NCAAF TRENDS
BYU @ Utah (-4.5)
BYU (7-1, 4-1)
BYU has road wins @ Colorado State (41-23), TCU (17-10).
BYU’s only loss: 39-31 at Central Florida.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bachmeier started 14 games last year.
Under Sitake, BYU is 28-17-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Sitake is 18-11 ATS as a road underdog.
BYU was minus-1 in turnovers in each of its last four games.
BYU is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 games coming off a win.
Last three BYU games went over the total.
Utah (8-0, 5-0)
Utah’s Big X wins were by 14-17-3-8-24 points.
Utah gained 409+ yards in all eight games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Utah is 8-2 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
Utah is 12-5 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Seven of their eight wins are by 8+ points.
Utes ran for 200+ yards in four of five Big X games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
BYU won last three meetings, by 3-1-9 points.
Underdogs covered last five series games played here.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Big X home favorites are 13-11 ATS.
Texas (-2.5) @ Missouri
Texas (6-2, 3-2)
Texas won its last two games, 34-27/31-3.
Last five games, Texas is minus-5 in turnovers
Longhorns have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Manning has 15 career starts.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 28-27-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 50-43-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 7-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 51-55-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 22-27-1 ATS in conference games.
Five of Longhorns’ last seven games stayed under the total.
Missouri (6-2, 3-2)
Mizzou is 6-0 when it runs for 139+ yards.
Tigers were held to 119-39 rushing yards in their losses.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Tigers have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simmons started two games at Ole Miss.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 17-16-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 9-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 20-16-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 30-24-1 ATS in SEC games.
Five of their last six games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2017.
SEC home underdogs are 8-8 ATS in conference play.
UCLA (-5.5) @ Minnesota
UCLA (8-0, 5-0)
UCLA has only one win by less than ten points.
Bruins held last five foes under 300 total yards.
UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bruins have 124 returning starts on offensive line.
#2 QB Dieffenach is 59-100/683 passing (3 TD’s, 1 INT)
UCLA is 8-0 SU/ATS this year (7-0 as favorite)
In his career, Chesney is 7-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
UCLA is 15-7-1 ATS in last 22 conference games.
In his career, Chesney is 13-9-1 ATS in conference games.
UCLA is 10-3-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
Last four UCLA games stayed under the total.
Minnesota (5-3, 3-2)
Minnesota lost two of last three games, scoring 13-13-16 points.
Gophers ran ball for only 66 yards/game in those three games.
Gophers have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Minnesota has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lindsey started 13 games last year.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 13-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 15-15-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Minnesota is 9-3 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Minnesota is 13-9-1 ATS in last 23 conference games.
In his career, Fleck is 43-31-2 ATS as an underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Gophers’ last seven games.
Minnesota (-4) won 21-17 at UCLA, two years ago.
Gophers were outgained 329-234; they were +3 in turnovers.
Big 18 home underdogs are 13-9 ATS in conference play.
Alabama @ LSU (-6)
Alabama (6-2, 4-2)
Alabama lost two of last three games, 20-17 Georgia/26-10 Tennessee.
Alabama scored 31+ points in all their wins.
Alabama has 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 30 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Russell has 15 TD passes, five INTs.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 3-0 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, DeBoer is 7-1 as a home favorite.
Crimson Tide is 20-12-1 ATS in last 33 SEC games (0-3 last 3).
In his career, DeBoer is 28-28-1 ATS in conference games.
Alabama is 9-6-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Six of their eight games went over the total.
LSU (6-2, 3-2)
LSU won its last two games, scoring 31-38 points.
In their two losses, LSU allowed 426-401 yards.
LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
LSU has 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Leavitt started 20 games at Arizona State.
LSU is 16-9-1 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite.
In his college career, Kiffin is 43-37-1 ATS as a home favorite.
LSU is 9-12 ATS in its last 21 SEC games.
In his college career, Kiffin is 60-54-3 ATS in conference games.
Tigers are 3-9 ATS in last dozen games coming off a win.
Three of LSU’s last four games went over the total.
Alabama won 12 of last 14 series games.
Crimson Tide is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS last seven visits to LSU.
Under is 11-5-2 in last 18 meetings.
SEC home favorites are 14-11 ATS in conference play.
Oregon @ Ohio State (-7.5)
Oregon (5-3, 3-2)
Oregon scored 31-15-10 points in its three losses.
Ducks allowed 200.7 rushing yards/game in their three losses.
