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11/9 Statistical Advantages
#914133 11/03/25 12:53 AM
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Re: 11/9 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #914882 11/06/25 01:04 PM
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New England
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New England
Home favorites of less than a TD on SNF have historically been solid, going 59-40-2 ATS (59.6%) in their last 101.
System Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (-3 vs PIT)

Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 16-24-1 SU and 17-23-1 ATS (42.5%) in their last 41, but those coming off a win are on a current 28-10 SU and 22-16 ATS (57.9%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (-3 vs PIT)

Bad SNF Team Trends
LA Chargers 4-6 ATS skid
Trend Match (FADE): LA CHARGERS (-3 vs PIT)

Re: 11/9 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #914886 11/06/25 01:10 PM
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New England
(251) ATLANTA at (252) INDIANAPOLIS
* Favorites are 6-1 SU and ATS in the ATL-IND series since 2001
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (-6.5 vs ATL)

(253) CLEVELAND at (254) NY JETS
* Favorites are 11-2 ATS in the CLE-NYJ set since 2004, although just 1-2 ATS since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-2.5 at NYJ)

(255) NEW ORLEANS at (256) CAROLINA
* Home teams are 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in the NO-CAR divisional series in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): CAROLINA (-5.5 vs NO)

(257) BUFFALO at (258) MIAMI
* Road teams are 6-1 ATS in the BUF-MIA AFC East rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-9.5 at MIA)

(259) JACKSONVILLE at (260) HOUSTON
* Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the Jaguars-Texans divisional set at NRG Stadium
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): JAX-HOU (o/u at 37.5)

(261) BALTIMORE at (262) MINNESOTA
* Over the total is 5-0 in the BAL-MIN series since 2005
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): BAL-MIN (o/u at 49.5)

(263) NEW ENGLAND at (264) TAMPA BAY
* Under the total is 5-0 and NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with Tampa Bay
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NE-TB (o/u at 48.5)
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (+3 at TB)

(265) NY GIANTS at (266) CHICAGO
* Under the total has converted in all four matchups between NYG and CHI since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-CHI (o/u at 47.5)

(267) ARIZONA at (268) SEATTLE
* SEATTLE is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS versus divisional foe Arizona since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-6.5 vs ARI)

(269) DETROIT at (270) WASHINGTON
* Underdogs are 4-1 SU and ATS in the DET-WAS series since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+8.5 vs DET)

(271) LA RAMS at (272) SAN FRANCISCO
* Underdogs are 10-4 SU and 12-2 ATS in the LAR-SF NFC West rivalry since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (+4.5 vs LAR)

(273) PITTSBURGH at (274) LA CHARGERS
* The STEELERS have been solid versus the Chargers historically, going 13-6 SU and 14-5 ATS in meetings since 1992
Trend Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (+3 at LAC)

Re: 11/9 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #915603 11/09/25 01:33 AM
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Atlanta VS Indianapolis

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against Indianapolis.
Atlanta is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis' last 12 games.
Indianapolis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 6 games against Atlanta.


New York VS Chicago

NY Giants is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants' last 5 games.
NY Giants is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games.
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Chicago.
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games.
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games against NY Giants.


Jacksonville VS Houston

Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Houston.
Jacksonville is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games against Houston.
Jacksonville is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games.
Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games against Jacksonville.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games at home.


Baltimore VS Minnesota

Baltimore is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games.
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games against Baltimore.
Minnesota is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home.


New Orleans VS Carolina

New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 5 games.
New Orleans is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games.
New Orleans is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games.
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games against New Orleans.


Buffalo VS Miami

Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Buffalo's last 20 games.
Buffalo is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Buffalo is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games.
Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games at home.


Cleveland VS New York

Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Cleveland is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games.
Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against NY Jets.
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games against NY Jets.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Jets' last 15 games.
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets' last 6 games against Cleveland.
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.


New England VS Tampa Bay

New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 16 games.
New England is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games.
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against New England.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home.


Arizona VS Seattle

Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Arizona is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against Seattle.
Arizona is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games.
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games against Arizona.


