Oklahoma-4.5 -112

This model has worked the past 4 picks, picking a team winning an emotional game as an underdog, going on the road against a divisional opponent. Last week was Tennessee losing to South Carolina. Good luck.

Wisconsin/over tease. Wisconsin run game is excellent and iowa at home coming off a loss is recipe for Wisconsin covering the more than 7 and over the low number. Over on its own also a good play.

Ariz +3.5

TT coming off 1st loss and I think this would be the last team they would want to play right now TT has had erratic QB play off and on all yr their defense plays the run pretty good but can’t stop the pass as they rank 124th vs the pass and who comes to town a top 10 passing team in Ariz who should riddle this TT pass defense but don’t sell Ariz defense short they are above average I really don’t think I need the pts because I think Ariz is going into Lubbock and win outright catching TT still licking their wounds from last weeks loss at Cin but I will take the pts just to be safe give me Arizona

Aforce Pk over U Conn

AF laud an egg alst week but the extra time has helped backup qb and should wear out this weak Uconn defense in secobd half

Cheap prove

Utah jazz at home coming off a 2 day break. Fresh legs fast pace easy game total over 232

Marshall -2.5, Old dominions offence is by far the worst in the FBS averaging 251 yards a game the next closest is kent state averaging 286 and with Marshall’s defence starting to come around holding south Alabama to 13 and coastal to 27 with 6 turnovers I don’t know how odu covers this short number

Double Look ahead parlay - Navy +31 w/ North Carolima +14...Not buying that eihter opponent will take this serious enough to post big numbers or at least not allow a tricky backdoor cover.

Ind -20.5 Indiana is super superior team and it will show in this game. They should be able to dominate from beginning to end to -20.5.

Georgia -11.5. I think this is a great get right spot for UGA coming off the loss with Auburn. Yes Florida is tending in the right direction as a program, but there is definitely a class difference between these two teams right now and I think the line is as high as it is to reflect that.

Taking the Irish today way to much fire power here on offense and defense. N texas just put 49 points on Navy last week.This will be over at half

Please provide a reason for this play. Saying AZ is not a true top 25 is not strong enough. Why aren’t they a top 25?

Iowa -2.5 vs Wiscy

Bounce back game for Iowa with injured star RB out why the season. They just reload with next man up mentality. Wiscy in classical let down after win over SC. This will be a low scoring affair so the unders also I'm play.

Arizona Wildcats +3.5
Arizona has won 5 in a row and 3 straight by 21 points or more
Tech just lost to Cincinnati while Arizona beat Cincy by 27 earlier this month
Arizona has the 2nd best passing offense in the Big 12 while Tech pass defense is 3rd worst in conference
Tech has below average QB play and Arizona gives up less than 110 yards on the ground per game

N. Dakota St -24.5
NDSU QB N. Hayes has1,470 passing yards and 12 TD , aiso J,Williams has 32 Rec and 503 receiving

Arizona St +3’. The Sun Devils are a surprise team in the conference and today they can/will prove they are real.
Texas Tech is done

Under 51 Texas/MSU
Last 2 weeks no Kamario Taylor for MSU, offense scored 0 and 15
Today they play Muschamp D and it will be more of same.
Texas with Mizzou and LsU on deck, will pull starters to make sure of no injury

Take the under

Florida +11

I see the Gators continuing their momentum in a rivalry game that moves to a new venue this year. Georgia has not played many big games yet this year and doesn't seem as elite as their ranking and record indicate. Two star play for me.

Under 45.5 Marshall Both offenses are not that good and combined with a couple of decent defenses should be a lower scoring game.

Illinois -2.5 (-110)

Maryland just fired their coach which usually gives an ATS boost (as seen with Baylor last night) but Maryland can't hide that defense which has allowed 46 points per game in Big Ten play. The only reason this line is this low is because of a freshman in his first road start. Illini to cover the short spread....

Hoosiers Gophers u 40.5 ttl pts -115..Indiana 2nd in points allowed..only allowed Michigan 6 last week and 15 week prior to Ohio State..Gophers not bad at 17th in overall defense..taking under

IOWA (ML) (-135) IOWA has won the last 4 including a 37-0 spanking last year at Madison. WIS coming off a huge win against USC. IOWA coming off a road loss at MINN. Might also have been some attention deficit this week for WIS with all the Brewer excitement.

Az +3 1/2
Tx Tech not what they were last year, a ferocious defense and a good enough offense. Tech ranks 126 out of 138 in passing yards allowed per game. That's a problem with veteran QB Noah Fifita coming to town. Az has beat 3 straight conference opponents by 20+.
I like Az.

