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 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Kentucky Derby Field
1 Known Agenda Irad Ortiz Jr. 6-1
2 Like the King Drayden Van Dyke 50-1
3 Brooklyn Strong Umberto Rispoli 50-1
4 Keepmeinmind David Cohen 50-1
5 Sainthood Corey Lanerie 50-1
6 O Besos Marcelino Pedroza 20-1
7 Mandaloun Florent Geroux 15-1
8 Medina Spirit John Velazquez 15-1
9 Hot Rod Charlie Flavien Prat 8-1
10 Midnight Bourbon Mike Smith 20-1
11 Dynamic One Jose Ortiz 20-1
12 Helium Julien Leparoux 50-1
13 Hidden Stash Rafael Bejarano 50-1
14 Essential Quality Luis Saez 2-1
15 Rock Your World Joel Rosario 5-1
16 King Fury Brian Hernandez Jr. 20-1
17 Highly Motivated Javier Castellano 10-1
18 Super Stock Ricardo Santana Jr. 30-1
19 Soup and Sandwich Tyler Gaffalione 30-1
20 Bourbonic Kendrick Carmouche 30-1
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Ed Sehon
KENTUCKY DERBY
#1 Known Agenda (6-1 morning line). “One of the most exaggerated negatives in Triple Crown racing is the Kentucky Derby #1 post position draw. With the addition of space between the innermost stall and the rail in the new 20-spot gate, it has all but been eliminated. So, don’t sweat the small stuff. Pay attention to these absolute positives: 1) Best jockey in the game (Irad Ortiz Jr.); 2) Soon-to-be HOF trainer (Todd Pletcher); 3) Additional distance (1 1/4 mile) suits stretch-running style; 4) Focusing with blinkers; 5) Won deepest prep race (Florida Derby); 6) Son of super sire Curlin. They all add up to #1 Known Agenda. Wager: Win.”
Churchill Downs Race No. 4
#7 Oak Hill (8-1 morning line). “Improving 4-year-old gelded son of Distorted Humor comes off two strong Place efforts sprinting in preparation for mile assignment in loaded allowance optional claiming event with $121,000 purse. Savvy trainer Al Stall Jr. and young jockey Colby Hernandez know way to the Twin Spires winner’s circle. Once he gets to front, he’ll never look back. Wager: Win & Place.”
Churchill Downs Race No. 6
#3 New York Girl (8-1 morning line). “Superior horseman Bill Mott ships 4-year-old gal up from Tampa Bay Downs, cuts her back to mile and makes positive rider switch to Johnny Velasquez for Grade 2 Churchill Downs Distaff Turf Mile. Solid four-furlong work over track says N.Y. gal is ready to disco in Kentucky. Wager: Win & four-horse exacta box of 3,4,5,6.”
Churchill Downs Races Nos. 9-12
$0.50 Pick 4 (cost $72)
Race 9: 1,4,5,13
Race 10: 1,4,5,9
Race 11: 3,5,7
Race 12 (Derby): 1,10,14,17
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Duane Colucci
KENTUCKY DERBY
#17 Highly Motivated (10-1 morning line). “I love the Blue Grass prep for Highly Motivated, his speed figures keep improving and he is sitting on a monster race. Chad Brown is the best trainer in America in my opinion and should add a Kentucky Derby to his impressive resume. My top 3 are #17 Highly Motivated, #1 Known Agenda & #14 Essential Quality.”
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
John Lauro
KENTUCKY DERBY
#4 Keepmeinmind (50-1 morning line). “His blowout in 46 and change on April 23 was a beautiful sight to see. Trainer Robertino Diodoro lost time with him due to snow at Oaklawn this winter, but he’s ready to improve on his third-place finish [behind Essential Quality and Hot Rod Charlie) in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Strong Win, Place & Show bet. Also including in trifecta box with #7 Mandaloun, #8 Medina Spirit, #10 Midnight Bourbon, No. 15 Rock Your World & No. 16 King Fury.”
Churchill Downs Race No. 9
#2 Winfromwithin (8-1 morning line). “Winfromwithin set a track record in the Columbia Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs on March 6 and is 8-1 in the Grade 2 American Turf Stakes for 3-year-old colts. And we get jockey Luis Saez, who is riding Derby favorite Essential Quality.”
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Jeremy Plonk
Churchill Downs Race No. 11
$50 exacta COLONEL LIAM over RIDE A COMET.
$50 daily double COLONEL LIAM with KNOWN AGENDA.
