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11/15 Statistical Advantages
#982587 11/09/26 12:56 AM
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #983148 11/11/26 04:15 PM
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NFL TRENDS

NEW ENGLAND @ DETROIT

Over is 6-0 in Patriots last 6 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Patriots last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games on grass.
Over is 3-0-1 in Lions last 4 games in Week 10.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE

Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Over is 3-0-1 in Titans last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games as a road underdog.
Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Over is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South.

MIAMI @ INDIANAPOLIS

Dolphins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 10.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Indianapolis.
Over is 6-1 in Colts last 7 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Colts last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1-1 in Dolphins last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Dolphins last 4 games following a ATS win.

BUFFALO @ N.Y. JETS

Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-0 in Jets last 5 vs. AFC East.
Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 road games.

HOUSTON @ CLEVELAND

Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Over is 5-0 in Browns last 5 games as a favorite.
Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Browns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Over is 4-0-1 in Texans last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Texans last 6 games following a ATS win.

MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY

Packers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Packers last 5 vs. NFC.
Packers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Under is 8-0 in Vikings last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS

Under is 7-0 in Panthers last 7 road games.
Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Saints last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games in Week 10.
Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Saints last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

KANSAS CITY @ ATLANTA

Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Chiefs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 10-1 in Chiefs last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-1-1 in Falcons last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

L.A. RAMS @ ARIZONA

Under is 5-0 in Rams last 5 vs. NFC.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games as an underdog.
Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 8-1 in Rams last 9 games overall.

SEATTLE @ LAS VEGAS
Over is 7-0 in Raiders last 7 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 7-0 in Raiders last 7 games as an underdog.
Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 7-0 in Raiders last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

SAN FRANCISCO @ DALLAS

Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games on fieldturf.
Cowboys are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.

PITTSBURGH @ CINCINNATI

Over is 5-0-1 in Bengals last 6 games in Week 10.
Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Bengals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Steelers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #983323 11/12/26 04:45 AM
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Lake Grove
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NFL TRENDS

Lions (-2.5) vs Patriots (@ Munich, Germany)
Lions (6-2)
Lions won last four games, giving up 17-15-9 points in last three.
Detroit allowed 32-41 points in their two losses.
In their two losses, Lions were held to 66-46 rushing yards.
QB Goff is 99-68-1 as an NFL starter, 57-41-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 61-48-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Detroit is 15-4 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite
Lions are 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Lions held 5 of last 6 opponents to 90 or fewer rushing yards.
Under is 3-0 in Detroit’s last three games.
NFC North favorites are 12-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown’s mother is from Germany.

Patriots (5-4)
NE lost two of its last three games, after a 4-2 start.
Patriots ran for 109 or fewer yards in losses, 131+ in wins.
NE is minus-11 in turnovers this season.
QB Maye is 25-17 as an NFL starter
Vrabel is 78-56 as an NFL head coach

Under Vrabel, Patriots are 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
Under Vrabel, NE is 4-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Patriots opponents’ team total: over 4-0 last four games.
Patriots team total: over 5-1 last six games
Five of last six New England games went over the total.
AFC East underdogs are 5-9-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

New England won five of last six series games.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Bills (-8.5) at Jets
Bills (7-1)
Short week for Bills, after their win in Minnesota Monday.
Buffalo is 7-1, scoring 36-41-24-26-37-33-36-23 points.
Bills gave up 29+ points in five of seven games.
QB Allen is 103-47 as an NFL starter
Joe Brady is 7-1 as an NFL head coach.

Bills are 20-16 ATS last 36 games as a favorite.
Bills are 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Buffalo’s only loss was 29-26 at home to New England.
Five of their eight games went over the total.

Jets (2-7)
Jets lost seven of their last eight games.
Jets gave up 10-12 points in wins, 20-31-23-26-28-38-35 in losses.
Five of Jets’ seven losses were by 7 or fewer points.
Geno Smith is 44-64 as an NFL starting QB.
Aaron Glenn is 5-21 as a head coach.

