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Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241822 01/13/13 12:07 AM
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wee


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Re: Chase systems.
FREAK #241835 01/13/13 05:57 PM
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Screw Wednesday.

Sunday
9-0 ytd

816.seton hall 1&2
824. evansville 3&4

826. northwestern 1&2
828. miama-florida 3&4



Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241847 01/13/13 08:34 PM
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Adding for Sunday:

822. ohio st 1&2
116. new englamd 3&4



Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241869 01/13/13 10:13 PM
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I can't make any bets today because I won't be around for halftimes. Good luck all.



Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241893 01/14/13 04:51 AM
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Ohio St H1 W
Evansville H3 W
Miami H3 W
3-0 today.
12-0 ytd.



Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241894 01/14/13 05:00 AM
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Cisco are you choosing random teams to pick these on and if not, how are you coming up with the teams to select to put into the mix.

Thanks


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Re: Chase systems.
FREAK #241898 01/14/13 06:45 AM
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I was thinking the same. Nice run cisco.

What I want to know is the betting, is it 1 unit on play 1, 2 units if play one loses, 4 units if play 2 loses, and 8 units if play 3 loses. Stop after 4 plays win or lose and stop when you win.

Re: Chase systems.
whitesox #241900 01/14/13 08:21 AM
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Freak-
picking two teams on the same channel.
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/schedule?date=20130114

ESPN TNT etc.
Today CBS had Ohio St and New England.

whitesox:
Progressive betting to win one unit. 1st Half lost -110 2nd half. 110+100 x 1.1 = 231
A four game loss at -110 is -18 units. You can also use Labouchere betting system.
http://www.predictem.com/blackjack/labouchere.php





Re: Chase systems.
whitesox #241901 01/14/13 08:23 AM
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Based on to win 100 this should be the amounts

Play 1 is 110-100 if it wins you stop and you are +100
Play 2 is if you lose play one and this time you are wagering to win 1 unit plus what you lost $110 in Play 1. So it should be 231-210
Play 3 is if you lose play one and two and you are wagering to win 1 unit plus what you lost in play 1 and 2. So it should be 485.10 -441
Play 4 is you lose all prior plays and you are still wagering to win 1 unit plus what you lost in play 1,2 and 3 So it should be 1018.71 -926.1

Win at any level of 2,3 or 4 and you end up plus $100

The downfall is that if you go 0-4 you lose $1,844.71 so you need to win 19 out of every 20 runs or 95% to win $55.29. If you lose a 4 game segment early on it will be nerve racking to chase it back. The key is to win 19 in a row to start to cover any 4 game loss segment because it does happen.

I think that the thread needs to have more information as when the system does lose game 1 and beyond the risk factor is being illustrated. At the same time speaking for myself would like to see the lines being used because I know many of times 1/2 points or 1 point differences is a matter of winning and losing.

Keep it coming and let's see how far the win streak goes.

If I am wrong with my math, please correct me. :)



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Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241902 01/14/13 08:28 AM
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I keep track of my plays here on a google doc.
http://tinyurl.com/cf9kxk7

You'll also see another NBA chase system there that plays a much more dangerous six game chase but it's now at 70-1.





Re: Chase systems.
FREAK #241903 01/14/13 08:32 AM
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Cisco,

Monday night ESPN has a college hoops doubleheader:

Louisville - Connecticut and Baylor - Kansas

So i should have

Connecticut First and Second half if they both lose i should then have Kansas first and second half if needed.

Correct?





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Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241905 01/14/13 09:25 AM
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Freak. Your numbers are correct.
First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26


I can add the odds from Pinnacle when I see them but they may not be the same when you bet.
I do keep track of when the game wins.

12-0
1.6
2.3
3.3
4.0


Last edited by cisco; 01/14/13 09:26 AM.


Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241906 01/14/13 09:45 AM
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LIMITED BETTING PROGRESSION:
The idea is to reduce risk and stress.
Limited betting progression (based -110)

#1...1st half game 1...... risk 1.1 to win 1.0 unit
#2...2nd half game 1......risk 2.3 to win 2.1 units (net 1.0 unit)
#3...1st half game 2.......risk 4.85 to win 4.41 units (net 1.0 unit)

if no cover after the first 3 plays

#4..2nd half game 2.......risk 6.6 to win 6.0 units

Regular 4 game loss = -18.45 units
Limited 4 game loss. = -14.85 units
If game 4 hits, you end up losing -2.25 units

If a cover is made on the 4th play, you will have a 2.25 unit loss




Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241907 01/14/13 09:50 AM
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Connecticut First and Second half if they both lose i should then have Kansas first and second half if needed.

correct.
we have to be quick making the 3rd bet at 9:00.

Last edited by cisco; 01/14/13 09:53 AM.


Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241908 01/14/13 11:18 AM
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Originally Posted by cisco
I do keep track of when the game wins.

12-0
1.6
2.3
3.3
4.0

If I am looking at this correct, game 1 has gone 6-3, game 2 has gone 3-3 and game 3 has gone 3-0 and never made it to the 4th game at 0-0

6-3
3-3
3-0

12-6 overall record is still a nice 67% win rate. If I have understood this correctly. Correct me if I am wrong.

Reason I am asking all of this is I am trying to give a perspective of a SU bet and the Chase System. In the SU perspective I am not looking to double my wager but just continue to bet $110-$100. Risk vs Reward scenarios.

Keep it coming. I am glad you started this thread because this is exactly the kind of stuff I like to see. Whitesox does a great job with his NFL thread and we need to get more people like you two on the board.

Thanks a ton!


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Re: Chase systems.
FREAK #241909 01/14/13 06:20 PM
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12-6 overall record is still a nice 67% win rate.
That could change in a heartbeat.
Chase systems are not for the feint of heart. :)




Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241910 01/14/13 07:19 PM
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Monday
12-0 ytd

718. uconn 1&2
720. kansas 3&4



Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241939 01/15/13 08:41 AM
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Tuesday
13-0 ytd

522. Kentucky 1&2
530. Indiana 3&4

514. Clemson 1&2
532. Vanderbilt 3&4

Last edited by cisco; 01/15/13 08:43 AM.


Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241964 01/16/13 05:20 AM
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Kentucky covers H2 by ½ point!

2-0 tonight.

Last edited by cisco; 01/16/13 05:21 AM.


Re: Chase systems.
cisco #241991 01/17/13 12:21 AM
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15-0 ytd
wednesday

ESPN3 mary/iast
ESPN dal & gs
ESPN3 gt/marq
ESPNU villa/byu



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