Sunday’s games
Falcons vs Colts (-6.5) (@ Berlin, Germany)
Falcons (3-5)
Atlanta lost last three games, by 10-24-1 points.
Last three games, Falcons scored five TD’s on 28 drives.
Atlanta is +5 in turnovers in its three wins.
QB Penix is 4-6 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 32-52 as a head coach.
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Falcons are 8-12-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
Atlanta is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Last two games, Falcons ran ball 53 times for 178 yards.
Under is 6-2 in Atlanta games.
NFC South underdogs are 10-11 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts (7-2)
Colts are 7-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20 in losses)
Indy is minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
Colts’ team total: over 7-2
QB Jones is 32-47-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 24-19 SU as a head coach
Under Steichen, Colts are 12-7 ATS as a favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 10-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Colts are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC teams.
Colts outgained Steelers 368-225 LW, but had six turnovers.
AFC South favorites are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts won five of last seven series games.
Favorites were 6-1 ATS in those games.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Browns (-2.5) @ Jets
Browns (2-6)
Browns have scored 17 or fewer points in seven of eight games.
Home teams are 7-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns gave up 10-6 points in their wins.
Rookie QB Gabriel is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Stefanski is 43-54 as a head coach.
Browns are 0-4 on road, losing by 24-24-14-19 points.
Cleveland is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.
Browns are 2-8 ATS last ten post-bye games.
Cleveland gained less than 250 yards in five of last six games.
Last four games, Browns are +6 in turnovers.
Jets (1-7)
Jets won last game 39-38, outscoring Bengals 23-7 in 4th quarter.
Five of Jets’ seven losses were by 7 or fewer points.
Jets traded two of their best defensive players for draft picks this week.
Fields is 15-36 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 1-7 as a head coach.
Jets ran the ball for 254 yards in their win
Jets are 10-17 ATS last 27 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
Jets are 1-7 ATS last eight post-bye games.
Jets are minus-9 in turnovers this season.
Line moved from Jets -2.5 to Jets +2.5 after Tuesday’s trades.
Teams split last six series games.
Browns lost three of last four road series games.
Favorites are 9-3 ATS in last 12 meetings.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Jaguars (-1.5) @ Texans
Jaguars (5-3)
Jacksonville is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Jaguars held six of last seven foes under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 4-1 when they score 26+ points.
QB Lawrence is 28-42 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 5-3 as an NFL head coach.
Jaguars were +9 in turnovers first four games, minus-1 last four
Last 3+ years, Jaguars are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Jaguars are 15-13 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in last nine AFC South road games.
Jaguars are 5-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-3 when they don’t.
Texans (3-5)
Backup QB Mills starts here; Stroud has concussion issues.
Texans scored 26+ points in wins, 9-19-10-19-15 in losses.
Houston is 0-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points,
QB Mills is 5-19-1 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 25-21 in as an NFL head coach.
Texans are 7-16-1 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 10-8 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
Texans gained 353+ yards in wins, 271 or fewer yards in losses.
Houston is 3-0 in games decided by 11+ points, 0-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Texans are 14-13-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Jaguars (-1.5) beat Houston 17-10 at home in Week 3.
Texans won 12 of last 15 series games.
Teams split last four meetings played here.
Jaguars are 4-2 ATS last six visits to Houston.
Six of last seven series games stayed under the total.
Bills (–8.5) @ Dolphins
Bills (6-2)
Buffalo scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14 in losses.
Buffalo is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Bills have four wins by 10+ points.
QB Allen is 89-42 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 98-54 as an NFL head coach.
Bills are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Bills are 24-23-1 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
Bills are 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
Last two weeks, Buffalo gained 410-404 yards.
Last two weeks, Buffalo converted 14-24 3rd down plays.
Dolphins (2-7)
Miami lost four of its last five games.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all six of its losses.
Last four games, Dolphins are minus-8 in turnovers.
QB Tagovailoa is 40-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 30-32 as a head coach.
Miami is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
Miami is 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins are 0-5 when they win for less than 100 yards.
Dolphins went over their team total five of last seven games.
NFL-wide, home underdogs are 5-6 ATS in divisional games.
Bills (-12) beat Miami 31-21 at home in Week 3.
Bills won 13 of last 14 series games.
Buffalo is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS last six visits to Miami.
Over is 8-5 in last 13 meetings.
Patriots @ Buccaneers (-2.5)
Patriots (7-2)
Patriots won their last six games (5-1 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Patriots held last four foes to 296-255-213-288 total yards.
