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Stat to follow for winners
#224803 10/06/11 02:25 AM
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Junior
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Junior
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This stat is about Pass Yards Per Attempt
I know it may not seem like the most exciting stat, and some of you may have never
heard about it before. For those of you who have heard about it, you more then likely
have not paid attention to it. When I read this, I had to admit, I was very sceptical. I
did not believe the results, but I did some research and found out that this is amazingly accurate in predicting the winning team.

So far this season, the team who has more Pass Yards Per Attempt has gone…
53-11 (.828%) ATS
52-12 (.812%) SU

In week four teams with a higher PYPA went 15-1 ATS and 10-6 SU.

The top five rated teams going into last week went 3-1 ATS and 3-1 SU with #4
Houston beating #5 Pittsburgh. The biggest mis-match from last week was Green Bay -
12.5 over Denver which cashed easily.

Week Five Top Five
#1 New England (9.5) -9.5 vs. #23 New York Jets (6.8) Loser
#2 Green Bay (9.3) -5.5 at. #21Atlanta (6.9)
#3 Tennessee (8.7) +3.5 at. #8Pittsburgh (8.4) Loser
#4 Carolina (8.5) +6.5 vs. #10 New Orleans (8.1) Winner
#5 Houston (8.5) -6 vs. #14 Oakland (7.7) Loser
#6 Giants (8.5) -9.5 vs #26 Seattle (6.3) Loser
#9 Chargers (8.2) -4 vs #24 Denver (6.7) Winner
#11 Arizona (8.1) +1.5 vs #28 Minnesota (6.1) Loser
#12 Philadelphia (7.8) -1.5 vs #18 Buffalo (7.1) Loser
#13 Detroit (7.7) -5.5 vs #17 Chicago (7.3)
#16 San Fran (7.4) -2.5 vs #25 Tampa Bay (6.6) Winner
#19 Cincy (7.1) +1.5 vs #32 Jacksonville (5.5)
#27 KC (6.1) +1.5 vs #29 Indy (5.9)

Lets see how this shakes out this week.
Let's see how this does this week.

Note from FREAK

NE depending on line won and lost. Closing line of 7.5 was a win but the posted line of 9.5 lost.

Last edited by FREAK; 10/10/11 03:16 AM.
Re: Stat to follow for winners
whitesox #224851 10/07/11 11:08 PM
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Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Time to play the Game
Sox good stuff..... who would you take based on the Wk5 matchups?


A post a day and your access will stay!






Re: Stat to follow for winners
FREAK #224908 10/09/11 04:01 AM
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Junior
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Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,400
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Freak, based on this stat, I would be playing on the following teams:

New England
Green Bay
Houston
NY Giants
SD Chargers
Arizona
San Fran
Cincy

As you can see, I didn't say the teams that are close to one another. I'm not saying that this is who I'm playing, but I do have some of these teams on my radar for Sunday. Like I said, I just read something about this and did some research on it so I'm not sure how it will do. I was only going to put the top 5 teams down, but figured why not just list all the games and see how it does this week. If this info is good, I will plan on looking at it every week.

Re: Stat to follow for winners
whitesox #225077 10/13/11 05:29 AM
Joined: Oct 2008
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Junior
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Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,400
Likes: 1
Week 6 PYPA

#1 New England (9.6) -7 vs. #5 Dallas (8.4)
#2 Green Bay (9.5) -14.5 vs #32 STL (5.6)
#3 NYG (9.1) -3.5 vs #18 Buff (7.1)
#4 Houston (8.4) +8 vs. #19 Balt (7.0)
#6 Carolina (8.3) +4 vs. #24 Atlanta (6.6)
#8 Pitt (8.2) -12.5 vs #30 Jacksonville (6.0)
#9 NO (8.1) -4.5 vs #29 TB (6.4)
#10 Philly (7.8) -1.5 vs #20 Wash (6.9)
#11 Det (7.8) -4 vs #13 SF (7.8)
#14 Miami (7.5) +7 vs #21 Jets (6.8)
#16 Oak (7.2) -4.5 vs #31 Clev (5.7)
#17 Chicago (7.2) -3 vs #27 Minn (6.4)
#22 Cincy (6.7) -7 vs #25 Indy (6.6)

Biggest margin this week is GB over STL then Pitt over Jack and both of them are Double Digit Favorites.

Based on this info, I would take the following teams in consideration of a play:
GB
NYG
Carolina
Pitt
NO
Oak



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