CFB TRENDS
Indiana (-7.5) @ Michigan
Indiana (6-1, 3-1)
Hoosiers lost 19-15 to Ohio State LW, first loss of year.
Last two games, Indiana ran for 65-73 yards.
Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hoover started 31 games at TCU.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 6-3 ATS as a road favorite.
In his I-A career, Cignetti is 12-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In 36 games under Cignetti, Indiana is +40 in turnovers.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-9 ATS in Big 18 games.
In his career, Cignetti is 3-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Michigan (4-2, 1-2)
Michigan’s three Big 18 games were all decided by 6 or fewer points.
Wolverines held five of six opponents under 300 TY.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Carr is 7-9/70 passing; this would be his first start.
Michigan is 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
In his career, Whittingham is 12-8 ATS as a home underdog.
Michigan is 8-14 ATS in last 22 conference games.
In his career, Whittingham is 100-86-1 in conference games.
Michigan is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
Michigan won three of last five series games.
Hoosiers are 0-11 SU/5-6 ATS in last 11 visits to Ann Arbor.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Big 18 home underdogs are 7-8 ATS in conference games.
LSU (-7) @ Auburn
LSU (5-2, 2-2)
LSU lost its road games, 32-24 Ole Miss/35-34 Kentucky.
Last two games, LSU ran for 94-90 yards.
LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
LSU has 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Leavitt started 20 games at Arizona State.
LSU is 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
In his college career, Kiffin is 21-21-1 ATS as a road favorite.
LSU is 8-12 ATS in its last 20 SEC games.
In his college career, Kiffin is 59-54-3 ATS in conference games.
Tigers are 2-9 ATS in last eleven games coming off a win.
Auburn (4-2, 2-2)
Three of Auburn’s four SEC games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Tigers are 3-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Auburn has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Tigers have 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brown started 20 games for South Florida.
Auburn is 4-4 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
In his career, Golesh is 3-3 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Golesh is 8-8 ATS as an underdog.
Auburn is 6-14 ATS in last 16 SEC games.
In his career, Golesh is 13-15-1 in conference games.
These teams haven’t met since 2023.
LSU won five of last seven series games.
Teams split their last six meetings in Auburn.
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
SEC home underdogs are 7-5 ATS in conference play.
Baylor (-2.5) @ Kansas
Baylor (4-2, 2-1)
Baylor won its only true road game, 55-19 at Arizona State.
Bears scored 16-6 points in their losses.
Bears have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bears have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Lagway started 32 games at South Florida.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 16-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Baylor is 11-18-1 ATS in last 30 conference games.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 14-18 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-2 in their I-A games.
Kansas (2-4, 0-3)
Kansas lost its Big X games by 7-17-11 points.
Last two games, Kansas allowed 545-568 total yards.
Jayhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 65 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Marshall has started six games.
In his career, Leipold is 33-35-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 17-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 22-25-1 ATS in Big X games.
Kansas is 14-18 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss.
Last three Kansas games went over the total.
Baylor won last 14 series games (13-1 ATS)
Bears covered their last five visits to Lawrence.
Over is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Big X home underdogs are 1-3 ATS in conference games.
Oregon (-9.5) @ Illinois
Oregon (4-2, 2-1)
Last two games, Oregon was held to 272-242 total yards.
Ducks were held to 90-73 rushing yards in their two losses.
Oregon has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Oregon has QB injury issues; #2 QB Raiola had 22 starts at Nebraska.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 13-7 ATS overall as a road favorite.
Since 2018, Oregon is 20-12 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 29-20 ATS games coming off a win
Under Lanning, Ducks are 25-18 ATS in conference games.
Four of their six games went over the total.
Illinois (3-3, 1-2)
Illinois scored 38+ points in wins, 27-19-17 in losses.
Illini allowed 42-37 points in splitting their two road games.
Illinois has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Illini has 70 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Houser has 27 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 6-6 ATS as home underdogs.
In his career, Bielema is 17-16 ATS as home underdogs.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 26-21-1 ATS in league games.
