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I did a post back in 2016 called Trump 2016 and it was well before he was elected as the Republican Nominee. Trump 2016 thread I went back and read a lot of that thread and was just amazed at how accurate I was except the VP choice (glad I was wrong) A lot of smack from others that were in a nutshell proven wrong.

Promises Made, Promises Kept

So here we are less than 6 weeks away from the general election and this go round I am looking to make even more money than I did in 2016. I can't find the thread where I posted states to bet on and I won all of them.

Now before I get into this, I strongly urge you to shop around for the best odds because the odds are wildly different everywhere. I am going to highlight what I am looking to do and where I am going to do it. The lines are all from moments ago.

These wagers are either listed as Trump vs Biden or Republican Candidate vs Democrat Candidate

First one and this is my absolute LOCK like it was back in 2016

Trump to win Arizona. You can get an unheard of +150 At Bovada right now. Most everywhere else it's about +120, so you are getting a pretty big premium here. They list it as Republican Candidate vs Democrat Candidate. So the play is Republican Candidate +150.

Why this play again? A D hasn't won in AZ since 1972 and yes Trump didn't win in a blow out in 2016 but won by 5% points. Arizona is a changing state due to liberals moving in from CA and other liberal states. There has been a big push by the Biden campaign here as they think they have a chance to win. I won't lie, they do and the polling is close but Republicans here in this state are going to come out in full force and carry the state for Trump. At +150 you have not only the huge premium but exceptional value.

Florida Trump -125 you can get this at Bovada as described above and Betonline at this price.
Georgia -230 at Bovada
North Carolina -130 at Betonline
Pennsylvania +145 at Bovada

Two states that have big plus odds that I think he has a chance

Michigan +210 at Betonline
Minnesota +240 at Betonline

Obviously Florida and North Carolina along with Arizona are battleground states but if you have watched any of the rallies from any of these three states, they are HUGE, they are energetic and people are going to get out and vote for him. This scenario rings loud in my ears because of what took place in 2016. You remember "The Silent Majority" they are going to be out in full force and the likes of Don Lemon, Chris Cuomo and the other libtards at CNN, MSNBC and all the major networks are going to be crying again as they did in 2016.

These prices are super cheap and as I stated AZ has a huge premium added to it. Thing is, you can't wait and bet these because as we get closer to the election, the polls are going to tighten and after the first debate next Tuesday if Trump makes Biden look like the lost bumbling sleepy Joe he has looked like so far, it all changes.

Pennsylvania and Michigan are plays in my book once again because like 2016 they aren't expected, but watch and see. Minnesota is a true long shot and I am hoping that Democrats vote for Trump here over what took place in Minneapolis and the dislike for Omar throughout the rest of the state that she doesn't represent.

Biden's whole campaign has been centered around the coronavirus, that's going to be thumped once Pfizer comes out with a vaccine before election day. Law and Order along with the Second Amendment will crush that. Not to mention everything he has achieved in such a short period of time.

Be sure to bet on Trump to win the General Election at + $$$ as well.

I've been blessed and fortunate to watch every single President Trump rally. The crowds especially the past 10 days have been bigger and bigger at every stop. From last night in Miami where he had 45,000 people at a 1AM start time to tonight's final rally in Grand Rapids it was just off the hook.

The love, the support, the energy from the crowds at each stop was nothing short of amazing and it was great to see so many people involved and supportive.

I would watch and never ceased to amaze the chants, the crowd cheering, the crowd booing, hearing individuals yell out I love you to the President and him saying back I love you too darling or I love you too.

I can recite without fail his closer and likely never will forget it.

From the music of Michael Jackson to Queen to Laura Branigan to James Brown to the Animals and of course to Lee Greenwood after it was announced Ladies and Gentleman the 45th President of the United States Donald J Trump. Just an amazing and awesome ride and one that I am sad it is over.

For days on end one rally, two rallies, three rallies to the 4 and 5 rally all day affairs. What do I do with myself now?

Lots of time invested in helping get out the vote not only where I live by going door to door, but online here, facebook and twitter. I never thought in a million years I would get a short ban on twitter and get censored and fact checked on facebook but so be it. All for the man I support and stand with 100% President Trump.