Jets are 10-13 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 5-12 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Jets in 1st half LW: 6 drives, made 4-5 FG tries, trailed 14-12.
Jets in 2nd half LW: 23 plays, 44 yards, no points.
Three of Jets’ last four games went over the total.

Buffalo won 11 of last 13 series games.
Bills are 5-3 ATS in last eight meetings played here.
Last four series games went over the total.

Panthers @ Saints (-2.5)
Panthers (3-5)
Carolina lost last three games, giving up 43-27-26 points.
Panthers are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Last three games, Panthers ran ball for 88-92-96 yards.
QB Young is 17-36 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 18-27 as a head coach.

Under Canales, Panthers are 22-16 ATS as an underdog
Under Canales, Panthers are 8-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Panthers are 0-4 when they score less than 25 points.
Opponents converted 28 of last 53 third down plays.
Under is 4-0 in Carolina’s road games this year.

Saints (3-5)
New Orleans lost four of their last six games.
Last week, Saints won their first home game in four tries.
Saints are 0-5 when they give up more than 108 rushing yards.
QB Shough is 8-9 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 9-16 as a head coach.

Saints are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
Saints are 1-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
New Orleans has been outscored 93-56 in first half of games.
Opponents’ team total: over 6-2
Saints team total: over 5-3

Saints won five of last six series games.
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Bourbon Street.
Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Texans (-4.5) at Browns
Texans (3-5)
Houston won three of last four games, after an 0-4 start.
Last five games, Texans scored 31 ppg.
Fourth road game in six weeks for Houston.
Stroud is 34-26 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 38-27 in as an NFL head coach.

Houston is 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Last five games, Texans’ team total: over 4-1
Last four games, Texans are +6 in turnovers.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
AFC South favorites are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.

Browns (5-4)
Browns lost their last two games, 27-6/23-22 OT
QB Watson was 29-27 as Houston’s QB from 2017-20.
Watson is 43-40 as an NFL starter (14-13 with Cleveland)
Cleveland’s five wins are by 4-4-3-3-3 points.
Monken is 5-4 as an NFL head coach.

Cleveland won all three home games, by 3-3-3 points.
Browns are 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Cleveland ran for less than 100 yards in 4 of last 5 games.
Opponents’ team total: over 3-0 last three games.
Seven of their last eight games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
AFC North underdogs are 4-5 ATS in non-divisional games.

Browns won four of last five series games.
Texans covered their last four visits to Cleveland.
Three of last four meetings went over the total.

Jaguars (-10.5) at Titans
Jaguars (6-2)
Jacksonville scored 31-42-33 points in their last three games.
Jaguars have four wins by 24+ points.
Jaguars converted 17 of last 36 third down plays.
QB Lawrence is 42-46 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 19-7 as an NFL head coach.

Under Coen, Jaguars are 11-4 ATS as a favorite.
Under Coen, Jaguars are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Jaguars scored 12 TD’s on their last 32 drives.
Jaguars are +8 in turnovers this season.
Under is 7-1 in their opponents’ team total.

Titans (1-7)
Tennessee is 1-7, scoring 10-20-7-13-3-24 points in losses.
Last three games, Titans scored 26-24-36 points.
Tennessee has five losses by 7 or fewer points.
Robert Saleh is 21-43 as an NFL head coach.
QB Ward is 4-21 as an NFL starter.

Tennessee covered three of its last four games.
Titans are 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
Tennessee is 7-1 ATS in last eight post-bye games.
Last two games, Tennessee gave up 491-510 total yards.
Last three Titan games went over the total.

Jacksonville won seven of last eight series games.
Jaguars are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Nashville.
Three of last four games stayed under the total.

Chiefs (-3) at Falcons
Chiefs (6-2)
Chiefs lost their last two road games, at Seattle/Denver.
KC held three of last four opponents under 300 total yards.
Chiefs are 4-0 when they score more than 24 points.
Mahomes is 118-37 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 313-176-1 as an NFL head coach

Chiefs are 2-9 in last 11 games as a road favorite.
KC is 1-5 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
Chiefs are +4 in turnovers this season.
Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
AFC West favorites are 6-2 ATS in non-divisional games.

