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 NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
I'm back for the 2012 NFL season. I follow the NFL more closely than any other sport. Last year I keep track of NFL teams that won SU and covered the spread and plan on doing the same this year. The theory is if you can pick the winner of the game, you cover the spread over 80% of the time. Just looking at last years numbers for weeks 1-16(193-37-10 ATS Double digit favorites 15-20-1 ATS and 31-5 SU). Just by looking at these stats, I plan on looking at every game each week and try and perdidct what team will win the game. I plan on keeping track of the ATS record of the winning teams again this year. Any input from others is welcome. GL all on this up coming NFL season.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game |
Whitesox you do well with this, you really should enter Bad Man.
Welcome back :) Look forward to the results again this year. Please be sure to update it weekly.
A post a day and your access will stay!
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 1 results
Dallas +3.5 W&C Chicago -9.5 W&C Minny -3.5 W&DC NYJ -3 W&C Houston -13 W&C NE -4.5 W&C Det -9 W&DC Wash +8 W&C Philly -9 W&DC Atl -1 W&C SF +5.5 W&C Ari +1 W&C TB +3 W&C Den -2.5 W&C Balt -7 W&C SD +1 W&C
YTD 13-3 ATS Double Digit Favorites 1-0 ATS & 1-0 SU
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 2 results
GB -5 W&C NYG -9 W&DC Car +3 W&C Ari +13 W&C Indy +3 W&C Phily -3 W&DC Buff -3 W&C Cincy -7 W&Push Hous -6.5 W&C Miami +1 W&C Sea +3 W&C Stl +3 W&C Pit -4.5 W&C SD -6.5 W&C SF -7 W&C Atl -3 W&C
Week 2 13-2-1 ATS
Week 1 13-3 ATS Week 2 13-2-1 ATS
YTD 26-5-1 ATS 84% Double Digit Favorites 1-1 ATS & 1-1 SU
Now, who can just pick the winners of each game? If you can do that, you will hit over 80% of the time. I have been saying this for the last 3 years that the spread of the game means nothing, just pick the winning team and don't forget to play against double digit favorites and you will come out ahead also. I have put up the numbers hear the last 3 years that prove it and this year is starting out no different. Good luck every one and any input is welcome.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 3 results
NYG +2.5 W&C Dall -9 W&DC Chi -7 W&C Min +6.5 W&C Ten +3.5 W&C Cincy +3 W&C KC +9 W&C NYJ -1 W&C Buf -2.5 W&C Jac +3 W&C Air +3 W&C Atl +3 W&C Hous -1 W&C Oak +3.5 W&C Balt -2.5 W&DC Sea +3 W&C
YTD 40-7-1 ATS Double Digit Favorites 1-1 ATS & 1-1 SU
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game |
If only I could pick the winners LOL
A post a day and your access will stay!
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 4 results
Balt -11.5 W&DC NE -3.5 W&C Hous -13 W&C SD -1 W&C Min +3.5 W&C Atl -7 W&DC Stl +2 W&C SF -3.5 W&C Ari -4 W&DC Den -6.5 W&C Cincy +1 W&C GB -7.5 W&DC Wash +1.5 W&C Phily -2 W&P Chi +3 W&C
YTD 50-11-2 ATS ( 79% ) Double Digit Favorites 2-1 ATS & 2-1 SU
LOL Freak, if I could only pick all the winning teams too. I would take that 79% ATS anytime.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 5 results
Stl +1 W&C Atl -3 W&C Pit -4 W&DC Indy +6.5 W&C NYG -7.5 W&C Mia +3 W&C Balt -6 W&DC Sea +1 W&C Chi -6 W&C NE -5.5 W&C SF -9.5 W&C Min -6 W&C NO -3.5 W&C Hous -9.5 W&DC
YTD 61-14-2 ATS ( 81 % ) Double Digit Favorites 2-1 ATS & 2-1 SU
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game |
LOL only 3 teams won and didn't cover last week, yep I had 2 of the 3 in Pit/Bal. Just my luck.
A post a day and your access will stay!