QB Maye is 10-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 63-50 as an NFL head coach.
Patriots are 10-12-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
NE is 9-9-2 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total; under 7-2.
Patriots held seven of nine foes under 100 rushing yards.
New England is 3-9-1 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.
AFC East teams are 14-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buccaneers (6-2)
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-2 giving up 24+.
Last two games, Bucs ran ball for only 41-88 yards.
Last four games, Tampa Bay is +7 in turnovers.
Mayfield is 58-58 as an NFL starter, 26-19 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 60-70 as a head coach, 34-29 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 4-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs held six of eight opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Last eight years, Bucs are 2-6 ATS in post-bye games.
Tampa Bay is 10-6-1 in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC South teams are 13-15 ATS in non-divisional games.
New England won/covered four of last five series games.
Patriots won 19-14/35-7 in last two visits to Tampa.
Under is 6-0 in last six meetings.
Giants @ Bears (–4.5)
Giants (2-7)
Giants lost last three games, giving up 33-38-34 points.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Jaxson Dart is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Daboll is 21-40-1 as an NFL head coach.
Giants are 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 19-17 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Giants went over team total in five of Dart’s six starts.
Giants’ last four games went over the total.
NFC East underdogs are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bears (5-3)
Bears won five of their last six games.
Bears are 5-0 scoring 25+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
In wins, Chicago was +16 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 5-3 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 10-15 as an NFL starter.
Chicago is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Bears are 4-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears gave up 449 passing yards to the Bengals LW.
Chicago is 4-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
Home team won last eight series games.
Giants lost last six visits to Chicago (3-1 ATS last four)
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Ravens (-4) @ Vikings
Ravens (3-5)
Baltimore won its last two games, scoring 30-28 points.
Last three games, Ravens allowed 17-16-6 points.
Ravems held last three opponents under 100 yards rushing.
QB Jackson is 75-32 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 188-120 as an NFL head coach.
Ravens are 14-8 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Last two games, Ravens are +4 in turnovers.
Ravens are 15-11 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Baltimore is 0-4 when they allow more than 17 points.
Ravens are 11-7 ATS last 18 games vs NFC teams.
AFC North favorites are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings (4-4)
Vikings are 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Vikings are +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Last five games, Minnesota is minus-6 in turnovers.
McCarthy is 2-1 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 38-22 as an NFL head coach.
Vikings were held under 100 yards rushing in 5 of last 7 games.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog
Minnesota is 11-6-2 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
Last six Minnesota games went over the total.
Vikings are 14-7-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Home team won last six series games.
Ravens lost 24-16/33-31 in last two visits to Minnesota.
Last five meetings went over the total.
Saints @ Panthers (-5.5)
Saints (1-8)
Saints lost their last four games, scoring 11.5 ppg.
Saints were +5 in turnovers in their only win.
Saints allowed 29.6 ppg in their eight losses
New Orleans has been outscored 167-85 in first half of games.
Saints are 16-11-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.
Kellen Moore is 1-8 as a head coach.
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 0-1 as an NFL starter.
Saints are 4-13 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Last five games, Saints ran ball for 62 yards/game.
Saints are 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 NFC South road games.
Panthers (5-4)
Carolina won four of its last five games.
Last three weeks, Panthers scored 13-9-16 points.
Last two games, Carolina was held to 244/265 total yards.
QB Young is 11-25 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 10-16 as a head coach.
Since 2020, Panthers are 1-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Canales, Carolina is 4-4 ATS in games coming off a win.
Carolina is 1-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Last three games, Panthers converted 16-46 third down plays.
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten NFC South home games.
New Orleans won 13 of last 18 series games.
Saints lost three of last four visits to Charlotte.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Lions (–8.5) @ Commanders
Lions (5-3)
Detroit is 5-0 when it runs for 100+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Lions are 1-3 when they score less than 34 points.
Detroit was held to 13-17-24 points in its losses.
QB Goff is 90-60-1 as an NFL starter, 48-33-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 52-40-1 as an NFL head coach.
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Lions are 12-2 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
Lions held last two opponents to 251/258 total yards.
Detroit is 8-0 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
Favorites covered three of their four road games this year.
Last seven games, Lions are +7 in turnovers.
Commanders (3-6)
Commanders lost last four games, last three by 22-21-24 points.
Washington gave up 25-44-28-38 points in last four games.
Washington gave up 25+ points in its losses, 24 or less in wins.
QB Mariota is 36-43 as an NFL starter; Josh Johnson is the backup.
Quinn is 63-56 as an NFL coach.
Commanders allowed 354+ yards in seven of last eight games.