Falcons (3-6)
Atlanta lost four of its last five games, by 7-8-17-17 points.
Falcons are 1-6 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Atlanta scored 35-45-29 points in wins, 23 or less in losses.
Penix Jr is 7-12 as an NFL starting QB.
Stefanski is 49-64 as an NFL head coach.

Falcons are minus-11 in turnovers in their losses.
Atlanta is 9-9 ATS last 18 games as an underdog.
Falcons last three games stayed under the total.
Atlanta scored 35-45-29 points in their three wins.
NFC South non-divisional underdogs are 7-12 ATS.

Kansas City won last three series games, by 5-1-3 points.
Chiefs won three of last four visits to Atlanta.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.

Dolphins @ Colts (-3.5)
Dolphins (1-7)
Miami is 1-7 SU, but covered four of their last five games.
Last two games, Dolphins ran ball for 74-77 yards.
Last two games, Miami scored 2 TD’s, tried 7 FG’s on 18 drives.
McCord has been traded three times, but this is his first NFL game.
Hafley is 1-7 as an NFL head coach (22-26 at BC).

Dolphins are 7-15 ATS last 22 games as a road dog (2-2 TY).
Dolphins are 6-4 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Dolphins’ team total: over 3-1 last four games.
Five of their last six games stayed under the total.
AFC East underdogs are 5-9-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Colts (2-6)
Colts lost last five games, by 12-6-6-35-4 points.
Colts traded two their receivers this week, kept RB Taylor.
Colts gave up 17-13 points in wins, 41-33-34-26-16-27 in losses.
Jones is 35-57 as an NFL starter (10-12 with Colts).
Steichen is 28-33 SU as a head coach

Colts are 20-21 ATS last 41 games coming off a loss.
Colts are 16-7 ATS last 23 games as a favorite.
Colts are minus-11 in turnovers this season.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
AFC South home teams are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

Colts won nine of last eleven series games.
Dolphins are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Indianapolis.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Vikings @ Packers (-3)
Vikings (6-2)
Last three games, Vikings scored 16-15-6 points.
Minnesota re-acquired QB Cousins on Tuesday.
Minnesota has four wins by 7 or fewer points.
QB Cousins is 93-85-2 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 49-29 as an NFL head coach.

Short week for Vikings after Monday’s loss to Buffalo.
Vikings are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Minnesota ran ball for 81-51 yards.
Vikings gained less than 280 yards in six of eight games.
Last seven Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Packers (6-3)
Green Bay won five of its last six games.
Last two games, Packers scored nine TD’s on 25 drives.
Green Bay ran for 129 yards LW, their most this season.
QB Love is 33-26-1 as an NFL starter.
LaFleur is 84-49-1 as an NFL head coach.

Packers are 13-9 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 5-0 if they allow 19 or fewer points, 1-3 if they allow 20+
Packers held four of last five opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Green Bay is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
Last six weeks, under is 5-1 in their opponents’ team total.
Five of Green Bay’s last six games stayed under the total.

Vikings (-2) beat Green Bay 39-22 in Week 1.
Packers led that game 19-10 at halftime.
Vikings won/covered last four series games.
Teams split their last six meetings at Lambeau.
Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen series games.

Rams (-9.5) at Cardinals
Rams (5-4)
Rams won last three games, by 14-15-7 points.
Rams have injury issues at WR/TE; they’ll run a lot.
Rams held last three opponents to 48-64-60 rushing yards.
QB Stafford is 58-35 as the Rams’ starter
McVay is 107-67 as an NFL head coach.

Rams are 26-15-1 ATS in last 42 games as a favorite.
Rams are 15-6 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite.
Rams are 14-9 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Rams are 10-3 ATS in last 13 NFC West road games.
Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Cardinals (3-6)
Cardinals gave up 30+ points in five of six losses.
Rookie QB Beck is getting first NFL start here.
Arizona ran for less than 100 yards in 5 of last 8 games.
Cardinals held three of last four opponents under 300 TY.
Mike LaFleur is 3-6 as an NFL head coach.