In his career, Bielema is 78-65-3 ATS in league games.
Illinois is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in their I-A games.
Illinois (+21) lost 38-9 at Oregon two years ago.
Ducks outgained Illinois 527-293 that day
Big 18 home underdogs are 7-8 ATS in conference play.
BYU (-7.5) @ Central Florida
BYU (6-0, 3-0)
Letdown is possible; BYU beat Notre Dame last week.
BYU held four of six opponents to 17 or fewer points.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bachmeier started 14 games last year.
BYU won its two road games, 41-23/17-10.
Under Sitake, BYU is 15-14 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Sitake is 38-37 ATS as a favorite.
BYU is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-2 in their I-A games.
Central Florida (3-3, 1-2)
UCF is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road.
Knights won their two I-A home games, 44-30/21-13
Knights have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
UCF has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Jenkins started 33 games at FIU.
Since 2017, UCF is 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Frost is 6-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Frost is 30-32-2 ATS in conference games.
UCF is 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
In his career, Frost is 22-19-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
BYU won/covered four of five series games.
Teams split two meetings played here.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Big X home underdogs are 1-3 ATS in conference games.
Tennessee @ South Carolina (-2.5)
Tennessee (6-1, 3-1)
Tennessee won its last three games, 24-14/24-17/26-10.
Vols’ only loss was 20-17 at home to Texas.
Tennessee has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Vols have 94 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB McIntyre is the starter now.
Since 2020, Tennessee is 1-9 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Heupel is 1-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Heupel, Vols are 24-23-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 20-23-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Heupel is 31-36-1 ATS in conference games.
Last five Tennessee games stayed under the total.
South Carolina (3-3, 1-3)
Gamecocks gave up 41-49-35 points in its losses.
Carolina scored 34+ points in five of six games.
Carolina has 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Gamecocks have 126 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Sellers has started 24 games.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 17-11 ATS as a favorite.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 14-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 23-21 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 15-18 ATS in games coming off a win.
Three of last four games went over the total.
Tennessee won/covered four of last five series games.
Vols are 2-6 SU/5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Columbia.
Last five meetings went over the total.
SEC home favorites are 10-11 ATS.
Texas A&M @ Alabama (-13.5)
Texas A&M (4-3, 1-3)
A&M’s SEC losses are by 10-29-21 points.
A&M was outscored 62-12 in its two road games.
Aggies have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
A&M has 81 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB Reed has 21 career starts.
In his career, Elko is 8-7 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2001, A&M is 0-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Aggies are 13-21-3 ATS in last 37 conference games.
In his career, Elko is 18-19 ATS in conference games.
A&M is 12-18-3 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Last three A&M games stayed under the total.
Alabama (5-2, 3-2)
Alabama lost last two games, 20-17 Georgia/26-10 Tennessee.
Alabama scored 45+ points in all their wins.
Alabama has 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 30 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Russell has 12 TD passes, four INTs.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 6-12 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 13-14 as a home favorite.
Crimson Tide is 20-11-1 ATS in its last 31 SEC games.
In his career, DeBoer is 28-27-1 ATS in conference games.
Alabama is 10-4 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Five of their seven games went over the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2023.
Alabama won 10 of last 11 series games.
Aggies are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Tuscaloosa.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
SEC home favorites are 10-11 ATS.
Iowa (-7) @ Minnesota
Iowa (5-1, 2-1)
Iowa won its road games, 20-19 Michigan/41-24 Washington.
Hawkeyes were held under 300 yards in 3 of last 4 I-A games.
Hawkeyes have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 27 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Brown has three career starts.
Last two games, Iowa gave up 324-320 passing yards.
In his career, Ferentz is 36-24-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Ferentz is 128-96-7 ATS in conference games.
Iowa is 8-3 ATS in last eleven games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their I-A games.
Minnesota (4-2, 2-1)
Minnesota’s losses: 38-13 Miss State/41-13 at Purdue
Gophers are 4-0 when they give up less than 38 points.
