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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #502773 11/15/20 05:34 AM
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POWER STATS
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
SEA 12.12 15 -2.88
LAR 16.43 15.36 1.06

Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
SEA 11.3 11.41 -0.11
LAR 11.12 8.81 2.31

Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
SEA 4.84 3.67 1.17
LAR 4.39 3.95 0.44

Statistical Advantages

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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #502775 11/15/20 05:35 AM
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games at home
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 10 games when playing at home against Seattle
LA Rams is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 5 games


Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #502779 11/15/20 05:36 AM
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The Seattle Seahawks are just 1-2 SU and ATS over their last three games since opening the season with a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS record. The Seahawks will try to turn things around Sunday on the road against the Los Angeles Rams.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Opening Odds Analysis
The Rams opened as a 1-point favorite at home and received enough early betting action to move the line to Los Angeles -2. The movement on the total has been greater as OVER bets on the opening line of 53.5 points have driven the total up to 55.5 points. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five games between these teams.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Seattle News & Notes
The Seahawks are just one season removed from ranking in the top 10 in the NFL on defense in both total yards allowed and points per game allowed. In 2020, Seattle ranks dead last in the league by allowing 455.8 total yards per game and is 30th in scoring defense, yielding 30.4 points per game. Those defensive woes were on clear display in the team’s 44-34 loss to the Buffalo Bills last Sunday.

But despite their abysmal defense, the Seahawks are still 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS this season due to their league-leading offense. With 2,541 passing yards and 28 passing touchdowns through eight games, Russell Wilson is on pace for 5,082 passing yards and 54 passing touchdowns in 2020.

With starting running back Chris Carson and backup Carlos Hyde both listed as questionable for Sunday’s game, Wilson could have another day with a lot of pass attempts ahead of him.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Los Angeles News & Notes
Jared Goff had 61 pass attempts in Los Angeles’s 28-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins on November 1, completing only 57.4 percent of them for 355 passing yards, one passing touchdown and two interceptions.

A soft schedule to open the season helped the Rams jump out to a 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS start, but since then they are just 1-2 SU and ATS. Los Angeles is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS against teams in the lowly NFC East and just 1-3 SU and ATS against everyone else it has faced.

The Rams have been rock-solid on defense, ranking second in the NFL in total yards allowed with 291.1 per game and second in scoring defense, allowing 19 points per game. But an underwhelming 24.1 points per game on offense has prevented the team from having success against stiffer competition. The UNDER is 5-0 in Los Angeles’s last five games.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #502790 11/15/20 05:39 AM
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This will be an interesting battle of styles as the Seahawks do best in shootouts and the Rams do best in defensive battles when they can control the tempo. Los Angeles’s defense might win the day, but considering the Rams are still a bit overrated due to their soft schedule

Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 road games vs Los Angeles.
Los Angeles is 5-0 in its last 5 home games.
The OVER is 7-2 in Seattle’s last 9 games.

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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #502791 11/15/20 05:40 AM
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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
The fans at Mercedes-Benz Superdome will be treated to a game between the San Francisco 49ers and the New Orleans Saints when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers opened the Saints as -7-point favorites versus the 49ers, while the game's total opened at 53.5.

Last time out for New Orleans, they were a 38-3 winner as they battled the Buccaneers on the road. The Saints covered in the match as a +3-point underdog, while 41 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Last time out for San Francisco, they were a 34-17 loser as they battled the Packers at home. The 49ers failed to cover in the match as a +5.5-point underdog, while 51 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

San Francisco:
Team record: 4-5 SU,4-5 ATS
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road

New Orleans:
Team record: 6-2 SU,3-5 ATS
Current Streak: won 5 straight games.
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home

Next up:
San Francisco at Los Angeles Sunday, November 29
New Orleans home to Atlanta Sunday, November 22

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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POWER STATS
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
SF 14.96 14.12 0.84
NO 12.79 12.46 0.34

Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
SF 11.03 10.35 0.68
NO 9.94 10.16 -0.22

Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
SF 4.44 3.97 0.47
NO 4.12 3.51 0.61

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
New Orleans is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Francisco
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
New Orleans is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games


San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
San Francisco is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
San Francisco is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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San Francisco 49ers (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) vs. New Orleans Saints (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS)

The New Orleans Saints delivered one of the biggest and perhaps slightly surprising wins of the season last week when they obliterated Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. On the road and everything, the Saints delivered a stunning 38-3 victory in a game where they entered as small underdogs. Instead, the Saints clearly proved they remain the top team in the NFC South and made a claim for the best in the NFC. On Sunday, the Saints return home for a Week 10 showdown with the injury-plagued San Francisco 49ers, who have dropped two straight games and are currently listed as 9.5 point underdogs, which is the largest spread of the 49ers season.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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San Francisco injury updates for week 10
If you have kept up with the 49ers this season, perhaps you already know that the team has been riddled with injuries around their biggest stars. QB Jimmy Garoppolo, TE George Kittle, DE Nick Bosa, RB Jeff Wilson, CB Richard Sherman, and WR Kendrick Bourne are just a few of the popular names that are currently on the Injured Reserve for different reasons. In reality, the 49ers injury report looks like an itemized receipt from the grocery store, which is why the defending NFC Champions are just 4-5 SU and 4-5 ATS this season.