College football
South Alabama +6
Gl

Louisiana Tech is off two shutout wins and now on the first of a back to back road trip.

NHL

Toronto - 150 Moneyline

Toronto been on bad losing streak.
Today playing the worst team in NHL right now Canucks
I can see them turn the tables around today and take a win.

Syracuse +10.5

Cuse got QB back last week and Antonelli didnt disappoint Cuse scored 30Plus against great UNC defense now at home vs lesser defense in SMU

book it. Cuse keeps within a FG

Favorite play today is Iowa -2.5. Extreme home/road personalities for both of these teams. Wisconsin offense was helpless vs ucla 2 weeks ago. The Hawkeyes defense has been lights out at home for years. You can tell from the total it's going to be a low scoring game most likely. However, Iowa is going to move the ball and have opportunities that Wisconsin will not Be able to match

Iowa Wisconsin 35.5 under -112 I know this number is low but neither team is allowing more than 16 points this season. Iowa runs defense allowing 2.5 yards a carry. Will be an ugly game

Iowa Wisconsin 35.5 under -112 I know this number is low but neither team is allowing more than 16 points this season. Iowa runs defense allowing 2.5 yards a carry. Will be an ugly game

u36.5 Iowa / Wisconsin

Both these teams have great defenses. In 7 games this year Iowa is giving up 16.7 points a game defensively. Thats with giving up 41 against ND week 1. You take out that outlier and Wisconsin is giving up 12.7 points on average the last 6 games . Iowa on the other hand is giving up 14.2 points a game this year. They also have one bad game where they gave up 32 to Ohio State. In their other 6 games they have giving up on average 11.5 a game. Look for a low scoring defensive battle

Not a valid reason. Why do YOU think this?

Northern Illinois +24

I wouldn't expect No. Illinois to be competitive in this game, their offense just doesn't measure up against UNLV's defense. However, they've been adept at getting good starting field position and this should give them enough opportunities to put 2-3 scores on the board. UNLV should take this game without a problem but 24 points is too much.

Texas Tech -3.5
The setup in this game reminds me of the Ole Miss-Texas game from last week. The Rebels came into that game off back to back blowout wins while the Longhorns were off back to back upset losses. It seemed like everyone was on Ole Miss, but Texas brought home the money in a 34-27 win. Here we have a Wildcat team that's played as well as any team in the country over the past three weeks, outscoring their opponents by a combined 125-41. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders suffered their first loss of the season, a 37-24 beatdown at Cincinnati, in a game that wasn't that close. Much like Texas, their backs are against the wall. But over the past two seasons Texas Tech is 11-0 SU at home in Lubbock including 11-2-1 ATS as chalk. As good as Arizona has looked, the last time they played a team of this caliber on the road was a 28-17 loss at BYU clear back in Week Two. The drop in the line from the opener screams value. Time for the Red Raiders to circle the wagons.

Iowa -2.5

Iowa is 8-2 straight up their last 10 games and are 6-4 ATS those last 10 games. The last 10 games against Wisconsin they are 6-4 ATS but in their last 7 games against Wisconsin they are 6-1 ATS.

Wisconsin +2.5

Book it with Trent is on Iowa. That is the only Handicapping, you need to know about this game.

IYKYK

NHL:

Calgary/Colorado Over 6.5

Over is 5-0 in Avalanche last 5 vs. Pacific.
Over is 4-0-1 in Flames last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 9-1 in Avalanche last 10 home games.

TCY/ KANSAS under 46pts (-110 fandeul) TCU ranks 6 across all schools in total yards allowed and allowing only 13.9 pts PPG to opponets. kansas also a middle of the pack in scoring but thier defense is also good . they are 31 raranked in pass yards allowed. this game is in TCU where i expect TCU defense to step up in front of thier home crowd. TCU unders has been cashing in at 1-6 towards the under. i expect it to be 1-7 after today

Miami (FL) at North Carolina | North Carolina +14.5 -115

Look ahead spot for Miami this week
At Notre Dame next weekend

Pitt -7.5
Pitt is coming home with something to prove tonight coming off 3 straight losses. I look for Pitt to run away with this one. Pitt 48-GT 21

Ole Miss -11.5 With Ole Miss offense and making big plays and scoring touchdowns and around 433 total yards a game and scoring around 36 pts a game and seeing they lost last week against Texas and they are at Oxford and with Auburnlosing to LSU last week and Auburn is playing against other touch SEC team I don't see how Auburn covers or be ready for other touch game.