No matter what happens later today with the results, I will always be proud of this man who at 74 years old exhibited energy like Popeye and took all the bullets thrown at him like Superman.

God Bless President Trump and the United States of America.

If you want to watch any of his rallies and they show them all live you can watch via https://rsbnetwork.com/ which is Right Side Broadcasting Network. They show the rallies from beginning to end without interruption. commercials or any form of disruption. They will pan the audience and you won't see this on any network including Fox.

They are a small media company out of Auburn, AL that I got to know quite well back in 2016. They are funded by donations and if you watch any part of any of their coverage, they work hard and they do a damn good job at what they do. They aren't political people, they are all young men/woman that care about the country and obviously Republican.

The rally tonight in Virginia was totally amazing with the crowd once again and he is making some inroads there. Can he pull it off is another question. I believe Wednesday he is heading to Minnesota to do a couple rallies as well in a state he isn't expected to win but as I said in the opener he has a shot if all falls the right way.

Tomorrow a rally in Middletown, PA a state he has visited a few times this week.

Whether you like the man or not, his schedule is running circles around Biden. I simply can't see how Biden can win this way. There has to be some kind of bombshell they are going to throw out there and hope it sticks. No candidate has ever had a campaign this way ever..............

I don't know if your reply is a troll or serious. His message to America is simple......... Law and Order !!!!!!!!!! This and his economy message are his strongest points. Going after Hunter Biden and mentioning the Logan Act, Joe sat there stunned and had no reply. He knows he's been caught in the complicity on spying on the campaign and trying to short circuit what should have been a peaceful transition of power. None of which was done.

Joe sat there and called the President a racist, perhaps Joe should look at his own history...........

The truth is Joe is the ultimate racist who is out of touch with what America is today.

In 1975 when then-Senator Joe Biden praised racist Alabama Governor George Wallace. He told the Philadelphia Enquirer, “I think the Democratic Party could stand a liberal George Wallace – someone who’s not afraid to stand up and offend people, someone who wouldn’t pander but would say what the American people know in their gut is right.” And in his 1988 presidential race, he told people that George Wallace had given him an award and called him “one of the outstanding young politicians of America.”

In 1977, Joe Biden stated that he didn’t want his kids to grow up among other races and that the thought made him worry about the future. In fact, he said, “Unless we do something about this, my children are going to grow up in a jungle, the jungle being a racial jungle.”
2003 Biden delivering eulogies for segregationist Strom Thurmond and in 2010 former Ku Klux Klan Exalted Cyclops Robert Byrd

2020

“Unlike the African American community, with notable exceptions, the Latino community is an incredibly diverse community with incredibly different attitudes about different things,”
A Black reporter asked Joe Biden whether he has taken a cognitive test.
This was Biden’s response: “No, I haven’t taken a test. Why the hell would I take a test? Come on, man! That’s like saying you, before you got in this program, you’re taking a test whether you’re taking cocaine or not. What do you think, huh? Are you a junkie?”

When the popular black radio host Charlamagne tha God told Joe Biden at the end of a spirited but friendly interview that he needed to come back on his show because “We got more questions,” Biden shot back:
“You got more questions. If you have a problem figuring out if you’re for me or Trump, then you ain’t black.”

If President Trump had said any of this, it will be played in a loop 24/7 non stop ad nausea-um.

#Trump2020 #MAGA #MAGA2020 #truth #Trump #TrumpTrain2020

Obliviously things have changed with President Trump in the hospital. A new NBC poll came out today showing Biden up 14% after the debate. What they don't say is how many were polled and where from.

It's not going to be easy now, but it will be gratifying when he wins.

The president hits the campaign trail today in Sanford FL, you can watch live on Right Side Broadcast Network via Youtube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H13ov-O3ld4&feature=youtu.be

Massive line moves took place as I thought they would.

These are all Bovada

Arizona +125
Florida -105
Georgia -165
Iowa -185
North Carolina +100
Texas -350

I am expecting these to change drastically as well over the next several days.

Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +125 +120 +125
Florida -115 -105 +100
Georgia -160 -130 -165
Iowa -175 -170 -170
North Carolina -110 +100 +105
Texas -300 -350 -350
Trump to Win Election +150 +125 +150

As of today!

The same thing was said in 2016, how did that work out?

I am seeing some degradation in WI and MI and have held off in making an investment. We are starting to see some line drop as well in AZ, GA and IA.

Going to need to wait a little bit more likely Monday to see what takes place over the weekend.

I am opening positions in WI, MI, MN I think these polls are way off after doing some due diligence. There is an eerie similarity to what took place in 2016. While the dynamics have changed I see the President picking up more of the black vote and if the data was correct a late move of younger people coming over to the President. They hear the message of being locked down and a dark winter compared to being open and a road to recovery.

That alone should resonate with people. Take away the names take away the party affiliation and think of those two messages. Which sounds more appealing to you?

Massive line moves for Florida and Iowa to the positive. Georgia to the negative.

Ground Zero remains Pennsylvania and adding North Carolina which is a toss up right now.

Best Value is for the President to win at +160

Lines are constantly changing and here's an update of where I am at. All of these odds are at Bovada and by far they are offering the best prices of any sportsbook. I've looked and notated quite a bit of places.

Arizona +140 I got in at +150
Florida +110
Georgia -160
Iowa -150
North Carolina +110 I bet this one already as I did AZ
Texas -300 <------- this is an absolute steal, every where I looked was way higher.

To win the Election +160 however you can get +180 at Betonline and Bookmaker as of this post.

One thing is going to happen, I am either going to win big or I am going to get my ass handed to me. It won't be the first nor the last for either, but I really love not like my chances at these odds.

Here's how President Trump gets re-elected

Pennsylvania Voter Registration

American presidential elections are decided by the Electoral College as President Trump and Joe Biden both know.na lost to George H.W. Bush 41 and then 41 lost his reelection after his tax increase became a reality. George W. Bush beat Al Gore and then John Kerry.
More from Opinion

Barack Obama promised to reduce taxes and he beat John McCain who was not a tax cutter. Obviously, President Trump offered tax cuts while running against, and beating, Hillary Clinton.

Joe Biden, on the other hand, is pushing for the largest tax increase in history.

Advantage Trump.

American Voters Are More Satisfied in 2020 than they were in 2016.

A new Gallup poll shows that 56% of Americans say they are better off now than they were four years ago. That could well be the telling in this case given that just four years ago marked the end of the Biden vice presidency. Why would voters return to Biden if they are happier now than when he was in office?Enthusiasm Matters.

As the New York Post has reported, “just 46 percent of Biden voters in a recent Pew poll said that they strongly support him, compared to 66 percent of Trump’s base.”

That is a 20 point gap. In 2016, Trump had only a 13 point gap over Hillary. That increase of 7% bodes well for Trump, not Biden.

Early Voting in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio.

National polling from Pew Research indicates that “55% of voters who plan to cast their ballot in person before Election Day support Biden, compared to 40% who support President Trump.”

However, in the key battleground states of Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin the early voting indicates that “registered Republicans are returning ballots at about the same rate as registered Democrats.” The parties are even in Michigan, Democrats up 2% in Wisconsin and the Republicans up 2% in Ohio.

Party Identification.

According to Gallup, by the end of September, when the polling firm asked voters this question, “In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an independent?” the answer came back as follows: 28% said Republican, 27% said Democrat and 42% said independent.

That is meaningful because many of the polls giving Biden the lead appear to be sampling more Democrats than Republicans – sometimes by a wide margin. Also, in 2016, Gallup had Democrats up 32% to 27% but, as we know, Trump still won.

Voters Think Trump Will Win.

In the Trump era, there has been a lot of talk about whether Trump supporters feel free to tell pollsters that they are supporting the president's reelection. Some experts point to polls asking voters who they believe will win the election to be a truer indication of candidate support.

Once again this bodes well for President Trump as a “Gallup poll shows only 40% of Americans think Biden will win the election; 56% predict a Trump victory.”