For week 10, the 49ers appear to be in a good position to get back a few players to help their cause. RB Tevin Coleman (knee) and WR Deebo Samuel (hamstring) are listed as questionable but are trending in the right direction. Even outside of the players on the IR, the 49ers were also without Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles and K’Waun Williams on the defensive side of the football. As you can see, it has just been a nightmare for the 49ers this season, which has made the team nearly unrecognizable from a week to week standpoint.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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QB Nick Mullens vs. Saints Defense
The match-up to watch this Sunday will be the Saints defense against backup quarterback Nick Mullens. The 49ers’ ability to produce scoring opportunities will directly decide their ability to keep this game competitive and within the spread. In 5 games played this season, Mullens is completing 68% passing for 1,143 yards with five touchdowns and four picks. The numbers are not exactly impressive but remember, San Francisco is still a run-first offense. The problem with that narrative is the Saints rank 2nd in the NFL in run defense, allowing just 80 yards per game. Recently, New Orleans’ defense has been playing even better allowing just 47 yards per game over the three last three contests. As a result, this appears to be a perfect match-up for New Orleans because if they can shut down the run, they could put turnover-prone Mullens into difficult passing situations. In that scenario, you have to like New Orleans’ chances to run away with this game, especially if they can force a few turnovers.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Saints offense in week 10
While the match-ups indicate upside for the Saints defense, we still must consider the alternatives and probability of different outcomes from a handicapping perspective. If the 49ers are able to run the ball effectively, what is the likelihood the Saints still pull out the cover? In my opinion, I believe there is still a high probability of the Saints pulling out the cover even if we don’t get the significant defensive effort that I expect, and that reason revolves around the Saints offense. Coach Sean Payton continues to prove why he is the best play-caller in the business. Last week, we witnessed Taysom Hill get mixed into the quarterback position in situations and thrived with each snap. The Saints are fully healthy for the first time in several weeks, and we witnessed a glimpse of their potential last week against the Buccaneers. New Orleans has weapons all over the field and has averaged an NFL 4th best 30.5 points per game this season. Therefore, rest assured that the Saints offense will put bettors in an advantageous situation on Sunday!

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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San Francisco vs. New Orleans Betting Trends
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
San Francisco is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven games against New Orleans.
The “under” has cashed in 13 of the last 20 games involving San Francisco at New Orleans.
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in the last seven games.
New Orleans has hit the “over” in seven of the last eight games.
The “over’ has also cashed in four of the last five games involving New Orleans at home.

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
The Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Gillette Stadium.

Oddsmakers opened the Ravens as -6.5-point favorites versus the Patriots, while the game's total opened at 40.5.

New England was a 30-27 winner in its last match on the road against the Jets. They failed to cover the -9-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 57 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

The Ravens were a 24-10 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Colts. They covered the -1-point spread as favorites, while the total score (34) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Baltimore:
Team record: 6-2 SU,4-3-1 ATS
Baltimore is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Baltimore is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

New England:
Team record: 3-5 SU,3-5 ATS
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Baltimore home to Tennessee Sunday, November 22
New England at Houston Sunday, November 22

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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POWER STATS
Yards Per Point
Name Offense Defense Differential
BAL 12.21 18.3 -6.09
NE 17.44 14.55 2.89

Yards Per Pass
Name Offense Defense Differential
BAL 10.4 9.15 1.25
NE 10.24 12.41 -2.17

Yards Per Rush
Name Offense Defense Differential
BAL 5.1 4.52 0.58
NE 4.87 4.48 0.39

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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BETTING ODDS TRENDS
New England Patriots
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New England is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
New England is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
New England is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
New England is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore


Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Baltimore is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games
Baltimore is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing New England
Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England

Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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The Baltimore Ravens are 13-2 SU and 11-2-2 ATS over their last 15 road games, including a current stretch of 10 straight wins away from home. The Ravens will look to extend their road winning streak with another victory Sunday night over the New England Patriots.

Opening Odds Analysis
Early action on the Ravens as opening favorites of -6.5 on the road has bumped the line up slightly to Baltimore -7. The shift on the total has been more extreme as steady bets on the OVER have moved the line from its opener of 40.5 points up to 43.5 points. New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games as a betting underdog.

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Re: 11/15 Statistical Advantages
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Baltimore News & Notes
The Ravens bounced back nicely from their 28-24 loss at home to the Pittsburgh Steelers with a 24-10 win on the road as 1-point underdogs against the Indianapolis Colts.

Lamar Jackson completed 19 of his 23 pass attempts for 170 yards and rushed for 58 yards on 13 carries with a touchdown. Jackson isn’t putting up the same numbers as he did during his MVP season in 2019, but he has still been an effective leader with only four interceptions on the season and a team-leading 469 rushing yards.

Baltimore has the best scoring defense in the NFL through the first nine weeks of the season, allowing only 17.8 points per game. The team’s only two losses have come against the 8-0 SU Pittsburgh Steelers and the 8-1 SU Kansas City Chiefs. The Ravens are remarkably consistent against bad teams with an 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS record in their last nine games as a favorite of 6 points or more.

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