Sanders over 29.5 pass attempts -115

Cleveland is 3.5 points underdog on the road against NO team that plays fast and has allowed over 30 pass attempts in 6 of the 7 games played this year. Also have a bet on the over 42.5. Good luck.

Pick: Notre Dame -7 vs. Miami 

Why it Wins: Miami is dealing with a major offensive setback after star receiver Malachi Toney injured his ankle in practice this week—a key missing piece accounting for nearly 40% of their passing yardage. While Notre Dame's defense has bumps, their physical front and elite run-game control at home in South Bend will force Miami into clear passing downs without their primary playmaker. Notre Dame controls the tempo and pulls away late to cover.

Overall Record: 8-11

Colts +5

Cowboys have no defense and i think Johnathan Taylor will run all
Over them and stay within the number. Take the home dog here

NFL YTD 2-0
Giants -3 vs Eagles
I can write all kinds of stats and trends. But the truth is, the eagles are in total disarray from head coach to kicker. Their season is over and they know it. The Giants will play hard for each other. The Eagles don’t care.
Take the Giants to cover this soft number.

Chiefs -9.5…-115…After winning first 5 games Chiefs have lost 2 in a row both on the road…expecting huge effort from Chiefs at home today…not thinking they will get much resistance from the Jets who have lost 3 in a row and their best WR Garrett Wilson is out today…Chiefs get double digit win

Caro +2.5

I know why am I betting a team that’s lost 2 in a row vs a team that has won 4 in a row well the public thinks I am on the wrong side too as over 70% of the bets are on the Broncos sure Den has the better defense but their offense has struggled a bit even in the 4 wins now bc Caro had played well at times and bad at times but I think in this situation they will have a good day I think the odds makers are begging u to take the Broncos -2.5 and with over 70% of the money on Den the line still remains at 2.5 so most people think it’s a real bargain by taking Den as the saying goes not so fast my friend give me the home team Caro Panthers to take down the Broncos

NFL

Giants +3 Spread Line -150

Giants cover this spread for sure.
Philly has too many Injuries can't be winning this game.

Chicago Bears -6
Bears at home, have won three straight and also scored more than 30 points in those last three
Bears should be able to score against the Bucs as they just scored 34 points against the Seahawks defense
Don't believe the Bucs can keep up scoring against the Bears as Chicago's defense is just about as good as Tampa's

Bengals -3. I think this game will be one of the better Europe games as both offenses have been scoring a bunch of point as of late. I will throw that Bucs falcons game away as neither team was able to throw the ball in the pouring rain, but more often than not Penix has delivered. With that said, you can really see this bengals team turning the corner and I think the situation with the ravens has given them the motivation they need to get a stranglehold of that division.

Over 52.5 Cinn @ Atl...... After Atl put up a 0 last week and Cinn put up 43 i think we will see some scoring in this game. It's at 52.5 so that's about 27 pts for each team and about 14 pts a quarter. Atl rushing yards are 5th and Cinn is 30th. Cinn avg around 29 pts a game and Atl around 21. Both of these defenses are in the middle for pts allowed 23 for Cinn and 24 for Atl. I don't think Atl is get shut out again. If Atl can score around 24 or more Cinn should be able to cover the rest of the pts.

Clev +3 with shaduer having the keys this will be a high scoring game Cleveland comes out on top

No -3
Cleveland will start Saunders at qb.
While ok he hadn’t proven he can carry a team.
Malik Collins is out at tackle which will hurt the defense. On the other side, NO wide receiver Tyson will make his debut. Not a fun game to watch but no weeks out a W.

3-1 +1.8 units

NFL - Under 45 -110 Packers/Patriots
Pats defense is solid, especially at home. Drake Maye with reduced weapons due to injuries on offense may settle for a lot of short passes and QB runs. Ball control will be important

Love the Browns today strickly on stats.N Orleans is 0 and 8 after a bye.There 2 and 10 against AFC as a home chalk. While the Browns have gone 10 and 3 against the south.

Antonio Williams: Over 50 receiving yards @ Evens

Williams recorded a season-high 83% snap share last week, and it's becoming increasingly clear that Washington need to stop treating him like a rookie and simply let him play.

He looks different on film. Excellent route runner, reliable hands, and he made

Colts +4.5
Cowboys are last in the league in rushing D
Colts are 12th in rushing offense.
Taylor will have a field day.
Colts D can be stingy only giving up 32% on 3rd down
Cowboys lead league or last at 52% conversion rate on 3rd down
Take the points and Colts

Atlanta +3.5

falcons should be able to deal bs bengals porkus defense. BIjan has a big game and Penix dominates Bengals defense backfield.

Atalanta pulls mild upset
24-21

Nyg vs eagles
Eagles coming in with 6 game losing streak. No Wrs & injured Barkley & another new qb. The team is a mess.
Giants gotten another week to get JJ acquainted with his receivers.
Take NYG -3.5

TAKE EAGLES:
giants covered 4 of last 5
eagles covered 1 of last 6

TAKE CAROLINA
Denver covered last 4
Carolina hasnt covered last 2

NEW ENGLAND
Gb covered last 4
Ne hasnt covered last 2

Cowboys / Colts over 51.5
Colts RB Jonathan Taylor Should score againts a bad Dallas defense.Dallas should also score againts Colts defense that allowed almost 6 yards per play.

NO (-3) CLE is averaging less than 18 points per game and now they bring in Sedour Sanders. NO in a must win off a bye against a bad QB

Seattle -8. McDonald owns this team 5-0 su and ATS vs them. Think their defense shows up pissed off and turns minshew over a couple times

Seattle -8

Seattle is 10-0 straight up and 9-1 ATS against Arizona the last 10 games played against each other.