As you can see by the above post the odds changed from the 18th til today.

I added Ohio and Pennsylvania as I've created positions in both of those states now.

I have some pretty sizeable wagers and this isn't based on love of a team or favorite team. I've done my due diligence and think I am getting the better of the odds as we get closer to election day.

I have underdog positions in Arizona and Pennsylvania at better prices than the odds listed today. I have AZ +150 and PA +180 which I made late last night.

I have even positions in NC and FL and the rest, IA, GA, TX, OH I have laid the price but at better odds than what's available today.

I haven't bet the Win Election yet because I want to see what transpires this weekend.

2-Nov Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona -115 +100 +100
Florida -185 -170 -170
Georgia -175 -180 -165
Iowa -300 -310 -325
North Carolina -120 -125 -110
Texas -360 -330 -350
Trump to Win Election +150 +150 +165
Ohio -295 -275 -260
Pennsylvania +135 +120 +150
Wisconsin +240 +190 +250
Michigan +190 +240 +240
Minnesota +285 +300 +275

Today may be the last day for you to bet on these, potentially very early tomorrow morning at best.

I have the following positions

AZ +150
FL -101
GA -130
IA -170
NC -100
TX -350
OH -190
PA +185
WI +230
MI +220
MN +250

I have various degrees of amounts in each state, some more than others. The final three are my smallest positions. TX, GA, OH are my largest in outlay. PA is my biggest +$ wager and it's pretty big. I made that investment once Joe said he wanted to phase out fossil fuels and oil during the debate. I didn't walk to my computer I ran as fast as I could.

Congratulations to all Trump supporters

What I thought would happen unfortunately has happened.na County where of course Milwaukee is located.

The big lead in Pennsylvania all but gone due to Philadelphia area.

Arizona may still have some light at the end of the tunnel but it's going to make a massive vote count to overcome the difference. We will get a better view later tonight and tomorrow morning.

North Carolina and Nevada may not even come into play at all.

There's still a shot but it's going to take quite a bit to happen.

The media doesn’t have the power to decide on the election results
The game is not over yet
Stay Strong

If there's only a 0.1% chance of winning, I will fight to the end.
President Trump is still fighting, I will never give up!

Regarding last nights debate. I think the President did a great job in restraining himself than he did the first debate. He showed the business person side of him and it worked. I think the moderator interrupted him and let Joe have more than 10 seconds to respond. A moderator is there to ask questions, not interject. A debate is just that, two people on opposite sides making their case. Let them have at it. After all we were cheated out of one debate so this one should've went longer and more topics covered.

The topics leaned heavily to Joe and even then Joe had problems. I wish no ill will towards him, but he has shown vulnerability and some serious signs of dementia along the way. Shame on the D's for using him as their trojan horse. Joe looked down at his notes quite often and his responses came off as rehearsed.

To say you are going to phase out the oil industry and deny you said you were for banning fracking isn't a positive. He is on record and several videos showing he's against fracking. He never once said anything about federal land and the questions posed never mentioned federal land. That's a bad cop out.

He lied about his family not getting money from foreign sources, or rather he didn't but that's going to get exposed soon enough. But the main stream media outside of Fox refuses to cover it.

This scandal is going to be huge and likely the biggest ever. It's only a matter of time. What if Joe or Hunter was arrested? They aren't going to cover that either. Nope Joe is in the bunker. LMAO.

I've been involved in politics in some form or another for quite some time and I can say without a doubt I've never seen anything like this years election coverage. The bias is so bad at so many levels it's appalling. The people deserve better and who knows maybe a new news network will evolve and gain traction. I support Right SIde Broadcasting Network to be that new news outlet.

Check them out at rsbnetwork.com. They are based in Auburn, AL and are viewer supported. If you want to watch any President Trump rally from beginning to end without interruption or commercials they are the source and have been since 2015. Truly great patriots.

