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TB/Cle Und 6.5

I know Martinez is starting for TB and Cle hadn’t announced who they will start but not sure it matters with the weather conditions they will be playing in if they play at all there will be a chill in the air but the main is the wind and it is suppose to be blowing straight in from centerfield at 20 mph and could be higher at times so as long as the pitchers throw strikes this game has a 2-1 or 3-2 type game imo so let’s take the Under in GM 4

Cleveland under 7 -117

These teams played 9 times this year and other than the 1st game of ALCS and a game on July 24th, the rest of the 7 games went under the total with the highest score of 5 in 2 games.Good luck.

Tulane +7. As good as Memphis has looked I just think this is way too many points for a prime time slot Tulane team at home. I believe this defense will get enough stops to make this game close and potentially come down to the wire.

Memphis Tigers -6.5
Memphis have beat their last two American conference opponents by a combined score of 97-21
Memphis ranks 23rd in the nation at 38.5 points per game and are only allowing 20.8 points
Memphis offense clicking as they average over 516 total yards per game and score in the redzone 65% of the time
Memphis QB stokes completing over 70% of his attempts while Tulane's pass defense is ranked 122nd
Tulane ranks 111th in the nation with an average of 18.4 points per game
Tulane ranks 138th among FBS teams for 1st downs and 137th for time of possession

TB/CLE (u23.5 RHE) (-140) low scoring expected by both sides based on history against each others pitchers for tonight. Wind blowing in over 20 mph gusts. Value on RHE line to a total of 6.5 runs (6.5x3+1=20.5)

Rays -112…have to like Nick Martinez and the Rays if you believe in past performances…April 28th Martinez threw 7 shutout innings then July 25 came back and threw 6 scoreless innings…13 innings vs Guardians this year and 0.00 era…down 2-1 big game for Rays…Guards using bullpen game…taking Rays to tie the series

Keeneland R4 #6 life's reward (10-1)

lightly raced and has shown flashes of talent .. gets off the rail and potential favorable pace scenario today



Keeneland R5 #1 no objection (10-1)

decent even sprint in sprint debut 2 back and up close to an extremely fast pace last out in turf route and stayed pretty close up to the stretch call to his credit . nice pedigree and very capable trainer jock combo

NCAAF

117 Memphis -7

Memphis is 4-2 ATS this season
Memphis is 3-1 as a Favorite this season
Memphis is 2-1 on the Road this season
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Tulane is 2-3 ATS this season
Tulane is 0-2 at Home this season

MLB:

Tampa/Cleve Under 6.5

Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 League Championship road games.
Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. American League East.
Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 vs. American League Central.
Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.

Keeneland
R7 #6 revereign (15-1)

shows subtle signs off his lines he can be a runner in his first 2 starts.. below average trainer jock combo also enhances the price .. types of horse that definitely flys below the radar and also not a bad one to fill out the bottom of vertical bets with logicals on top


Keeneland
R10 #8 tend to you (8-1)

just missed in his 1st two starts in a sprint and a turf route which is extremely impressive (completely different kinds of races) .. last out ran evenly on oddball European style track Kentucky Downs .. back to conventional two turns today


Apologize I did this same post in thread 2 days back .. two other picks 2 posts back

Belmont
R9 #9 Convincing (20-1)

type of turf sprint that I like leading up to a stretch out in her debut last race .. very little form in this 2yo ny bred maiden race.. think the 4 (5-2) and the 7 (7-2) will be overbet here or another good situation to play this one underneath in triples


This will be it for me today

Tulane+7 don’t get me wrong Memphis‘s been playing really good lately, but I think seven points is too much even 6 1/2. I will take the points with Tulane+7

Nrfi tonight in Cleveland if they get the game in. Look I think the nrfi is a play pretty much every game this series with these low totals and poor offenses. Also like how their potential rain which can lead to guys swinging early in the count. Wind blowing in, rays offense not as good as indoor and Martinez great at getting hitters off balanced. I’ll take my chances.

Belmont Race #9 I am going with the 4 horse twice the fun. This horse is dropping in class from open company to state bred. Sire won the BC turf mile and dam was in the money in multiple non graded stakes races. now stretching out to a distance that she should take to.

She is the favorite on the morning line but there is a Dave Portnoy horse in this race that I assume will take a lot of money and think that this horses price should hold enough to be bettable.

If you want some underneath action I would looks at the 3 horse Baby Dancer was stuck behind horses in last race and looked like she was going to have some run, but probably not enough to win.

Welcome aboard. Love the horse action coming to Bet The House!

Bruins/Ducks Under 6.5 (-125) DraftKings

Boston's only allowed 16 goals in 7 games and Swayman is sitting at .930. Anaheim is banged up up front with Terry and Poehling on IR and Granlund and Gauthier day to day, and the Ducks are only getting about 23 shots a night on net. Under opened near -105 and it's been bid up to -125.

Late one at the Honda Center, give me the under.

Rays under 6.5
Martinez goes for Rays Whip at 1.00
Guardians going with bullpen game and one of the better pens around.
Weather becomes an issue
Look for small ball to be a major part of the game

Tampa Bany ML

Must win for Tampa Bay and I think they will come through. I like the pitching matchup here tonight. Nick Martinez has been a solid starter all year. He's posted a 3.1 era with a whip a little over 1. Also has collected 15 wins in the regular season including a great game against this Cleveland team with 0 earned runs and 4 hits over 6 innings in win. Cleveland is going all bullpen tonight so if Tampa can get a lead I think they win this. Tampa easy tonight to tie up the series