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 Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Whether Stafford plays or not, there’s little reason to expect many explosive plays between these two mediocre offenses.
Washington is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games against NFC opponents.
Detroit is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games.
The UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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HOUSTON TEXANS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS
The fans at FirstEnergy Stadium will be treated to a game between the Houston Texans and the Cleveland Browns when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers opened the Browns as -2.5-point favorites versus the Texans, while the game's total opened at 55.5.
The Browns were a 16-6 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Raiders. They failed to cover the -1-point spread as favorites, while the total score (22) made winners of UNDER bettors.
Houston was a 27-25 winner in its last match on the road against the Jaguars. They failed to cover the -7-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 52 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Houston:
Team record: 2-6 SU,1-7 ATS
Houston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Cleveland:
Team record: 5-3 SU,3-5 ATS
Cleveland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Next up:
Houston home to New England Sunday, November 22
Cleveland home to Philadelphia Sunday, November 22
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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POWER STATS
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
HOU 15.27 13.78 1.49
CLE 13.47 12.52 0.95
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
HOU 12.14 10.78 1.36
CLE 10.86 10.23 0.63
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
HOU 3.92 5.1 -1.18
CLE 5.04 3.95 1.09
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Houston Texans
Houston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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In an otherwise disappointing season for the Houston Texans, they will attempt to defeat the Cleveland Browns for a sixth straight time on Sunday as small road underdogs. The Texans have won the past five meetings with the Browns both straight up and against the spread dating back to 2008, with an average margin of victory of more than 15 points.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Opening Odds Analysis
It is not a surprise to see the point spread move up to Cleveland -3 in early betting action, although it will be interesting to see if it moves much higher than that. Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield was placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list after a staff member tested positive, but he himself has reportedly tested negative. That means Mayfield should be able to practice later in the week, barring any setbacks, and start on Sunday. Of course, this is a fluid situation, though, and any potential setback would obviously impact these numbers.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Houston News & Notes
Houston has played better under interim head coach Romeo Crennel, going 2-2 since firing Bill O’Brien, with both wins coming against the Jacksonville Jaguars.na Johnson added 41.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Cleveland News & Notes
Assuming Mayfield is good to go, Cleveland should be in a good position to pick up another victory in this spot and stay in contention for a spot in the postseason.
While the Browns will have a tough time catching the unbeaten Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North, the expanded playoff field still gives them a solid opportunity to return for the first time since 2002.
That makes this a must-win situation, though, and they have not fared well after a bye historically. Cleveland is only 2-7 straight up and 2-5-2 against the spread in its last nine games following a bye, according to the Odds Shark NFL Database, but maybe the extra time off has helped the team get healthier this time around.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Bettors saw just how the weather can affect the total in Cleveland the last time the team played there, as Las Vegas came to town and left with a 16-6 victory. The total on that game closed at 47.5 after opening much higher, and there could be a similar situation here. A 40 percent chance of rain is forecasted for Sunday
The Browns are 7-2 SU in their last 9 home games.
The OVER is 5-2 in the Browns’ last 7 games.
The UNDER is 8-1 in the past 9 meetings.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS. NEW YORK GIANTS
The Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants will meet on the gridiron at MetLife Stadium on Sunday in a battle of division rivals.
Oddsmakers opened the Eagles as -2.5-point favorites versus the Giants, while the game's total opened at 41.5.
New York was a 23-20 winner in its last match on the road against the Football Team. They covered the +3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 43 sent PUSH bettors to the payout window.
Philadelphia was a 23-9 winner in its last match at home against the Cowboys. They covered the -10-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 32 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Philadelphia:
Team record: 3-4-1 SU,3-5 ATS
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
New York:
Team record: 2-7 SU,6-3 ATS
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
Philadelphia at Cleveland Sunday, November 22
New York at Cincinnati Sunday, November 29
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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POWER STATS
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
PHI 14.19 13.27 0.92
NYG 15.97 14.8 1.18
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
PHI 9.39 9.1 0.29
NYG 9.01 10.56 -1.55
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
PHI 4.92 4.38 0.54
NYG 4.5 3.68 0.82
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 8 games at home
NY Giants is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Giants is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing NY Giants
Philadelphia is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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The Philadelphia Eagles will play the New York Giants for the second time in three games when they return from their bye week to visit MetLife Stadium as small road favorites on Sunday. The Eagles are coming off an ugly 23-9 win over the Dallas Cowboys as 10-point home favorites in the Week 8 Sunday Night Football game after rallying to defeat the Giants 22-21 as 5-point chalk the previous Thursday in another prime-time matchup.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Opening Odds Analysis
The point spread has gone up slightly in Philadelphia’s favor to -3.5 while the total has moved even more to 44 in early betting action at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. The upward movement on the total is interesting considering the Eagles scored just 10 points through the first three quarters in the last meeting. Philadelphia’s offense has been disappointing for most of the year but surprisingly good enough to lead a dismal division. Bettors must think the team worked out some of those offensive struggles during the bye.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Philadelphia News & Notes
The Eagles are clearly the best team in the NFC East right now, but they are almost no threat to do anything in the playoffs at this point. They play three of their next four games on the road and five of six against potential playoff teams, although New York is clearly not one of those.
In other words, Philadelphia must start playing better here in order to stay competitive down the stretch against some much more worthy opponents. The Eagles needed a touchdown in the final minute to beat the Giants last time after trailing 21-10 early in the fourth quarter. They also needed to rally from a 9-7 halftime deficit vs the Cowboys, who were held scoreless after the intermission and failed to cover.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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New York News & Notes
This New York team has been incredibly frustrating to watch this season from a win-loss perspective, mostly because bettors can see some talent that often hangs tough before eventually losing. The exception came last week, though, as the Giants held on for a 23-20 win over Washington after leading by double digits for much of the game.
They covered the spread for the fifth time in six games, according to the Odds Shark NFL Database, and saw their fifth straight decided by three points or less. The difference was that the team found a way to win for only the second time this season, but against the same opponent. And New York cannot play Washington every week.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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The Eagles have a clean slate after their bye and know their schedule gets increasingly difficult following this game. They learned their lesson in the last meeting with the Giants and will not get behind big early this time around.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. CAROLINA PANTHERS
Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Carolina Panthers meet at Bank of America Stadium.
Oddsmakers opened the Buccaneers as -6.5-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game's total opened at 47.
Carolina lost its last outing, a 33-31 result against the Chiefs on November 08. The Panthers covered in that game as a +10-point underdog, while the 64 combined points took the game OVER the total.
The Buccaneers were a 38-3 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Saints. They failed to cover the -3-point spread as favorites, while the total score (41) made winners of UNDER bettors.
Tampa Bay:
Team record: 6-3 SU,4-5 ATS
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Carolina:
Team record: 3-6 SU,5-4 ATS
Current Streak: lost 4 straight games.
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
Carolina is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Los Angeles Monday, November 23
Carolina home to Detroit Sunday, November 22
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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POWER STATS
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
TB 12.56 13.87 -1.31
CAR 15.83 14.41 1.42
Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
TB 10.23 9.53 0.7
CAR 10.52 9.72 0.8
Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
TB 3.97 3.26 0.71
CAR 4.37 4.57 -0.2
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Tampa Bay's last 23 games
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