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Yeah, well I had all 3 of them, not a very good week for me last week. Good thing its only week 6.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 6 results
Ten +5.5 W&C Atl -10 W&DC TB -5 W&C NYJ -3.5 W&C Cle +1 W&C Det +3.5 W&C Mia -5.5 W&DC Balt -3 W&DC Buf +5 W&C Sea +4 W&C NYG +7 W&C Wash +2.5 W&C GB +4 W&C Den +1 W&C
11-3 this week
YTD 72-17-2 ATS Double Digit Favorites 2-2 ATS & 3-1 SU
It figures, I bet on 2 of the 3 that won and didn't cover this week. What a DOG week this was, 12 Dogs and 2 Favorites covered this week.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game |
I paid with 2 of the 3 as well with Atlanta and Baltimore, hurt my contests badly.
A post a day and your access will stay!
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Sorry I'm behind on this because of vacation.
Week 7 results
SF -7.5 W&DC NYG -6.5 W&DC Min -7 W&P Dall -2.5 W&C NO -1 W&C GB -4 W&C Hous -6.5 W&C Indy -1 W&C Tenn +4 W&C NE -11 W&DC Oak -6 W&DC Pit -1 W&C Chi +6.5 W&DC
7-5-1 this week
YTD 79-22-3 ATS Double Digit Favorites 2-3 ATS & 4-1 SU
This is the first week where the spread came into play for almost half of the games.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 8 results
TB +5 W&C GB -15 W&DC Mia +1 W&C Clev +2.5 W&C Indy +3.5 W&C NE -7.5 W&C Atl +1.5 W&C Chi -7 W&DC Det -1.5 W&C Pit -4.5 W&C Oak +1 W&C NYG -1.5 W&C Den -6 W&C SF -7 W&C
12-2 this week
YTD 91-24-3 ATS Double Digit Favorites 2-4 ATS & 5-1 SU
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 9 results
SD -7.5 W&C Car +3 W&C GB -10.5 W&C Det -6 W&C Chi -4.5 W&C Den -5 W&C Balt -3.5 W&C Hous -11 W&C Indy +2.5 W&C Sea -4.5 W&C TB +1 W&C Pit +3.5 W&C Atl -4 W&C NO -2.5 W&C
14-0 this week
YTD 105-24-3 ATS Double Digit Favorites 4-4 ATS & 7-1 SU
Spreads didn't come in to play this week, you just needed to pick the winner of the game.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game |
I need to pick winners !!!!
Waiting for the Week 10 Update to see how I could've done better than 3-2 in Bad Man. Hell in the Ucabet contest I think I picked 5 correct !!
A post a day and your access will stay!
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
I know, you let me catch up to you with my 11 wins this week. I'm only 1 game back of you now with 7 weeks left to pick.
Week 10 results
Indy -3 W&C Den -3.5 W&C TB -3 W&C Ten +6.5 W&C NE -13.5 W&DC Balt -9.5 W&C Cincy +3.5 W&C NO +1 W&C Min +3 W&C Sea -5 W&C Dal -1 W&C SF -13 game ended in tie Hous +1 W&C Pit -12.5 W&DC
11-2-tie game this week
YTD 116-26-3 ATS Double Digit Favorites 4-7 ATS & 9-1-1 SU
All 3 Favorites over 10 points did not cover this week with one of the games ending in a tie.
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 11 results
Buf -1 W&C Was -3.5 W&C GB -3 W&C Atl -9.5 W&DC TB -1 W&C Dal -7 W&DC NYJ +3.5 W&C Hous -15 W&DC Cincy -3 W&C NO -6 W&C Den -7.5 W&DC NE -10 W&C Balt -3 W&P SF -3.5 W&C
9-4-1 this week
YTD 125-30-4 ATS Double Digit Favorites 5-8 ATS & 11-1-1 SU
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,443 Likes: 3173 Time to play the Game |
Any update for week 12? I like this stuff. Keep it coming and thanks for keeping track of it. I just need to pick the damn winner!
A post a day and your access will stay!
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 Re: NFL 2012 Win the game, cover the spread stats.
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1
Junior
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OP
Junior
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,418 Likes: 1 |
Week 12 results, sorry been busy this week.
Hous -3.5 W&DC Wash +3.5 W&C NE -7 W&C Cincy -9 W&C Clev +1 W&C Indy -2 W&C Jax +3.5 W&C Den -10 W&DC Chi -6.5 W&C Atl -1 W&P Mia +3 W&C Balt -1 W&C SF -1 W&C STL +1 W&C NYG -1 W&C Car -3 W&C
13-2-1 this week
YTD 138-32-5 ATS Double Digit Favorites 5-9ATS & 12-1-1 SU
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