Arizona is 2-8 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Cardinals are 1-3 at home TY, losing by 24-24-14 points.
Five of their six losses were by 12+ points.
Cardinals held five of last eight foes under 100 yards rushing.
Over is 6-2 in their opponents’ last eight team totals.

Arizona (+13) upset the Rams 18-16 in Week 6.
Cardinals didn’t score a TD, kicked six FGs on 10 drives.
Rams won six of last eight series games.
Rams covered 10 of last 11 games at Arizona.
Over is 7-4 in last eleven meetings.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #983691 Yesterday at 09:56 PM
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Posts: 1,075
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Sophmore
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Seahawks (-6.5) at Raiders
Seahawks (5-4)
Seattle gave up 10 or fewer points in four of five wins.
Seattle allowed 32+ points in three of four losses.
Last two games, Seahawks gained 252-295 yards.
Backup QB Lock is 12-18 as an NFL starter
MacDonald is 32-14 as a head coach

Seattle is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
Seahawks are 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
Seattle is minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +6 in wins.
Last four games, under is 4-0 in Seattle’s team total.
Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
NFC West favorites are 8-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

Raiders (4-5)
Rookie QB Mendoza makes his first NFL start here.
Raiders lost five of their last six games.
Raiders allowed 30+ points in all six of those games.
Last six games, Las Vegas ran ball for 72-38-65-48-95-24 yards.
Kubiak is 4-5 as an NFL head coach.

Raiders are 7-8 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
Raiders are 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Last seven Raider games went over the total.
Opponents went over their team total in last seven games.
Las Vegas went over their team total in seven of nine games.
AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 5-8 ATS.

Teams split their last eight meetings.
Seahawks are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

49ers (-6.5) at Cowboys
49ers (7-1)
Four of 49ers’ seven wins were by 10+ points.
49ers are 1-1 in true road games (32-29 Seattle/20-29 Atlanta)
Last three games, 49ers gained 375-400-414 yards.
Purdy is 42-19 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 98-73 as an NFL head coach.

49ers allowed less than 300 yards in six of eight games.
49ers are 6-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
49ers are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
SF has converted 46 of 91 third down plays.
NFC West favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

Cowboys (4-5)
Dallas scored 37-34-38-27 points in their wins.
Last three games, Cowboys ran ball for 204-93-179 yards.
Dallas is 0-3 when they score less than 27 points.
QB Prescott is 89-65-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 11-14-1 as a head coach.

Cowboys are 7-3 ATS last 10 games as an underdog.
Under Schottenheimer, Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in games coming off a win.
Opponents have converted 57 of 118 third down plays.
Five of last eight Dallas games went over the total.
NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 5-6 ATS.

49ers won/covered last four series games.
Teams split last four meetings in Dallas.
Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Steelers @ Bengals (-3.5)
Steelers (6-2)
Steelers won their last four games, scoring 25.8 ppg.
Last three games, Steelers gave up 19-10-6 points.
Pittsburgh is 5-1 when they gain 300+ total yards.
Rodgers is 180-106-1 as an NFL starter.
McCarthy is 191-125-2 as a head coach.

Steelers are 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 7-1 ATS last eight games coming off a bye.
Pittsburgh lost two of its three true road games.
Last six games, over 5-1 in Steelers’ team total.
Four of last six Pittsburgh games went over the total.

Bengals (6-2)
Bengals won last four games, scoring 31-35-43-34 points.
Bengals are 28 for last 44 on third down conversions.
Bengals played in Spain last week; Steelers had a bye.
Burrow is 54-37-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 63-67-1 as a head coach.

Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Bengals are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Bengals are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Last six games, Bengals scored 23 TD’s on 55 drives.
Last six weeks, over is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s team total.

Steelers (+3) beat Cincinnati 30-27 in Week 3.
Pittsburgh won six of last eight series games.
Bengals are 3-7 ATS last ten visits to Pittsburgh.
Three of last four meetings went over the total.


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