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Original Post (Thread Starter)
11/15 Statistical Advantages #501733 11/09/2020 3:51 AM
by FREAK
FREAK
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502695 Nov 15th a 04:38 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
How the Public is Betting the Jacksonville/Green Bay Game
The public is going all-in on the Packers, as 68 percent of the tickets have come in on Green Bay despite the heavy line. The line hasn’t budged despite that number, but the total has fallen from 54.5 to 50.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502700 Nov 15th a 04:39 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
Weather Report
This could be an ugly day for football, as temperatures will be in the mid-40s, and wind and rain are in the forecast. Winds will be blowing west-northwest 14 miles an hour, with about a quarter-inch of rain expected.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502701 Nov 15th a 04:41 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
This one looks fairly straightforward, as Jacksonville is a bad team going nowhere and doesn’t look at all capable of stopping the Packers’ offense. The Jaguars will put up some points here and there, but they’re not going to be able to keep pace with Rodgers and company, especially not in lousy Wisconsin weather.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #501935 Nov 10th a 07:29 PM
by FREAK
FREAK
CINCINNATI (2 - 5 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 0) - 11/15/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 112-81 ATS (+22.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON (2 - 6) at DETROIT (3 - 5) - 11/15/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 150-190 ATS (-59.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DETROIT is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON (2 - 6) at CLEVELAND (5 - 3) - 11/15/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE (1 - 7) at GREEN BAY (6 - 2) - 11/15/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 203-148 ATS (+40.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4 - 1) at NY GIANTS (2 - 7) - 11/15/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 42-66 ATS (-30.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TAMPA BAY (6 - 3) at CAROLINA (3 - 6) - 11/15/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 126-95 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DENVER (3 - 5) at LAS VEGAS (5 - 3) - 11/15/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LAS VEGAS is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 44-85 ATS (-49.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BUFFALO (7 - 2) at ARIZONA (5 - 3) - 11/15/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
ARIZONA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
BUFFALO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SEATTLE (6 - 2) at LA RAMS (5 - 3) - 11/15/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 73-48 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 3-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 2) - 11/15/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BALTIMORE (6 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (3 - 5) - 11/15/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 273-213 ATS (+38.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 273-213 ATS (+38.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 89-51 ATS (+32.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 210-156 ATS (+38.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 201-155 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 106-76 ATS (+22.4 Units) off a division game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 133-94 ATS (+29.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 130-94 ATS (+26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-60 ATS (+25.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LA CHARGERS (2 - 6) at MIAMI (5 - 3) - 11/15/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 43-19 ATS (+22.1 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 131-97 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 131-97 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 104-76 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502717 Nov 15th a 04:51 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
Bettors saw just how the weather can affect the total in Cleveland the last time the team played there, as Las Vegas came to town and left with a 16-6 victory. The total on that game closed at 47.5 after opening much higher, and there could be a similar situation here. A 40 percent chance of rain is forecasted for Sunday

The Browns are 7-2 SU in their last 9 home games.
The OVER is 5-2 in the Browns’ last 7 games.
The UNDER is 8-1 in the past 9 meetings.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502748 Nov 15th a 05:19 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
Early betting has seen this total hit as high as 52, so consider that before jumping on this number. Weather will not be a factor either since this one will be played indoors, although these teams simply have not scored much against each other over the past three seasons. You have to go back to 2016 to find the last time they combined for 50 points, and that was the only time in 10 meetings.

