As a small reminder, post your own reasons behind your pick, don't copy and paste someone else's.

UTSA -7

Couple of 4-1 teams getting together tonite and I like the home team laying the pts S Fla is having a hard time scoring lately and that may not bode well for them here as UTSA can score so if UTSA defense holds S Fla to what they are scoring lately then this game may not be close also UTSA is 35-5 at home in the Alamo dome they could be stirring up a little home cooking tonite I b am backing UTSA

ottawa senators ml

Philadelphia is in shambles, and is one of three teams left in the league without a win. It is their third road game in four games, and are tasked to take down a hungry Ottawa squad in their home opener. Tough task.

Bucs +8.5. I know the QB matchup is a complete mismatch but I just feel like the Bucs are going to rally behind the rookie QB and make this more interesting than people think. They can still control the game and shorten the clock vs this Dallas defense and I believe there is a strong probability Dallas overlooks the Bucs

Dal under 49.5 with all the injuries on tb side they will run the ball to try to keep the game close this will be a low scoring game take the under

Bucky Irving o 51.5 rushing yds -115…Dallas has one of the worse defenses vs the rush ranking 31st in the league..with rookie QB Bucs have to be thinking of running the ball…Irving is 2 for 4 hitting this mark..hopefully will get it early might be in passing mode by 2nd half

Chicago White Sox +100
White Sox have a 7-3 record in their last ten games against the Guardians
White Sox have won the last two home games against the Guardians
White Sox had better.(320) on base percentage and (.406) slugging percentage in the regular season than the Guardians
Guardians starter Messick is near the bottom of the American League in run support
Guardians closer Cade Smith not rested (24 pitches last 3 days) after being used in yesterday's game

NFL:

Tampa/Dallas Over 48

Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Sam Houston State at Liberty | Liberty -13.5 -110

Sam Houston State is 0-6 against the spread coming off the bye since it joined the FBS

Buccaneers +8.5

I'm not a fan of seldom used Jalon Daniels but at least with last game he got some in game experience. He looked like a rookie throwing 2 picks but there were a couple things he did well. He threw a TD to Gainwell and another positive is he moved the ball with his legs. 8 carries for 55 yards rushing is impressive for a QB. The thing with Dallas is when you play them, you're always in it due to their horrible defense. They're 29th in yards allowed and give up 28 points per game. Cowboys are also dead last in rushing defense so I think the trio of Irving, Tucker and Gainwell can have a nice game as a committee. 8.5 points are a lot to work with and I can see them in it and possibly stealing one.

CLE/CHW (o7) (-127) these two teams have seen every pitcher multiple times. CLE bats finally woke up last night, CHW record and offense much better splits at home. Can see this game with lots of pitchers and it only takes a couple on each side to have an off day to get over 7 runs.

UTSA S Florida over 49.5. Games played in the Alamodome have gone over 12 straight times and over by double digit points. Like the streak to continue. Fast turf, utsa likes playing with tempo. Look for one team to score at least 30 points

MLB

946 White Sox


White Sox are 33-21 as a Home Dog
White Sox are 48-34 at Home
White Sox are 4-1 in the Playoffs
White Sox are 46-32 After a Loss
White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.

TB +9 -113

TB is 0-4, their QB is a running back that sometimes throws, Dallas just won’t at Houston as a 3.5 underdog, most bets at DK and Circa are Dallas, yet the line dropped from 9.5 to 9 and 8.5 at some books. Dallas’ defense is bad and ranked 31st in WPA per play, they Played in Brazil and then on the road in Houston and back at home for 3 games in 11 days. I think it will be below a TD win for Dallas. Good luck

Boston Bruins +115

Mammoth playing 4th road game in a row should leave them a bit drained for this one. Take the dog.

Liberty -13.5
SH run defense sucks ranked 124th giving up almost 200 rushing yards a game. Liberty is ranked 32 in rushing yards doing around 210 a game. If Liberty can control SH passing game which is ranked 18th with around 285 passing yards a game. Liberty should win and cover this game easy.

Tb + 10

Over reaction to Mayfield being down. dallas defense always lets teams back in it. mobile QB on dallas turf equals back door cover

White Sox under 7 +100...Cleveland faces elimination again and we should see a bounce back from Messick. The White Sox has a rested pen and should use every arm to try to finish this off and not go to a game 5

NFL Tampa Bay +9.5
Even though the bucs are 0-4 they have not
lost any game by more than 7 points.The cowboys
haven’t been blowing out the games so I think
taking points is best in this one