Odds as of this posting

24-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +100 +105 +105
Florida -165 -145 -140
Georgia -185 -180 -170
Iowa -185 -185 -165
North Carolina -115 -110 -105
Texas -380 -360 -350
Trump to Win Election +150 +135 +180
Ohio -235 -230 -210
Pennsylvania +160 +150 +160

Odds as of this posting

26-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +100 -105 +110
Florida -150 -145 -140
Georgia -170 -180 -170
Iowa -185 -185 -165
North Carolina -120 -120 -105
Texas -360 -330 -300
Trump to Win Election +150 +145 +175
Ohio -235 -260 -240
Pennsylvania +160 +150 +160

“REPORT: DOMINION DELETED 2.7 MILLION TRUMP VOTES NATIONWIDE. DATA ANALYSIS FINDS 221,000 PENNSYLVANIA VOTES SWITCHED FROM PRESIDENT TRUMP TO BIDEN. 941,000 TRUMP VOTES DELETED. STATES USING DOMINION VOTING SYSTEMS SWITCHED 435,000 VOTES FROM TRUMP TO BIDEN.” Chanel Rion, OANN

Note I have added Wisconsin and Michigan to the odds listing. I haven't taken a position on those states yet but I am monitoring it to get involved.

The odds are very fluid. I am rather surprised the odds for him to win the election have moved the way they have. You see the movement in states like Florida, North Carolina and the gains made in Pennsylvania. He has three rallies today. One in MI,WI and NB then heads to AZ tomorrow for more rallies within the state.

I checked the weather in these locations and it's cold. I am talking 20's to low 30's and that's now, not when he is to be there. It's going to be interesting to see the crowds at these locations to say the very least. Outdoor rallies in WI, MI, PA are going to be tough moving forward. Let's see what happens. Just 7 days until the election.

Odds as of this posting

27-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +100 +110 +110
Florida -150 -150 -140
Georgia -170 -185 -170
Iowa -185 -185 -175
North Carolina -115 -110 -105
Texas -370 -360 -325
Trump to Win Election +150 +155 +175
Ohio -250 -260 -260
Pennsylvania +150 +150 +155
Wisconsin +175 +190 +190
Michigan +200 +225 +200

Odds as of this posting

26-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +100 -105 +110
Florida -150 -145 -140
Georgia -170 -180 -170
Iowa -185 -185 -165
North Carolina -120 -120 -105
Texas -360 -330 -300
Trump to Win Election +150 +145 +175
Ohio -235 -260 -240
Pennsylvania +160 +150 +160[/quote]

Odds as of this posting

27-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +100 +110 +110
Florida -150 -150 -140
Georgia -170 -185 -170
Iowa -185 -185 -175
North Carolina -115 -110 -105
Texas -370 -360 -325
Trump to Win Election +150 +155 +175
Ohio -250 -260 -260
Pennsylvania +150 +150 +155
Wisconsin +175 +190 +190
Michigan +200 +225 +200[/quote]

Odds as of this posting

29-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +110 +115 +110
Florida -145 -145 -150
Georgia -130 -160 -150
Iowa -150 -150 -155
North Carolina -115 -115 -120
Texas -400 -400 -375
Trump to Win Election +145 +145 +160
Ohio -255 -275 -270
Pennsylvania +150 +140 +150
Wisconsin +230 +220 +230
Michigan +230 +220 +230

Odds as of this posting

30-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +100 +100 +100
Florida -145 -160 -155
Georgia -140 -160 -150
Iowa -150 -170 -175
North Carolina -115 -115 -115
Texas -400 -400 -375
Trump to Win Election +145 +145 +160
Ohio -275 -290 -270
Pennsylvania +140 +140 +150
Wisconsin +220 +230 +220
Michigan +220 +220 +220
Minnesota +270 +250 +275

Odds as of this posting

31-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona -105 +105 +100
Florida -160 -160 -155
Georgia -160 -160 -155
Iowa -160 -180 -175
North Carolina -115 -110 -105
Texas -370 -310 -300
Trump to Win Election +165 +145 +165
Ohio -275 -260 -270
Pennsylvania +140 +140 +145
Wisconsin +210 +230 +250
Michigan +220 +220 +240
Minnesota +250 +245 +275