Los Angeles VS San Francisco

LA Rams is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games.
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games.
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games against LA Rams.


Detroit VS Washington

Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
Detroit is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against Washington.
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Washington.
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit.


Pittsburgh VS Los Angeles

Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against LA Chargers.
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers' last 10 games at home.


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Re: 11/9 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #915604 11/09/25 01:33 AM
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Chicago VS Detroit

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road.
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games against an opponent in the Central Division division.


Calgary VS Minnesota

The total has gone OVER in 13 of Calgary's last 20 games.
Calgary is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Minnesota.
Calgary is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games.
Minnesota is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games against Calgary.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games at home.


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Re: 11/9 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #915605 11/09/25 01:34 AM
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Houston VS Milwaukee

Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games.
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games against Houston.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home.


Boston VS Orlando

Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Orlando.
Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
Boston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando.
Orlando is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games against Boston.
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.


Oklahoma City VS Memphis

Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games.
Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
Oklahoma City is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games against Memphis.
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis' last 6 games.
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis' last 7 games against Oklahoma City.


Brooklyn VS New York

Brooklyn is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Brooklyn's last 18 games.
Brooklyn is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games.
Brooklyn is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games against New York.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games.
New York is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
New York is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn.
New York is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division division.


Minnesota VS Sacramento

Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento.
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games.
Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games against Minnesota.


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Re: 11/9 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #915653 11/09/25 07:47 AM
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Sunday’s games
Falcons vs Colts (-6.5) (@ Berlin, Germany)
Falcons (3-5)
Atlanta lost last three games, by 10-24-1 points.
Last three games, Falcons scored five TD’s on 28 drives.
Atlanta is +5 in turnovers in its three wins.
QB Penix is 4-6 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 32-52 as a head coach.

Atlanta is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Falcons are 8-12-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
Atlanta is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Last two games, Falcons ran ball 53 times for 178 yards.
Under is 6-2 in Atlanta games.
NFC South underdogs are 10-11 ATS in non-divisional games.

Colts (7-2)
Colts are 7-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20 in losses)
Indy is minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
Colts’ team total: over 7-2
QB Jones is 32-47-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 24-19 SU as a head coach

Under Steichen, Colts are 12-7 ATS as a favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 10-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Colts are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC teams.
Colts outgained Steelers 368-225 LW, but had six turnovers.
AFC South favorites are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.

Colts won five of last seven series games.
Favorites were 6-1 ATS in those games.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Browns (-2.5) @ Jets
Browns (2-6)
Browns have scored 17 or fewer points in seven of eight games.
Home teams are 7-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns gave up 10-6 points in their wins.
Rookie QB Gabriel is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Stefanski is 43-54 as a head coach.

Browns are 0-4 on road, losing by 24-24-14-19 points.
Cleveland is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.
Browns are 2-8 ATS last ten post-bye games.
Cleveland gained less than 250 yards in five of last six games.
Last four games, Browns are +6 in turnovers.

Jets (1-7)
Jets won last game 39-38, outscoring Bengals 23-7 in 4th quarter.
Five of Jets’ seven losses were by 7 or fewer points.
Jets traded two of their best defensive players for draft picks this week.
Fields is 15-36 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 1-7 as a head coach.

Jets ran the ball for 254 yards in their win
Jets are 10-17 ATS last 27 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
Jets are 1-7 ATS last eight post-bye games.
Jets are minus-9 in turnovers this season.

Line moved from Jets -2.5 to Jets +2.5 after Tuesday’s trades.
Teams split last six series games.
Browns lost three of last four road series games.
Favorites are 9-3 ATS in last 12 meetings.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Jaguars (-1.5) @ Texans
Jaguars (5-3)
Jacksonville is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Jaguars held six of last seven foes under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 4-1 when they score 26+ points.
QB Lawrence is 28-42 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 5-3 as an NFL head coach.

Jaguars were +9 in turnovers first four games, minus-1 last four
Last 3+ years, Jaguars are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Jaguars are 15-13 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in last nine AFC South road games.
Jaguars are 5-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-3 when they don’t.