Commanders are 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 6-2 last eight games.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 5-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Washington’s three wins were by 15-17-17 points.
Lions won six of last eight series games.
Detroit lost two of its last three visits to Washington.
Over is 3-0 in last three series games.
Rams (–3.5) @ 49ers
Rams (6-2)
Rams won last three games, allowing 3-7-10 points.
Last two games, Rams allowed two TD’s, two FG’s on 28 drives.
Last three games, Rams are +4 in turnovers.
QB Stafford is 45-27 as the Rams’ starter (119-120-1 overall).
McVay is 94-59 as an NFL head coach.
Last four games, Rams outscored opponents 60-19 in first half.
In their losses, Rams allowed 33-26 points.
Rams are 15-7 ATS in last 22 games as a favorite.
Since 2021, Rams are 10-2 ATS in NFC West road games.
Rams are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
49ers (6-3)
49ers allowed 26-30-26 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
SF ran ball for less than 85 yards in six of last eight games.
In their three losses, 49ers were minus-6 in turnovers.
QB Jones is 25-32 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 84-69 as an NFL head coach
49ers went under their team total five of last seven games.
Since 2022, 49ers are 0-2 ATS as a home underdog.
49ers are 1-10 ATS last 11 games coming off a win
49ers are 1-6 ATS in last seven NFC West home games.
49ers are 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.
49ers (+4) beat Rams 26-23 in OT in Week 5.
Rams threw for 378 yards, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Teams split last six series games.
Rams won 12-6/21-20 in last two visits to Santa Clara.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Cardinals @ Seahawks (–6.5)
Cardinals (3-5)
Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
Arizona’s five losses are by a total of 13 points.
Last five games, Cardinals converted 36-72 third down plays.
Brissett is 20-36 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-27 in 2+ years as a head coach.
Seven of eight Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 9-1 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 20-10 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 5-7 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Cardinals are 4-6 ATS in last ten NFC West road games.
Seahawks (6-2)
Seahawks won/covered six of last seven games.
Seattle’s two losses were by 3-4 points.
Seattle split its four home games.
Darnold is 41-41 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 16-9 as a head coach.
In its wins, Seattle held its foes under 300 TY.
In its losses, Seahawks gave up 384-426 total yards.
Seattle is 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
Seattle is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a bye.
Opponents’ team total: under 6-1-1
Last four games, Seattle is minus-4 in turnovers.
Seahawks (+1.5) won 23-20 at Arizona in Week 4.
Seattle outgained the Cardinals 384-253 in that game.
Seahawks won last seven series games.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in their last five visits to Seattle.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Steelers @ Chargers (-2.5)
Steelers (5-3)
Steelers are 4-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Last three games, Steelers allowed 430.7 yards/game.
Pittsburgh is +12 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
QB Rodgers is 169-100-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 196-121-2 as an NFL head coach.
Steelers are 24-14 ATS last 38 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh is 17-11-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
Steelers allowed 32-31-35 points in their three losses.
Steelers went over their team total the last five games.
Over is 5-3 in their games this year.
Chargers (6-3)
Chargers won three of their last four games.
Last four games, Chargers scored 29-24-37-27 points.
Bolts are 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 46-43 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 65-32-1 as an NFL head coach.
Chargers are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 9-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Bolts are 5-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Last seven games, Chargers are minus-6 in turnovers.
Last two games, Chargers allowed 164/206 yards.
Teams split the last six series games.
Steelers won four of last six road series games.
Over is 4-3 in last seven meetings.
Monday’s game
Eagles @ Packers (-2.5)
Eagles (6-2)
Eagles are 6-0 when they score 20+ points.
Eagles have been outgained in seven of eight games.
Eagles ran ball for 276 yards LW (under 100 in previous five games)
QB Hurts is 57-25 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 59-25 as an NFL coach.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Philly is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Last two weeks, opponents ran ball for only 89-68 yards.
Last six weeks, opponents’ team total: over 6-0
Eagles are 13-2-1 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Packers (5-2-1)
Green Bay is 5-0-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Packers held six of eight opponents under 100 rushing yards.
In their two losses, Packers were held to 10-13 points.
QB Love is 24-19-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 75-40-1 as an NFL head coach.
Packers are 8-6-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Green Bay held last two opponents to 295/265 yards.
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five games.
NFC North home favorites are 5-2 ATS in non-divisional games.
Eagles beat Green Bay 34-29 in last year’s playoffs.
Philly won last three series games, by 5-12-7 points.
Teams split last six meetings in Green Bay.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.