The Raiders are 5-0 ATS in the past 5 meetings with the Broncos.
The OVER is 7-1 in Las Vegas’ last 8 games.
The Broncos are 2-12 SU in their last 14 road games vs teams with winning records.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502761 Nov 15th a 05:27 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
How the Public is Betting the Cincinnati/Pittsburgh Game
Sharps didn’t wait on this one, and as a result, the line has fallen fast. The Bengals went on the board as 10-point underdogs, but with 54% of tickets on them and more before the line dropped, the number has fallen to 7.5. The total has come down with it, dropping to 46 from 49.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502766 Nov 15th a 05:28 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
Weather Report
The weather has all the makings of a nasty day for football, with the wind blowing south-southwest at 10 miles an hour and a steady rain looking likely throughout the contest. The one plus is that the temperature won’t be terrible, as kickoff is expected to be around 62 degrees.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502770 Nov 15th a 05:33 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
With bad weather and the Steelers’ defense involved, this has all the makings of another game hitting the under between these teams

Another reliable trend: Cincinnati keeping the game close. The Bengals aren’t yet ready to defeat the Steelers.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502790 Nov 15th a 05:39 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
This will be an interesting battle of styles as the Seahawks do best in shootouts and the Rams do best in defensive battles when they can control the tempo. Los Angeles’s defense might win the day, but considering the Rams are still a bit overrated due to their soft schedule

Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 road games vs Los Angeles.
Los Angeles is 5-0 in its last 5 home games.
The OVER is 7-2 in Seattle’s last 9 games.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502803 Nov 15th a 05:46 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
The Baltimore Ravens are 13-2 SU and 11-2-2 ATS over their last 15 road games, including a current stretch of 10 straight wins away from home. The Ravens will look to extend their road winning streak with another victory Sunday night over the New England Patriots.

Opening Odds Analysis
Early action on the Ravens as opening favorites of -6.5 on the road has bumped the line up slightly to Baltimore -7. The shift on the total has been more extreme as steady bets on the OVER have moved the line from its opener of 40.5 points up to 43.5 points. New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games as a betting underdog.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502806 Nov 15th a 05:48 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
It’s hard to imagine the Patriots being a 7-point underdog, especially at home in the second half of the season. But this isn’t the New England team of the last two decades with Tom Brady around to help carry the team through its injury woes. This is a subpar team that isn’t likely to put up much of a fight against a team as good as Baltimore is.

Baltimore is 13-5-1 ATS over its last 19 games.
New England is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games vs Baltimore.
The UNDER is 4-1 in New England’s last 5 home games.
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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages #502807 Nov 15th a 05:51 AM
by Hopewin
Hopewin
NFL FOOTBALL INJURIES
Last Updated: November 14, 2020 8:50 41 AM

Arizona
Date Pos Player Injury Status
11/14/20 OL Lamont Gaillard Illness is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Buffalo
11/14/20 G J.na COVID-19 is probable Sunday vs New Orleans
11/06/20 T Trent Williams Quarantine is probable Sunday vs New Orleans
11/05/20 LB Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles Hamstring is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs New Orleans
11/02/20 TE George Kittle Foot IR
11/02/20 QB Jimmy Garoppolo Ankle IR
10/26/20 RB Jeff Wilson Jr. Ankle IR
10/19/20 RB Raheem Mostert Ankle IR
10/19/20 OL Ben Garland Calf IR
10/15/20 CB K'Waun Williams Ankle is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs New Orleans
10/05/20 DE Ezekiel Ansah Biceps IR
09/30/20 LB Mark Nzeocha Quad IR
09/28/20 DL Dee Ford Neck IR
09/26/20 DL Solomon Thomas Knee IR
09/21/20 DL Ronald Blair III Knee is out indefinitely
09/21/20 C Weston Richburg Knee is out indefinitely
09/21/20 DT Jullian Taylor Knee is out indefinitely
09/21/20 WR Jalen Hurd Knee IR
09/21/20 DE Nick Bosa ACL IR; is out for season
09/16/20 CB Richard Sherman Calf IR