Texans (3-5)
Backup QB Mills starts here; Stroud has concussion issues.
Texans scored 26+ points in wins, 9-19-10-19-15 in losses.
Houston is 0-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points,
QB Mills is 5-19-1 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 25-21 in as an NFL head coach.

Texans are 7-16-1 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 10-8 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
Texans gained 353+ yards in wins, 271 or fewer yards in losses.
Houston is 3-0 in games decided by 11+ points, 0-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Texans are 14-13-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Jaguars (-1.5) beat Houston 17-10 at home in Week 3.
Texans won 12 of last 15 series games.
Teams split last four meetings played here.
Jaguars are 4-2 ATS last six visits to Houston.
Six of last seven series games stayed under the total.

Bills (–8.5) @ Dolphins
Bills (6-2)
Buffalo scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14 in losses.
Buffalo is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Bills have four wins by 10+ points.
QB Allen is 89-42 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 98-54 as an NFL head coach.

Bills are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Bills are 24-23-1 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
Bills are 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
Last two weeks, Buffalo gained 410-404 yards.
Last two weeks, Buffalo converted 14-24 3rd down plays.

Dolphins (2-7)
Miami lost four of its last five games.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all six of its losses.
Last four games, Dolphins are minus-8 in turnovers.
QB Tagovailoa is 40-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 30-32 as a head coach.

Miami is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
Miami is 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins are 0-5 when they win for less than 100 yards.
Dolphins went over their team total five of last seven games.
NFL-wide, home underdogs are 5-6 ATS in divisional games.

Bills (-12) beat Miami 31-21 at home in Week 3.
Bills won 13 of last 14 series games.
Buffalo is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS last six visits to Miami.
Over is 8-5 in last 13 meetings.

Patriots @ Buccaneers (-2.5)
Patriots (7-2)
Patriots won their last six games (5-1 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Patriots held last four foes to 296-255-213-288 total yards.
QB Maye is 10-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 63-50 as an NFL head coach.

Patriots are 10-12-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
NE is 9-9-2 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total; under 7-2.
Patriots held seven of nine foes under 100 rushing yards.
New England is 3-9-1 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.
AFC East teams are 14-10 ATS in non-divisional games.

Buccaneers (6-2)
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-2 giving up 24+.
Last two games, Bucs ran ball for only 41-88 yards.
Last four games, Tampa Bay is +7 in turnovers.
Mayfield is 58-58 as an NFL starter, 26-19 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 60-70 as a head coach, 34-29 with Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 4-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs held six of eight opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Last eight years, Bucs are 2-6 ATS in post-bye games.
Tampa Bay is 10-6-1 in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC South teams are 13-15 ATS in non-divisional games.

New England won/covered four of last five series games.
Patriots won 19-14/35-7 in last two visits to Tampa.
Under is 6-0 in last six meetings.

Giants @ Bears (–4.5)
Giants (2-7)
Giants lost last three games, giving up 33-38-34 points.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Jaxson Dart is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Daboll is 21-40-1 as an NFL head coach.

Giants are 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 19-17 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Giants went over team total in five of Dart’s six starts.
Giants’ last four games went over the total.
NFC East underdogs are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

Bears (5-3)
Bears won five of their last six games.
Bears are 5-0 scoring 25+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
In wins, Chicago was +16 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 5-3 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 10-15 as an NFL starter.

Chicago is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Bears are 4-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears gave up 449 passing yards to the Bengals LW.
Chicago is 4-0 when it allows less than 27 points.

Home team won last eight series games.
Giants lost last six visits to Chicago (3-1 ATS last four)
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Ravens (-4) @ Vikings
Ravens (3-5)
Baltimore won its last two games, scoring 30-28 points.
Last three games, Ravens allowed 17-16-6 points.
Ravems held last three opponents under 100 yards rushing.
QB Jackson is 75-32 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 188-120 as an NFL head coach.

Ravens are 14-8 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Last two games, Ravens are +4 in turnovers.
Ravens are 15-11 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Baltimore is 0-4 when they allow more than 17 points.
Ravens are 11-7 ATS last 18 games vs NFC teams.
AFC North favorites are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

Vikings (4-4)
Vikings are 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Vikings are +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Last five games, Minnesota is minus-6 in turnovers.
McCarthy is 2-1 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 38-22 as an NFL head coach.