Oregon has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Backup QB Raiola had 22 starts at Nebraska.
Last two weeks, Ducks gained 426-441 total yards.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 4-0 ATS overall as an underdog.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 29-20 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 26-19 ATS in conference games.
Three of last four Oregon games stayed under the total.
Ohio State (6-2, 4-1)
Ohio State is 5-0 when they score more than 23 points.
Buckeyes’ losses: 24-23 at Texas, 30-18 at USC.
Ohio State has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Buckeyes have 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
Backup QB Fahey threw started his first college game last week.
Buckeyes are 4-0 at home, with all the wins by 23+ points.
Under Day, OSU is 34-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Day, OSU is 52-31-3 ATS as a favorite.
Buckeyes are 16-9 ATS in last 25 conference games.
Under is 3-1 in last four Ohio State games.
Ohio State won three of last five series games.
Under was 3-2 in those games.
Big 18 home favorites are 8-15 ATS in conference play.
Penn State @ Washington (-2.5)
Penn State (4-4, 1-4)
PSU won last week, snapping four-game losing skid.
Nittany Lions are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points.
Nittany Lions have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Penn State has 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Becht started 39 games at Iowa State.
Penn State is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Campbell is 26-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Nittany Lions are 10-14 ATS in last 23 conference games.
In his career, Campbell is 69-57-3 ATS in conference games.
Penn State is 8-14 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Last three Penn State games stayed under the total.
Washington (5-3, 2-3)
Washington is 4-0 when they give up less than 25 points.
Huskies lost their last two home games (Minnesota/Iowa).
Huskies have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Washington has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Williams started 13 games last year.
Road team is 7-0 ATS in Washington games this year.
Under Fisch, Washington is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite. (0-4 TY).
In his career, Fisch is 12-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2018, Huskies are 29-47 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Fisch is 27-25 ATS in conference games.
Under Fisch, Washington is 5-13 ATS in games coming off a win.
Over is 3-2 in their last five I-A games.
Penn State won last two meetings, 35-28/35-6.
Teams have met only once since 2017
Big 18 home favorites are 8-15 ATS in conference play.
Kentucky @ Tennessee (-6.5)
Kentucky (7-1, 5-1)
Kentucky won its last six games, scoring 31+ in five of them.
Kentucky’s one loss: 45-17 at home to Alabama
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wildcats have 89 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB Minchey was a backup at Notre Dame.
Wildcats are 12-7 ATS last 19 games as an underdog.
Kentucky is 12-7 ATS last 19 games as a road underdog.
Last 5+ years, Kentucky is 26-20 ATS in SEC games.
Wildcats are 14-8 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Five of Kentucky’s last seven games went over the total.
Tennessee (6-2, 3-2)
Tennessee got upset 27-24 at South Carolina last week.
Vols gave up 17 or fewer points in five of their six wins.
Tennessee has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Vols have 94 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB McIntyre is the starter now.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 19-14 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Heupel is 28-24 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Heupel, Vols are 24-24-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 20-24-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Heupel is 31-37-1 ATS in conference games.
Five of last six Tennessee games stayed under the total.
Tennessee won five in row, 26 of last 29 series games.
Kentucky is 1-8 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine visits to Knoxville.
Four of last five meetings went over the total.
SEC home favorites are 14-11 ATS in conference play.
Miami @ Notre Dame (-7.5)
Miami FL (8-0)
Hurricanes are 7-0 vs I-A teams, scoring 41.6 ppg.
Hurricanes star WR Toney (ankle) isn’t expected to play.
Miami has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 30 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mensah has 26 starts (13 each at Tulane/Duke)
Last three games, Miami gave up 300+ passing yards.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 20-22 ATS as an underdog.
Miami is 14-5 ATS in last 19 non-conference games.
Over is 6-1 in Miami’s I-A games.
ACC road underdogs are 2-5 ATS in non-conference games.
Notre Dame (6-0)
Notre Dame covered four of its six games.
Last two weeks, Notre Dame ran ball for 241-361 yards.
Irish have 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Notre Dame has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Carr started 12 games last year.
Under Freeman, ND is 24-16-1 ATS as a favorite.
Since 2017, ND is 20-11-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Notre Dame is +13 in turnovers this year.
Last three weeks, Notre Dame gained 444-475-598 total yards.
Last three Notre Dame games went over the total.
Last year, Notre Dame (-2.5) lost 27-24 at Miami
That was teams’ first meeting since 2017.