Over 50 Lions and Dolphins

The total is a little low because Detroit's offense
only averaged 16 ppg in their last 2 games.
But that was against Minnesota and Green Bay.
These are the 2nd and 10th ranked defenses in the NFL,
and The Packers are better than that number.
They won't be in Miami on Sunday.

houston/chargers UNDER 40.5 (fanduel -110) even though houston defense has not been all that great like last years defense, they are still a good defense. coming into LA , chargers whose been averaging a measly 14ppg . herbert and the chargers offense has been struggling. you cannot win any games if you are scoring just 14ppg. and it does not get easier when houston comes in to town. i see stingley taking care of the mediocore chargers recievers while houston D LINE is 11th in runs yards allowed should limit chargers ground game. i dont see chargers moving the ball and scoring over thier average 14PPG. chargers are 1-6 towards the UNDER.

NHL:

Pittsburgh/Anaheim Over 6.5

Over is 7-0 in Ducks last 7 overall.
Over is 6-0 in Ducks last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Ducks last 5 games following a win.
Over is 4-0 in Ducks last 4 games playing on 1 days’ rest.
Over is 4-0 in Ducks last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-0-2 in Ducks last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

SF -9.5
Bills -3
Was +4.5
NE -3

Carolina +3

Like them in this spot. At home getting points in a must win game. They've had ips and down this year but this a game they need and I think they will win outright. Denver is an average team in my opinion and Carolina will take advantage of that. I'll take the points but Carolina wins outright

Det over
lions score in bunches and cant stop anyone

GB +3
5th consecutive cover for GB
The last 3 wins for NE have come against teams with a losing record
Neither team runs the ball well
QB Love comes in with the most passings

Chiefs 9.5…-114…2 straight losses for Chiefs now home to face struggling Jets without top receiver Garrett Wilson…Chiefs by double digits

Air Force -6

Air Force has a huge experience advantage, returning all their starters this season. They're returning over 95% of their scoring from last season. Idaho St is 0-2, losing one of their games by 31.

Washington Commanders+4.5

Not sure the Rams should be road favorites over anyone sans the Chargers and Dolphins. They were out gained again last week by the aforementioned Chargers and something's not right with Stafford.
The Commanders are good vs. the run so doubt Stafford gets much production from his run game, Take the points.

Pick: Detroit Lions -6.5 at Miami Dolphins

Why it Wins: Detroit's front four continues to generate pressure at a top-5 rate in the league without needing to blitz. Miami’s offensive line has struggled against physical pass rushes, and the Lions' dominant run-game behind their offensive line allows them to control time of possession and pull away by touchdown margin on the road.

Overall Record: 10-13

Pick: Detroit Lions -4.5 at Miami Dolphins

Why it Wins: Detroit's front four continues to generate pressure at a top-5 rate in the league without needing to blitz. Miami’s offensive line has struggled against physical pass rushes, and the Lions' dominant run-game behind their offensive line allows them to control time of possession and pull away by touchdown margin on the road.

Overall Record: 10-13

Pick: Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots UNDER 44.5

Why it Wins: New England's game plan at home centers heavily on methodical run-heavy drives to keep opposing offenses off the field. With chilly, windy Foxborough conditions late in the afternoon, both coaching staffs will lean on ground control, keeping this game well below the key total threshold.

Overall Record: 10-13

Pick: Boston Celtics -13 at Milwaukee Bucks

Why it Wins: Boston's perimeter shooting volume and defensive versatility pose a massive matchup problem for Milwaukee's transition defense. On the road at Fiserv Forum, Boston’s spacing clears out the floor, creating high-percentage 3-point look opportunities that force Milwaukee out of its preferred paint-packing schemes.

Overall Record: 10-13

Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 at Buffalo Sabres (+230)

Why it Wins: Vegas ranks near the top of the NHL in expected goals share (xGF%) at 5v5 and excels at punishing teams that give up high-danger transition chances. Buffalo continues to labor on special teams, giving the Golden Knights a major edge to extend a multi-goal victory on the road.

Overall Record: 10-13

Pick: Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 222.5

Why it Wins: Utah plays at one of the fastest paces in the league, forcing high-possession environments even against sound defensive teams. Minnesota's offensive execution inside Target Center has been efficient, setting up a high-scoring baseline that pushes this game over the total.

Overall Record: 10-13

Commanders +4.5

I like playing home dogs getting points. Rams gotta travel east with an earlier start. Rams should be without their starting corners and JD should feast with his arm and feet. Also Washington is better at home vs on the road where they’re winless. I think this comes down to a FG.

Chiefs -9.5

Bounce back from last week's disappointing outcome with a get right win and cover going away vs the Jets.

NBA

570 Minnesota -12

Minnesota is 9-1 ATS this season
Minnesota is 3-1 as a Home Favorite this season
Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Utah is 1-8 ATS this season
Utah is 0-4 as a Road Dog this season

Colts +5

After a terrible game last week, this is a get right spot for Indianapolis. Jonathan Taylor trade rumors circling, expecting a big game against a non-existent Cowboys defense. Two star play for me on Colts getting more than a field goal.

Chargers under 40.5 -110....The Chargers are winless mostly because they can't score..The Texans have a decent defense so that should mean more of the same with this one staying well under this number

NFL Tampa Bay +6.5
The bears are playing good right now and
should win the game but the Bucs Look like
they have turned things around and are playing
good as well So I’m taking points tonight

Take Chicago/Tampa Bay Under 47.5. Tampa Bay seems to have limited ability to put up a lot of points. And the Bears will get theirs, but I expect the pace of play to be slow, with the running backs being the star of the show.