Grizzlies -8.5 -118...The Grizzlies are undefeated and covered all their games so far and the Kings are winless going 1-4 ATS

UNLV O54

N. Ilinois just allowed 510 yards to Wyoming. Should be 70 pts scored

Under 143. WNBA finals. Obviously, in all sports historically game seven tend to Trenton, the under as pointed at the lowest total of the series. I also noticed that the games in Golden State play at it even slower pace, and offenses tend to struggle.

NCAAF: Oregon State -6 over Fresno State: Oregon State has the 4th best offense in yards gained this season in the country. Oregon State outgained Fresno State by over 200 yards last year and their offense has only improved by averaging 51 points a game over the last 5 this season. Fresno State coming off back-to-back losses, I'm riding the hot team on the road.

my system is basically based on current ATS trends: for example a team that has not covered in last 3 or so games against a team that has covered will be a play, same theory when using totals. Basically playing teams/ totals that are due to cover or go over/ under. Its a recently bias system.

over arkansas 49
under notre dame 54
iowa st +9.5 / ( okla st has covered last 5, iowas st has lost last 2

NCAAF

183 Northwestern +3.5

Northwestern 5-2 ATS this season
Northwestern is 2-0 as a Dog this season
Wildcats are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wildcats are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog
Oregon is 2-5 ATS this season
Oregon is 2-5 as a Favorite this season

My First NCAAF post on the FREAK.
Colorado -3 vs Kansas State
The Buffs have had a horrible season. Coach Prime wants to defend home turf and the air up there usually does something strange to visiting teams.
Kansas is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite this season.
Take the BUFFS -3 to win big

Cinninatti +8
One of the nationa running offense, home field advantage, momentum from last week, they are winning the turnover battle and lastly the quarterback is very efficient. Look for the short passes 5-8 yards, clock control and they should be able to win outright if not keep it close so take the points.

over wf 47 1/2 va last 4 of 5 have gone under: wf last 4 of 5 have went under ( TAKE THE OVER)

OVER VIRGINIA 48
virginia last 4 of 5 games have went under
wf last 4 of 5 games have went under

take the OVER

UNDER PITTS 55

GT last 4 games have gone over
PITTS last 2 have gone over

TAKE THE UNDER

The Blazers cashed in a 124-103 loss at home to the Memphis Grizzlies last time out, but be careful, as the Over has cashed in both road games for Portland. For the Jazz, they've dropped three in a row, and four of five games, while the Under has connected in each of the past two outings. The Utah offense has scored 111 or fewer points in three of its outings, and the defense has allowed 119 or fewer points in three of the past four games. It won't be a defensive slog, but go low on the high total, especially due to the early tip time

portland blazers under 231

Colorado State vs Utah State over 60.5
Sit back and watch the fireworks. Colorado State can will light it up against a very iffy defense. Colorado State's defense isn't exactly stellar either.
Take over 60.5

Nevada vs UCLA Over 43.5. UCLA offense averages 34.4 points per game and defense ranks 2nd in turnovers.

USC +6.5

Ohio state needs to break in a new quarter back on the road. USC is at home after putting up only 7 points against Wisconsin. They have an experienced quarterback that will look to shock Ohio state. Too much reliance on the run game as Ohio’s new QB going to be overwhelmed.

Take USC +7 if you can shop around for a good line

Fun card today with a lot of live home underdogs on the college football slate. I will be watching that USC spot against Ohio State closely, a new quarterback on the road is never an easy ask.

WNBA:
Taking the Over 142.5 in Atlanta @ Golden State

The last game scored about 149 and since this is the finals I'm expecting both teams to maintain the same pace.

Golden State -1 -110 over Atlanta

Golden state is at home today, I really like them for the bounce back play today. We can also expect Golden State to try to tighten up their defense today and we can expect them to meet above a 30% shooting average like in their last game.

NHL
Taking Toronto Maple Leafs -170 (There are better prices elsewhere though.. So try to take that.)

Toronto has shown a pretty strong lineup when it comes to away games, even beating the canucks at the last away meetup. The Canucks on the other hand tell a very different story. They are on a losing streak when it comes to home games and their loss record alone is pretty palpable. I'm betting on Toronto to win and maintain a strong position in their standings tonight.

CFB Clemson +4.5
Tigers have won 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Both teams are not having a good year .
It should be a tough game so I’m taking
the points

I have a NBA Model.
Tonights picks are:

Bucks +9 - model had them at +1

Houston -2.5 - model had them at -15

KBO
Samsung Lions ML

Samsung has shown that the home field gives them an immense playing advantage. They know the field better than any other team in the KBO league knows their home fields. Kia Tigers has shown a weakness for pitching on the road. I'm betting Samsung Lions makes a comeback this game tonight.