Home Forums Thread Like Summary - Circa Survivor

Some of you may have heard me talk about the Circa Survivor contest in Las Vegas.

It started with 4,080 entrants and after week 10 is down to only 173 entrants.

The way the contest works is you pick one team each week to win (no point spread) once you use the team, you can’t use them again.

The added twist to the contest is that they treat Thanksgiving Day as a separate week and the Thursday game before Christmas and the Christmas Day games as a week. So instead of needing 18 winners, you need 20.

These were my picks:

W1 - DEN
W2 - CLV
W3 - CAR
W4 - CIN
W5 - MN
W6 - KC
W7 - NE
W8 - LAR
W9 - BAL
W10 - IND

The teams I have left to use are:

AZ, ATL, BUF, CHI, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, JAX, LVR, LAC, MIA, NO, NYJ, NYG, PHI, PIT, SF,SEA,TB, TN, WAS

Keep in mind that I have to save teams for Thanksgiving and Christmas

Thanksgiving games are CHI/DET - LVR/DAL - BUF/NO
Christmas games are: SF/TN - CLV/GB - IND/AZ

I have all Thanksgiving teams at my disposal right now and for Christmas I have SF, TN, GB, AZ

Here comes week 11 and when it starts to get tough. Remember lose once and you’re out.

Tennessee is the obvious pick but I want to save them to have them available at Christmas if at all possible.

I know for certain that 172 of the 173 left have Tennessee available to them as well. It will be a popular choice this week as it should be.

What’s your play for week 11?

On a side note, I ended up for third in the William Hill College Football Contest in Las Vegas. I ended up 50-30 against the spread. The co-winners won with a 51-29 record. They won $325K each, I won nearly $67K. A huge dropoff to say the least but there is no shame on my part. It’s a very difficult contest and I’ll be back to take them on next year. First thing first, I want to get this 6 million. It’s not every week you get a 1 in 173 opportunity to strike the gold !!

Dallas is my entry for today. Let's get it home!

cash - I appreciate your words because all of those emotions and more are swirling around me since that game ended. When it was over, I just shut off my soundbar and tv and walked away. I never once got angry or swore. During the game, I never got overly excited or cheering, I was like a rock, I was just there in the moment watching time go by or something. It was strange because I do cheer and mother f players or yell out get his ass, he's wide open throw it to him etc. I'm a fun kind of person to watch games with but I wasn't that person during the game yesterday.

I clapped once when Dallas got a passing TD but then it was over turned by a holding call. I did say something out loud when they tied it to force overtime but other than these two moments I didn't do anything else.

Perhaps because I was home alone on Thanksgiving, perhaps because I was confident Dallas would win. I have no idea.

I'm numb today because I know what was in front of me and I was set up beautifully.

I think the disappointment of losing out of William Hill by 1 game lingers and now add this on top of it and it's a bad mixture of raw emotions. Unless you've been in this spot, you really don't know how it feels. There's no real way to describe it to be honest but it's not a good feeling at all.

Don't get me wrong, the money would've been great, but to me at this point, I feel I've let people down. I feel I've let the forum members down. I've always said I didn't want to be the biggest forum because of all the problems and idiots that come with it, but deep down I wanted the site to get some recognition, get some new members, get people posting, make people proud to be here. There's no bigger light to shine than say that the winner came from here and more importantly me as the owner. I guess it would feel like I legitimized everything I've been trying to bring to the members and public for nearly 25 years.

This stings more than people will ever know and while it's true, I could've escaped yesterday to only lose this Sunday or some other day in the season, I truly don't believe that would've happened. I don't say that as being cocky or arrogant, I just know the way I planned this out starting two months before the season and how I adapted and made moves that others didn't make. I had all six teams available for Thanksgiving, I don't think many others if anyone else did. I had a big majority of top tier teams left to use and I avoided some of the biggest beats up until the one that ended mattering the most.

Looking back would I change the pick, hindsight is a funny thing but the answer remains no. They could go play that game 99 more times and I can't see the outcome coming out to the Raiders the vast majority of the times.


Raiderguy and parlaypaulie - thanks for being a part of this ride. 28 accepted penalties in a highlighted holiday game is over the top. No other game this year has come close to that and won't for the rest of the season. I appreciate your comments and support.

If I missed anyone, it's not intentional, I appreciate all of you and your efforts here in the forum.

Continued success to everyone.

You're right that most people will be taking the Titans to win. If they happen to lose, and you got another team that wins, you'll be sitting pretty nice with the teams left probably around 30 or so.

If you want to go different from the pack and they take the Titans, maybe the Bucs are the way to go. The back to back loses are worrisome on top of the bye week but coach Arians saying they are a stupid team should motivate them to be ready.

Wow, great job cashing in that $67k man. Yeah there's a drop off but a definitely a nice haul. Great job!

Good luck Freak, hope you can win this contest.
I would take Tampa Bay this week.

Freak
Based on your mapping of the remaining weeks, I agree that TB would be the logical choice this week. Painful loses, big egos, stacked with talent, and the need to right the ship.
Good luck, and thank you for all you do for all of us!

I AM GOOD FRIENDS WITH THOSE GUYS THERE FOLLOW THE MONEY RADIO SHOW AND MIKE PALM ALONG WITH DEREK GOOD LUCL WAS THERE HALLOWEEN WEEKEND AWESOME TIME .

Pretty cool how you mapped it out BEFORE the season started. Most guys just go week to week. And it's paid off for you so far. Hope you continue to win Freak.

Freak it looks like you have things under control and I agree with Raiders that I would think a lot would be going week to week.

Looking forward to seeing you take this week and will be monitoring.

Good Luck

Good Luck FREAK

Good Luck FREAK I'm jumping all over the ML. Let's Ride !