn is 4-17 as a head coach.

Jets are 5-10-1 ATS last 16 games as a favorite
Jets are 12-22-1 ATS in last 35 games coming off a loss.
Jets were outgained 492-157 in Chicago last week.
Jets had 7 first downs last week, Chicago had 34.
Three of their four games stayed under the total.

Teams split the last six series games.
Browns are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Garden State.
Last three meetings went over the total.

Texans (-7.5) @ Titans
Texans (0-4)
Houston is 0-4, with losses by 5-14-2-4 points.
Last three weeks, Houston converted 5 of 31 third down plays.
Stroud is 31-25 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 35-26 in as an NFL head coach.
Ryans is taking over defensive play calling this week.

Texans are 13-19-1 ATS last 32 games as a favorite.
Houston is 5-6-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
Houston is 11-11 ATS in its last 22 games coming off a loss.
Texans are 26th in points allowed per game (27.3)
Texans are 20th in yards allowed per game (343.8).

Titans (0-4)
Tennessee is 0-3, scoring 10-20-7-18 points.
Titans were held to 195-291-262-297 total yards.
Tennessee’s last three losses were by 4-5-6 points.
Robert Saleh is 20-40 as an NFL head coach.
QB Ward is 3-18 as an NFL starter.

Tennessee is 11-18-1 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog.
Titans are 4-8 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
Tennessee is 9-18-1 in last 28 games coming off a loss.
Tennessee has scored six TD’s on 37 drives (16 3/outs)
Tennessee is 3-9 ATS in last 12 AFC South home games.

Houston won seven of last nine series games.
Texans won/covered their last four visits to Nashville.
Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.

Colts @ Steelers (-2.5)
Colts (2-2)
Colts won last two games, giving up 17-13 points.
Colts lost first two games, giving up 41-33 points.
Jones is 35-52 as an NFL starter (10-7 with Colts).
Steichen is 28-28 SU as a head coach

Under Steichen, Colts are 10-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Colts are 6-3 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Colts went over their team total in three of four gamess.
Colts are minus-6 in turnovers in their first four games.

Steelers (2-2)
Steelers are 2-0 at home (20-13/30-27), 0-2 on road
Steelers were held under 100 yards rushing in three of four games.
Last two weeks, Pittsburgh gained 411-361 total yards.
Rodgers is 176-106-1 as an NFL starter.
McCarthy is 187-125-2 as a head coach.

Steelers are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 12-6 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
Steelers are 15-7 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
Pittsburgh had extra prep time; they played on Thursday last week.

Steelers won nine of last 11 series games.
Colts are 0-5 SU/ATS in last five visits to Pittsburgh.
Five of last six meetings went over the total.

Raiders @ Patriots (-3.5)
Raiders (3-1)
Raiders scored 27-26-35-27 points in their 3-1 start.
Raiders are 3-0 in domes, 0-1 outdoors this year.
Las Vegas lost 30-27 to the Chiefs last week.
QB Cousins is 92-81-2 as an NFL starter.
Kubiak is 3-1 as an NFL head coach.

Raiders are 8-10 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
Raiders are 9-6 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Raiders are 24-32-2 ATS in last 58 games coming off a loss.
Raiders have 12 TD’s, nine field goals on 43 drives this year.
Las Vegas went over their team total in all four games.

Patriots (2-2)
Patriots won their only home game, 20-3 over Pittsburgh.
NE held three of four opponents under 100 yards rushing.
QB Maye is 22-15 as an NFL starter
Vrabel is 75-54 as an NFL head coach

Patriots are 8-2 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
Under Vrabel, NE is 11-6 ATS in games coming off a win.
Patriots are minus-5 in turnovers this season.
Three of their four games this year stayed under the total.

Las Vegas won last three series games.
Raiders are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS last five visits to Foxboro.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Vikings (-1.5) @ Saints
Vikings (4-0)
Vikings won their first four games, last three by 6-7-5 points.
Minnesota beat Miami LW without scoring a TD (five FGs)
Murray is 41-49 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 47-27 as an NFL head coach.

Vikings are 12-5-4 ATS last 21 games as a road favorite.
Vikings are 19-10-3 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Minnesota is 9-0 SU/7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games.
Opponents have converted only 12 of 53 third down plays.
Vikings held last three opponents to 297-243-198 total yards.

Saints (1-3)
Saints are minus-5 in turnovers in their 1-3 start.
Saints have scored 36 points in 1st half, 69 in 2nd half/OT
QB Shough is 6-7 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 7-14 as a head coach.

Short week for New Orleans after Monday’s loss to Atlanta.
Saints are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
New Orleans has been outscored 61-26 in first half of games.
Saints were held under 100 yards rushing in three of four games.
Saints are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.

Vikings won five of last seven series games.
Minnesota lost four of its last six visits to Bourbon Street.
Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen meetings.

Giants @ Commanders (-3.5)
Giants (3-1)
Giants held three of four opponents under 275 total yards.
Giants lost their only road game, 28-6 at the Rams.
Backup QB Winston is 38-53 as an NFL starter.
Harbaugh is 196-125 as an NFL head coach.