Vikings were held under 100 yards rushing in 5 of last 7 games.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog
Minnesota is 11-6-2 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
Last six Minnesota games went over the total.
Vikings are 14-7-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.

Home team won last six series games.
Ravens lost 24-16/33-31 in last two visits to Minnesota.
Last five meetings went over the total.

Saints @ Panthers (-5.5)
Saints (1-8)
Saints lost their last four games, scoring 11.5 ppg.
Saints were +5 in turnovers in their only win.
Saints allowed 29.6 ppg in their eight losses
New Orleans has been outscored 167-85 in first half of games.
Saints are 16-11-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.

Kellen Moore is 1-8 as a head coach.
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 0-1 as an NFL starter.
Saints are 4-13 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Last five games, Saints ran ball for 62 yards/game.
Saints are 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 NFC South road games.

Panthers (5-4)
Carolina won four of its last five games.
Last three weeks, Panthers scored 13-9-16 points.
Last two games, Carolina was held to 244/265 total yards.
QB Young is 11-25 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 10-16 as a head coach.

Since 2020, Panthers are 1-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Canales, Carolina is 4-4 ATS in games coming off a win.
Carolina is 1-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Last three games, Panthers converted 16-46 third down plays.
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten NFC South home games.

New Orleans won 13 of last 18 series games.
Saints lost three of last four visits to Charlotte.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.

Lions (–8.5) @ Commanders
Lions (5-3)
Detroit is 5-0 when it runs for 100+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Lions are 1-3 when they score less than 34 points.
Detroit was held to 13-17-24 points in its losses.
QB Goff is 90-60-1 as an NFL starter, 48-33-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 52-40-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 12-2 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
Lions held last two opponents to 251/258 total yards.
Detroit is 8-0 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
Favorites covered three of their four road games this year.
Last seven games, Lions are +7 in turnovers.

Commanders (3-6)
Commanders lost last four games, last three by 22-21-24 points.
Washington gave up 25-44-28-38 points in last four games.
Washington gave up 25+ points in its losses, 24 or less in wins.
QB Mariota is 36-43 as an NFL starter; Josh Johnson is the backup.
Quinn is 63-56 as an NFL coach.

Commanders allowed 354+ yards in seven of last eight games.
Commanders are 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 6-2 last eight games.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 5-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Washington’s three wins were by 15-17-17 points.

Lions won six of last eight series games.
Detroit lost two of its last three visits to Washington.
Over is 3-0 in last three series games.

Rams (–3.5) @ 49ers
Rams (6-2)
Rams won last three games, allowing 3-7-10 points.
Last two games, Rams allowed two TD’s, two FG’s on 28 drives.
Last three games, Rams are +4 in turnovers.
QB Stafford is 45-27 as the Rams’ starter (119-120-1 overall).
McVay is 94-59 as an NFL head coach.

Last four games, Rams outscored opponents 60-19 in first half.
In their losses, Rams allowed 33-26 points.
Rams are 15-7 ATS in last 22 games as a favorite.
Since 2021, Rams are 10-2 ATS in NFC West road games.
Rams are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.

49ers (6-3)
49ers allowed 26-30-26 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
SF ran ball for less than 85 yards in six of last eight games.
In their three losses, 49ers were minus-6 in turnovers.
QB Jones is 25-32 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 84-69 as an NFL head coach

49ers went under their team total five of last seven games.
Since 2022, 49ers are 0-2 ATS as a home underdog.
49ers are 1-10 ATS last 11 games coming off a win
49ers are 1-6 ATS in last seven NFC West home games.
49ers are 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.

49ers (+4) beat Rams 26-23 in OT in Week 5.
Rams threw for 378 yards, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Teams split last six series games.
Rams won 12-6/21-20 in last two visits to Santa Clara.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Cardinals @ Seahawks (–6.5)
Cardinals (3-5)
Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
Arizona’s five losses are by a total of 13 points.
Last five games, Cardinals converted 36-72 third down plays.
Brissett is 20-36 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-27 in 2+ years as a head coach.