Seattle
Date Pos Player Injury Status
11/14/20 RB Chris Carson Foot is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs LA Rams
11/14/20 RB Carlos Hyde Hamstring is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs LA Rams
11/14/20 G Mike Iupati Back is upgraded to probable Sunday vs LA Rams
11/14/20 S Ugo Amadi Hamstring is upgraded to probable Sunday vs LA Rams
11/13/20 CB Shaquill Griffin Concussion is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs LA Rams
11/13/20 WR Penny Hart Knee is "?" Sunday vs LA Rams
11/13/20 DE Alton Robinson Illness is "?" Sunday vs LA Rams
11/13/20 WR Freddie Swain Foot is "?" Sunday vs LA Rams
11/12/20 C Ethan Pocic Concussion is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs LA Rams
11/09/20 DT Bryan Mone Ankle is OUT Sunday vs LA Rams
11/08/20 LB K.J. Wright Ankle is "?" Sunday vs LA Rams
11/08/20 CB Quinton Dunbar Knee is "?" Sunday vs LA Rams
11/08/20 DE Benson Mayowa Ankle is "?" Sunday vs LA Rams
10/19/20 S Delano Hill Back is out indefinitely
10/19/20 RB Rashaad Penny Knee is out indefinitely
09/22/20 WR Phillip Dorsett II Foot IR
09/21/20 LB Bruce Irvin Knee is out for season
09/20/20 S Marquise Blair Knee is out for season
09/12/20 DE Darrell Taylor Leg is out indefinitely
09/07/20 G Phil Haynes Undisclosed IR
09/07/20 WR Josh Gordon Suspension is out indefinitely

Tampa Bay
Date Pos Player Injury Status
11/14/20 WR Cyril Grayson COVID-19 is doubtful Sunday vs Carolina
11/14/20 G Ali Marpet Concussion is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Carolina
11/13/20 CB Carlton Davis Knee is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Carolina
10/12/20 LB Jack Cichy Hamstring IR
10/12/20 DT Vita Vea Ankle IR
10/04/20 TE O.J. Howard Achilles is out for season
09/10/20 WR John Hurst Ankle IR

Tennessee
Date Pos Player Injury Status
11/12/20 WR Adam Humphries Concussion is "?" Sunday vs Baltimore
11/11/20 CB Adoree' Jackson Knee is "?" Sunday vs Baltimore
11/11/20 DB Dane Cruikshank Groin IR, is out for season
11/09/20 TE MyCole Pruitt Knee is "?" Sunday vs Baltimore
11/07/20 CB Tye Smith Shoulder IR
11/02/20 P Brett Kern Wrist IR
10/26/20 CB Kristian Fulton Knee is out indefinitely
10/19/20 T Taylor Lewan Knee IR, is out for season
10/15/20 RB Darrynton Evans Undisclosed IR
10/08/20 TE Tommy Hudson Suspension is out 6 games

Washington
Date Pos Player Injury Status
11/13/20 K Dustin Hopkins Groin is "?" Sunday vs Detroit
11/13/20 LB Jared Norris Hamstring is OUT Sunday vs Detroit
11/12/20 RB Antonio Gibson Shoulder is probable Sunday vs Detroit
11/08/20 QB Alex Smith None has been named the starter Sunday vs Detroit
11/08/20 T Geron Christian Knee is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Detroit
11/08/20 QB Kyle Allen Ankle is out for season
11/08/20 WR Dontrelle Inman Hamstring is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Detroit
10/26/20 S Landon Collins Achilles is out for season
10/23/20 WR Antonio Gandy-Golden Hamstring IR
10/19/20 T Saahdiq Charles Knee IR
10/16/20 CB Greg Stroman Foot IR
10/09/20 WR Steven Sims Jr. Toe IR
10/03/20 RB Bryce Love Knee IR
09/28/20 DL Matt Ioannidis Biceps is out for season
09/08/20 LB Reuben Foster Knee IR
09/07/20 DE Ryan Bee Undisclosed IR
09/07/20 G Michael Liedtke Undisclosed IR
09/07/20 CB Simeon Thomas Abdominal IR
08/03/20 DT Caleb Brantley Left Team is out for season
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