Thankfully I hit my top play, BYU, and hit them on the ml as well last week. I could use a big week.
Notre Dame -6 5*
The Irish have put themselves in a must win some games and by more than the spread after losing to N Illinois earlier this year. I have the Irish as a higher net expected yardage and vs a much tougher schedule. Louisville is 1-7-1 ATS their last 9 on the road.
Duke -2.5 4*
Manny has Duke playing far better than expected after so many top starters left from last years team. UNC plays a typical Mack Brown defense which just is awful. His defense’s has been bad all the way back to his Texas days. UNC is also a turn-over machine, where as Duke is protecting the ball and being opportunistic on defense. UNC 0-4-1 their last 5 on the road.
Georgia State -3 4*
Georgia State has a 95 net yardage expected more than Georgia Southern. Georgia State has won 3 of the last 4 vs Southern, lost last year so we get the revenge factor. Georgia Southern is only 2-7 SU their last 9 and play no defense.
Kansas State -5 3*
I was against them last week in Provo and was dead on. I see them bouncing back this week vs Okie State. Kansas State relies heavy on the run game where they are ranked 16. Guess what Okie State is bad at…. Their run defense is ranked 103. Kansas State should control this one wire to wire.
Auburn +2.5 3*
I have the wrong team favored in this one as I have Auburn as a 4.5 point favorite. This is Oklahoma’s 1 ever SEC road game. They get an angry Auburn team that has underperformed so far this year and I think we will see their best game so far.
Arkansas +4 3*
I wouldn’t want to give Arkansas points no matter who is playing them. Petrino has this offense firing on all cylinders. I have Arkansas at +50 net expected yards. We get this one at a neutral site also. Texas A&M is only 1-7 ATS in their last 7.
good luck