Gophers have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Minnesota has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lindsey started 13 games last year.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 12-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 14-15-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Minnesota is 8-3 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
Minnesota is 11-9-1 ATS in last 19 conference games.
In his career, Fleck is 41-31-2 ATS as an underdog.
Iowa is 10-1 SU/9-1-1 ATS in last 11 series games.
Hawkeyes covered their last five visits to Minnesota.
Under is 11-6 in last 17 meetings.
Oklahoma at Mississippi State (-3)
Oklahoma (3-3, 1-2)
Oklahoma was held to 10-13-13 points in their losses.
Last five games, Sooners ran ball for 77.3 yards/game.
Oklahoma has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Sooners have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mateer has 24 career starts.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 6-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 16-21-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-7 ATS in games coming off a loss
Four of their six games stayed under the total.
Mississippi State (4-2, 2-2)
Miss State lost its last two games, 56-23/31-0.
Bulldogs allowed 426.8 yards/game in its SEC games.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Bulldogs have 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Taylor is banged up (check status)
Under Lebby, Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lebby, Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lebby, Bulldogs are 10-9-1 ATS in SEC games.
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Under Lebby, Miss State is 8-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
SEC home favorites are 10-11 ATS.
Ole Miss at Texas (-3.5)
Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1)
Ole Miss scored 41-41-32-52-31 points in their wins.
Ole Miss only loss: 52-28 at Florida.
Rebels have 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Rebels have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Chambliss started 13 games last year.
Ole Miss is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Rebels gained 409+ total yards in all six games.
Rebels are 22-24 ATS in last 46 SEC games.
Ole Miss is 8-9 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Louisville/Florida gained 468-498 yards against the Rebels.
Texas (4-2, 1-2)
Texas lost its last two games, 27-24/27-24.
Last five games, Texas is minus-6 in turnovers
Longhorns have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Manning has 15 career starts; his grandfather/uncle played at Ole Miss.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 26-27-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 48-43-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 19-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 49-55-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 20-27-1 ATS in conference games.
Four of Longhorns’ last five games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2013.
SEC home favorites are 10-11 ATS.
USC (-3) @ Wisconsin
USC (6-1, 3-1)
USC won its road games, 42-35 Rutgers/31-23 Penn State.
Trojans gained 430+ in six of their seven games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Trojans have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Maiava threw for 3,711 yards last season.
Under Riley, Trojans are 4-14-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Riley is 10-25-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 15-26 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 39-49-1 ATS in conference games.
USC is 8-18-1 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Wisconsin (4-2, 2-1)
Wisconsin scored 24+ points in their wins.
Badgers were held to 13-7 points in their losses.
Badgers have 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Badgers have 46 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Joseph started 12 games at Old Dominion LY
Under Fickell, Badgers are 8-10 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Fickell is 22-18 ATS as an underdog.
Under Fickell, Badgers are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Fickell is 7-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Badgers held three of last four opponents under 240 total yards.
Under Fickell, Wisconsin is 16-14 ATS in conference games.
USC (-14) beat Wisconsin in the Coliseum two years ago.
SEC home underdogs are 7-8 ATS.
Houston @ Utah (-6.5)
Houston (6-1, 3-1)
Houston gained 441+ TY in all six wins.
Cougars only loss: 28-26 at Texas Tech.
Houston has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cougars have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Weigman has 26 career starts.
Under Fritz, Houston is 9-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Fritz is 32-27-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Fritz is 49-40-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Fritz, Houston is 11-11 ATS in conference games.
Cougars are 9-12 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Four of their six I-A games went over.
Utah (6-0, 3-0)
Utah’s Big X wins were by 14-17-3 points.
Utah gained 409+ yards in all six games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Utah is 7-2 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Utah is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Utah gave up 391/394 yards in last two games.
Utes are +4 in turnovers this year.
Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Utah (-4.5) lost 17-14 at Houston two years ago.
Big X home favorites are 9-9 ATS
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