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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OP
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Jody Demling's projected Kentucky Derby Leaderboard
POST Horse Jockey
14 Essential Quality L. Saez
15 Rock Your World J. Rosario
17 Highly Motivated J. Castellano
7 Mandaloun F. Geroux
1 Known Agenda I. Ortiz Jr.
9 Hot Rod Charlie F. Prat
16 King Fury B. Hernandez Jr.
6 O Besos M. Pedroza
10 Midnight Bourbon M. Smith
5 Sainthood C. Lanerie
8 Medina Spirit J. Velazquez
18 Super Stock R. Santana Jr.
20 Bourbonic K. Carmouche
19 Soup and Sandwich T. Gaffalione
12 Helium J. Leparoux
2 Like the King D. Van Dyke
11 Dynamic One J. Ortiz
4 Keepmeinmind D. Cohen
13 Hidden Stash R. Bejarano
3 Brooklyn Strong U. Rispoli
EXACTA
Let's play a $10 exacta box with my top three in the race. And then take Essential Quality and play him in a $1 bet over the rest of the horses in the field.
$10 exacta box 14,15,17 ($60)
$1 exacta 14 over ALL ($19)
TRIFECTA
$0.50 TRIFECTA 14 with 1,5,6,7,9,15,16,17 with 1,5,6,7,9,15,16,17 ($28)
$0.50 TRIFECTA 1,5,6,7,9,15,16,17 with 14 with 1,5,6,7,9,15,16,17 ($28)
$0.50 1,5,6,7,9,15,16,17 with 1,5,6,7,9,15,16,17 with 14 ($28)
SUPERFECTA
$1 SUPERFECTA 14 with 1,7,9,15,17 with 1,7,9,15,17 with 1,7,9,15,16,17 ($80)
$1 SUPERFECTA 15,17 with 14,15,17 with 14,15,17 with 1,5,6,7,9,14,15,16,17 ($24)
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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OP
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Hank Goldberg
Pick to win:
Highly Motivated (10-1)
Good values:
Hot Rod Charlie (8-1)
Mandaloun (15-1)
Dynamic One (20-1)
Horses to fade:
Rock Your World (5-1)
Known Agenda (6-1)
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Jonathan Kinchen
$50 win 14 ($50)
$10 exacta 14 with 1,4,7,9,10,17 ($60)
$5 exacta 1,7,9 with 14 ($15)
$1 trifecta 14 with 1,4,7,9,10,17 with 1,4,5,7,8,9,10,17,20 ($48)
$1 trifecta 1,7,9 with 14 with 1,4,5,7,8,9,10,17,20 ($24)
Total: $197
$1 superfecta 1,7,9,14 with 1,7,9,14 with 1,4,7,9,10,14,17 with 1,4,5,7,8,9,10,14,17,20 ($420)
Total: $420
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Re: 5/1 Horse Racing
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
Owner
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OP
Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Bob Weir
$0.50 trifecta 7,9,15 with 1,7,8,9,10,14,15 with 1,6,7,8,9,10,12,14,15,17,19 ($81)
$0.50 trifecta 7,9,15 with 7,8,9,10,14,15 with 7,8,9,10,14,15 ($30)
$1 trifecta 7,15 with 7,9,14,15 with 6,7,8,9,10,12,14,15 ($36)
$1 trifecta 15 with 7,9,14 with 7,8,9,10,12,14,16 ($18)
$2 trifecta 15 with 7,9 with 6,7,9,10,12 ($16)
$1 superfecta 14 with 7,9,15 with 7,9,15 with 6,7,8,9,10,12,15 ($30)
Total: $211
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Churchill
1 #9 Ekati's Verve 6/1
2 #1 Cadencia 2/1
3 #5 Koolhaus 9/2
4 #13 Bodecream 5/1
5 #5 Ghazaaly 5/2
6 #6 Blowout 7/2
7 #4 Gamine 1/5
8 #4 Defunded 6/1
9 #5 Du Jour 5/1
10 #2 Mind Control 6/1
11 #5 Domestic Spending 9/2
12 #14 Essential Quality 2/1
13 #4 Prime Factor 9/2
14 #1 Bagboss 4/1
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Joe Drape
Mandaloun, Essential Quality, Helium
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Melissa Hoppert
Known Agenda, Essential Quality, Midnight Bourbon
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Joe Kristufek
Hot Rod Charlie
Mandaloun
King Fury
Essential Quality
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Ed DeRosa
Highly Motivated
Essential Quality
O Besos
Keepmeinmind
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
James Scully
Hot Rod Charlie
Midnight Bourbon
Essential Quality
Known Agenda
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Kellie Reilly
Rock Your World
Essential Quality
Highly Motivated
Hot Rod Charlie
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Vance Hanson
Essential Quality
Hot Rod Charlie
King Fury
Rock Your World
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Thomas Finn
Medina Spirit
Mandaloun
Rock Your World
Known Agenda
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Re: 5/1 Kentucky Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 284,246 Likes: 3259 Time to Play the Game |
Scott Shapiro
Dynamic One
Mandaloun
Essential Quality
Highly Motivated
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