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CIN Bengals o23.5＋NE Patriots o23.5 [+105]

The Patriots are scoring 22.9 points per game (they haven't scored under 26 points since Week 3), while the Dolphins are allowing 26.2 points per game (the only team they've held under 24 points was the Vikings). I think that's a pretty simple formula that should lead to the Patriots being able to put up plenty of points, and adding in an extra-long week of recovery should have them looking fresh and fit. On the Bengals' side, they are scoring 27.2 points per game while the Titans are allowing 22.3 points per game (having opponents such as the Jets, Giants, Browns, and Colts helps keep this low). I believe the Bengals should be able to keep their high-scoring offense flying against a bottom-tier Titans team.

off a 4-1 day yesterday. lets see how today goes
UNDER JETS 46 ( Vegas last 5 over/ Jets last 2 over : take the UNDER
UNDER CIN 46 ( TENN last 2 over/ CIN last 2 over: take the UNDER
UNDER MIAMI 43 ( NE last 4 over / MIA last 2 over : take the UNDER
OVER DENVER 40 1/2 ( KC last 3 of 4 went under / Den last 3 of 4 went under; Take the OVER ( I know I am against all the experts and public on this one
GL

Tenn/Cinn under 46'
Tenn's low scoring offense, combined with a defense that has held every opponent under 27 points, final score 24-17

Arizona Cardinals +7
Cards have won 2 on the road this year.
Cowboys d is awful allowing 52% conversion on third down.
Love is a beast and can have a field day with this D
Cards keep it close.

Chiefs broncos under 21 FH. Two elite defenses and broncos start games very slow. See this game similar to the chiefs Seahawks game. Look for Andy Reid to debut Justin Tucker lol

Fins ML
Dolphins are 8–2 ATS in their last 10 meetings with New England.
NE injuries.

Over 46.5 Minn and Det....... Last week Minn only scored 16 pts and Det only scored 20. Det has the #1 total yards with 413 a game and #1 in passing with almost 283 a game. They are both pretty even in the rushing stats. But Minn has a big advantage on defense so something has to give right?? Both teams need around 23-24 pts each and around 12 pts each quarter to go over. After last weeks low scoring games from both team and this is a ( DIVISION GAME ) and the over has hit 7 of the last 10 times. i think we will see some points in this game.

NFL:

Pittsburgh -3

AFC North: favorites 8-5 ATS this season.
Steelers are 10-1 last 11 division home games.
Host team in this series is 10-0.
Browns are 1-6 last 7 as division road dogs.
Browns are 1-8 ATS before non-conference road games.

KC (-1) DEN is still being overvalued in the market. KC is coming off an embarrassing loss at SEA which is still best Defense in football. KC handled DEN easily in Week 1. Although Mahomes seems to have lost his fast ball, I will still take him over Bo Pix any day in what appears to be a low scoring game.

Denver ML
The Broncos are 16-1 at home since October 2024

KC/Denver Under 42

The last 10 games played against each other the O/U is 3-7. KC this year O/U is 2-4 and Denver O/U is 2-5.Take the UNDER here.

Lions -3, I’m not gonna sit here and say the lions defence is great but holding Green Bay to 17 looks like a step forward coming out of the bye week for possibly the worst unit in the NFL so far this year and if that’s the case and they are becoming competent there’s no way in hell the Vikings offence can keep up scoring with the lions

LA Chargers +6.5

The Chargers slide is over today, eh, maybe not a win but they'll cover and give the Rams a game. LAC's have been closer than their scores and record shows and two weeks to prepare will have them ready.

Chiefs -1. The team knows how to win games. Especially in their conference. This is their second road game in a row, which concerns me. Chiefs won in week one by 21 points I think they'll bounce back enough to at least win.

Detroit -3.5

I like this spot for Detroit. Detroit 3-0 at home and playing an undefeated Minnesota team. It's a good spot when you have a 2 loss team favored against an undefeated team. Minnesota is undefeated but all of their games with the exception of week 1 could have went either way. Detroit needs a win to stay in the hunt for the NFC central and I see them getting it here. Also 60% of public is on Minnesota with the line rising a point over the week which would put the smart money on Detroit. Take Detroit with a relatively easy winner today

Raiders +1.5 vs Jets
Raiders coming off a beat down by the Rams(21-35)
Lost to Bills(30-33), NE(17-45), KC(27-30)
5-2 ATS
The raiders do not lack offensive weapons.
This line is off because of their last 4 losses.
I believe they should be the favorite here.
They definitely have a more well rounded team than the Jets.
Take the points (won’t be needed) to win big here.
Raiders +1.5

Browns / Steelers Under 38.5. I look for this game to be a defensive struggle. I think we see long drives that end with field goals that chew up a bunch of clock. Im looking for a 16-13 final score.

Jacksonville-10

With the Colts in full sale mode before the trade deadline this number continues to move up. Colts are in a 3 game swoon which will continue today in Jacksonville.
Jags QB Lawrence in good form and Jags off a bye.

PItt. -150
Moneyline

Steeler's should get even with Browns after losing first game. Pitt ground game eats up Browns and steelers win 23-10

NFL

248 Buffalo -3

Buffalo is 4-2 ATS this season
Buffalo is 3-2 as a Favorite this season
Buffalo is 2-1 at Home this season
Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS this season