Giants are 9-15 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Giants are 23-43 on 3rd down this season.
Giants are +3 in turnovers this season.

Commanders (1-3)
Washington has QB injury issues (check status)
Commanders gave up 37-31-30 points in last three games.
QB Daniels is 16-13 as an NFL starter.
This would be first NFL start for #3 QB Kaliakmanis.
Quinn is 66-63 as an NFL head coach.

Commanders are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
Commanders are 4-2 ATS last six NFC East home games.
Washington is 21-26-1 ATS in last 48 games coming off a loss.
Three of their four games this year went over the total.
Last three opponents went over their team total.

Commanders won last four series games.
Giants won five of their last eight visits here.
Under is 9-4 in last thirteen meetings.

Bears (-2.5) @ Packers
Bears (3-1)
Chicago scored 59-27-23 points in wins; they lost 9-3 to Minnesota.
Bears held last three opponents to 246-248-157 total yards.
Ben Johnson is 15-8 as an NFL head coach.
QB Bagent is 3-2 as an NFL starter.

Under Johnson, Chicago is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Johnson, Chicago is 9-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Bears outgained first three opponents, by 74-51-127-335 yards.
Bears are 5-4 ATS in last nine NFC North road games.
Chicago’s last three games stayed under the total.

Packers (1-2)
Green Bay allowed 17-14 points in wins, 39-35 in losses.
Packers have run ball for only 58 yards/games this year.
QB Love is 30-25-1 as an NFL starter.
LaFleur is 81-48-1 as an NFL head coach.

Since 2022, Packers are 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Packers are 3-5-2 ATS last 10 games as an underdog.
Packers held three of four opponents under 300 total yards.
Green Bay is 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in Green Bay’s team total.

Packers won 18 of last 22 series games.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Lambeau.
Over is 8-5 in last thirteen meetings.

Broncos (-3.5) @ Chargers
Broncos (2-2)
Denver is 0-2 on the road (31-10 @ KC/24-14 @ SF)
Broncos ran ball for less than 90 yards in three of four games.
Payton is 196-120 as an NFL head coach, 35-23 with Denver.
QB Nix is 27-13 as an NFL starter.

Denver has been outscored 43-13 in first half of games.
Broncos are 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC West road games.
Broncos are 7-3 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Denver gave up 482-358 total yards.
Under is 6-2 in their last seven games.

Chargers (0-4)
Chargers lost first four games, giving up 26.5 ppg
All four of their losses were by 7+ points.
QB Herbert is 52-50 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 71-40-1 as an NFL head coach.

Chargers are 2-4-1 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 8-7-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Overall, Bolts are 0-7 SU/0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
Chargers are 10-4 ATS in last 14 AFC West home games.

Chargers won three of last four series games.
Broncos lost five of their last six visits to SoFi.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.

Lions (-5.5) @ Cardinals
Lions (2-2)
Detroit scored 31-31-31-26 points in its four games.
Lions are 0-2 on road (41-31 @ Buffalo/32-26 @ Carolina)
QB Goff is 95-68-1 as an NFL starter, 53-41-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 57-48-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Detroit gave up 469-446-335-445 yards in its four games.
Lions ran ball for 66-46 yards in their losses.
Detroit is 13-4 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite
Lions are 12-3 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
Over is 11-3 in Detroit’s last 14 games, 4-0 this year.

Cardinals (1-3)
Cardinals lost last three games, giving up 31-36-37 points.
Opponents scored 12 TD’s on their last 28 drives.
Brissett is 21-48 as an NFL starter.
Mike LaFleur is 1-3 as an NFL head coach.

Arizona is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a home dog.
Cardinals are 5-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals lost their only home game, 31-7 to Seattle.
Over is 3-0 in their opponents’ last three team totals.

Detroit is 5-0-1 SU/5-1 ATS in last six series games.
Lions covered three of last four visits to Arizona.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.

49ers @ Seahawks (-2.5)
49ers (4-0)
49ers are 4-0, scoring 27-35-36-24 points.
49ers allowed 290-284-365-296 total yards in those games.
Purdy is 39-18 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 95-72 as an NFL head coach.

This is San Francisco’s first true road game.
49ers are 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
49ers are 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
In their four games, SF has converted 23 of 38 third down plays.
SF is 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 NFC West road games.

Seahawks (3-1)
Seahawks scored 31-31-30 points in their three wins.
Seattle was held to 285-286 yards in their two home games, both wins.
QB Darnold is 54-43 as an NFL starter
MacDonald is 30-11 as a head coach

Seattle is 9-4-2 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
Seahawks have held opponents to 247.8 yards/game.
Seahawks are 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Overall, Seattle is 8-1 SU/6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games.

49ers lost 41-6 here in last year’s playoffs.
49ers won seven of last ten series games.
49ers covered four of last five visits to Seattle.
Under is 6-2-2 in last ten meetings.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 10/11 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #976323 10/11/26 01:19 AM
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Lake Grove
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MLB TRENDS

LA DODGERS @ MILWAUKEE

Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 5 of a series.
Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Under is 6-0-2 in Dodgers last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 games following a win.
Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 League Championship games.
Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 League Championship games.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!

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