Odds as of this posting

1-Nov Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona -110 +100 +100
Florida -185 -175 -160
Georgia -145 -170 -160
Iowa -285 -280 -250
North Carolina -110 -105 +105
Texas -350 -320 -325
Trump to Win Election +155 +145 +160
Ohio -275 -290 -285
Pennsylvania +140 +135 +155
Wisconsin +220 +230 +240
Michigan +235 +225 +240
Minnesota +250 +245 +275

Arizona -115 +100 +100
Florida -185 -170 -170
Georgia -175 -180 -165
Iowa -300 -310 -325
North Carolina -120 -125 -110
Texas -360 -330 -350
Trump to Win Election +150 +150 +165
Ohio -295 -275 -260
Pennsylvania +135 +120 +150
Wisconsin +240 +190 +250
Michigan +190 +240 +240
Minnesota +285 +300 +275

The odds are above are a from a few minutes ago and what I posted two posts back.

So where's the value, what do I recommend you wager on. First and foremost, it depends on your bankroll and what your risk tolerance is.

Don't believe that Texas is in play, it's not and yes it's high juice but will be a winner and that gives you a cushion to make wagers on other states.

Wagers on GA, NC and AZ offer extreme value.

The underdog wagers must be PA and MI

Also get some + on the President to win the election. It's a bet with superior value.

He has 5 rallies today and the first just started in NC and ends around 1130PM in Grand Rapids MI

Good Luck and let's get 4 more years!

I will be showing the live stream from the last rally in Grand Rapids, MI tonight. It's listed as a 1030PM start time but I doubt it starts on time. He has been late on his first two rallies and that should continue throughout the day. I expect a massive amount of people in Grand Rapids tonight. As in 2016 he had 30,000+ at a start time after 1AM.

If you support the President, please get out and vote. Even if you live in a state where he is expected to win, it's all about the margin of victory. The message needs to be sent to the fake media, big tech, the swamp and to the liberals.

This election is so much more than the next four years, it's about the long term which will have an effect on your kids, your grandchildren and beyond. Stand up and support the President with your vote.

I have been involved in politics in some form for quite a long period of time. I know the pending states and the pending counties quite well. I hate to say it but this one is over. The President will not win in MI, WI, NV for certain. There's a great likelihood he doesn't win GA, NC or PA either. The voting blocks in the democratic counties are too big to overcome when they have the amount of vote left that they do. Add into the fact the mail in ballots don't lean they massively went Biden.

I've not accepted the loss yet but know it's there. I burned a lot of money and if you tailed, I likely burned a lot of money for you, for that I apologize. I'll have to go in and figure out where things stand. I'm running on empty and going to have a major crash very soon.

I am a big President Trump supporter. I got hate mail because I had the Trump/Pence Make America Great 2020 banner up on my own site.

It's not going to end up in the Supreme Court because Pennsylvania isn't going to matter. Unless some miracle happens in Maricopa County in Arizona, it's just not going to matter.

Nevada will end up blue. Clark County is the biggest population center in Nevada, it is heavily Democrat. While it shows him down a few thousand votes statewide, they still have upwards of 30-35% to count in Clark. Early ballots is pretty much what is left. That won't go to the President unfortunately.

Like I mentioned earlier, I know these states quite well. I worked for the Gingrich campaign in 2011, I worked for the Trump campaign in 2015-2016. I am entrenched in this stuff and I wish I didn't know as much as I do to have that hope.

Some divine miracle is going to need to take place and I am just being realistic.

I want to thank everyone that supported President Trump by voting for him in the election this year and back in 2016.

While I was realistic on what was going to happen based on my experience, the reality of the situation has come to fruition today.

People that voted for the Biden/Harris ticket are going to rue the day they voted for these people. The same regrets they had voting for Obama/Biden is going to bare the same fruit. I am not going to get into race and voting habits, but the same reason why in 2008 is the same reason in 2020.

8 years of dark history and taking our country backwards and now 4 years coming up of the same. When they remove Joe from office due to dementia or corruption, enjoy Harris and her laugh.

Both totally clueless and it will be too late for people to do anything until 2022 and then 2024.

The cold dark winner is here................ enjoy it.