Here we go the 2024-2025 NFL Playoffs...............
Obviously the amount of games is very limited and I'll be looking for what I feel is extreme value to make the play worthwhile.
I feel like the Ohio State Buckeyes after losing to Michigan after losing in week 18 and I have more to prove............
HOU +13 - In a game the total has dropped from 44 to 41.5 this would lead you to believe that points will be an ultimate premium. A lot of metrics go against HOU here but the Chargers beat the following teams by 13 points or more this past season: CAR, NO, CLV, NEP and LVR What do all of these teams have in common? They are all super bad football teams.
Who did HOU lose to by more than 13 this season: MN and BAL. What do those teams have in common? They are in the playoffs and really damn good teams.
Do you place the LAC in the level of MN and BAL or more towards the other 5 teams? I would put them closer to the bad 5 teams than I would to the two teams listed. I'm not saying they are a bad team but their schedule was super easy. 29 out of 32 toughest. I'll take the 13 and take my chances.
BAL +1/2 - A team playing really well vs a team playing extremely bad. I'll deserve to lose this if BAL loses this game SU.
MN +8 - IN LA or at the now neutral field in AZ, MN is by far the superior team in this game. The only concern I have with this is how MN responds to the ass whipping they took at Detroit a week ago. Will they have the dead cat game or will they respond bigly. In either event I don't think the LAR can beat this team by 9 or more even if spotted a 7-0 lead.
Don't over bet because it's the playoffs, remember there will be games next week and future opportunities.
I'll be pulling for KC to three peat, I have heavy tickets on them from before the start of the season and earlier on when they escaped with wins and people fell in love with BUF, BAL, PHI........
Good luck and I'll meet you at the cashiers cage cashing those tickets! |