Seven of eight Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 9-1 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 20-10 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 5-7 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Cardinals are 4-6 ATS in last ten NFC West road games.

Seahawks (6-2)
Seahawks won/covered six of last seven games.
Seattle’s two losses were by 3-4 points.
Seattle split its four home games.
Darnold is 41-41 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 16-9 as a head coach.

In its wins, Seattle held its foes under 300 TY.
In its losses, Seahawks gave up 384-426 total yards.
Seattle is 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
Seattle is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a bye.
Opponents’ team total: under 6-1-1
Last four games, Seattle is minus-4 in turnovers.

Seahawks (+1.5) won 23-20 at Arizona in Week 4.
Seattle outgained the Cardinals 384-253 in that game.
Seahawks won last seven series games.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in their last five visits to Seattle.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Steelers @ Chargers (-2.5)
Steelers (5-3)
Steelers are 4-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Last three games, Steelers allowed 430.7 yards/game.
Pittsburgh is +12 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
QB Rodgers is 169-100-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 196-121-2 as an NFL head coach.

Steelers are 24-14 ATS last 38 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh is 17-11-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
Steelers allowed 32-31-35 points in their three losses.
Steelers went over their team total the last five games.
Over is 5-3 in their games this year.

Chargers (6-3)
Chargers won three of their last four games.
Last four games, Chargers scored 29-24-37-27 points.
Bolts are 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 46-43 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 65-32-1 as an NFL head coach.

Chargers are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 9-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Bolts are 5-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Last seven games, Chargers are minus-6 in turnovers.
Last two games, Chargers allowed 164/206 yards.

Teams split the last six series games.
Steelers won four of last six road series games.
Over is 4-3 in last seven meetings.

Monday’s game
Eagles @ Packers (-2.5)
Eagles (6-2)
Eagles are 6-0 when they score 20+ points.
Eagles have been outgained in seven of eight games.
Eagles ran ball for 276 yards LW (under 100 in previous five games)
QB Hurts is 57-25 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 59-25 as an NFL coach.

Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Philly is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Last two weeks, opponents ran ball for only 89-68 yards.
Last six weeks, opponents’ team total: over 6-0
Eagles are 13-2-1 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Packers (5-2-1)
Green Bay is 5-0-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Packers held six of eight opponents under 100 rushing yards.
In their two losses, Packers were held to 10-13 points.
QB Love is 24-19-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 75-40-1 as an NFL head coach.

Packers are 8-6-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Green Bay held last two opponents to 295/265 yards.
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five games.
NFC North home favorites are 5-2 ATS in non-divisional games.

Eagles beat Green Bay 34-29 in last year’s playoffs.
Philly won last three series games, by 5-12-7 points.
Teams split last six meetings in Green Bay.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.

Re: 11/9 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #915718 11/09/25 03:17 PM
Joined: Apr 2023
Posts: 2,922
Likes: 64
Lake Grove
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Veteran
Joined: Apr 2023
Posts: 2,922
Likes: 64
Lake Grove
Originally Posted by FREAK
Houston VS Milwaukee

Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games.
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games against Houston.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home.


Boston VS Orlando

Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Orlando.
Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
Boston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando.
Orlando is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games against Boston.
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.


Oklahoma City VS Memphis

Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games.
Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
Oklahoma City is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games against Memphis.
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis' last 6 games.
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis' last 7 games against Oklahoma City.


Brooklyn VS New York

Brooklyn is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Brooklyn's last 18 games.
Brooklyn is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games.
Brooklyn is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games against New York.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games.
New York is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
New York is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn.
New York is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division division.


Minnesota VS Sacramento

Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento.
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games.
Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games against Minnesota.

Detroit VS Philadelphia
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Detroit is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games against Philadelphia.
Detroit is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games.
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 20 games against Detroit.

Indiana VS Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games.
Indiana is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games against Golden State.
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against Golden State.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Golden State's last 12 games.
Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games against Indiana.


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